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FP Answers: Is it worth it leveraging my HELOC to invest in dividend-paying ETFs? – Financial Post

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After more than a dozen years of rising stock markets, a reader wonders if it’s still a good idea to borrow to invest? You’ll be surprised at the answer

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By Julie Cazzin, with Doug Robinson

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Q : I’m a 42-year-old engineer and in the top tax bracket. I would like to leverage my home equity line of credit (HELOC) by investing in dividend-paying exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Is this an effective tax savings strategy, and what are the pros and cons of using such a strategy to build wealth? — Mo

FP Answers: The strategy of borrowing to invest comes with increased risks and does not always end well for investors. But before getting into specifics, it’s important to look at your entire financial situation to see if this strategy would be right for you.

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First, you need to determine if it’s worth taking the increased risk of borrowing to invest in order to achieve your financial goals. If you take into account all your assets and savings, are you on track to achieve your goals without taking the additional risks of this strategy?

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You also need to evaluate this strategy in the context of your overall financial plan. And, Mo, while you don’t provide enough financial details here for me to offer guidance either way, generally speaking, the strategy of leveraging your home equity to invest in ETFs can be an effective tool to build wealth.

The main reason is because you are using very little of your money (just the payments on the borrowed funds) and, at the same time, investing a much larger amount (i.e., the amount of the HELOC), which has the effect of giving you the returns of the entire underlying investment.

Essentially, you are magnifying your gains, but be aware you are magnifying losses as well. Borrowing to invest works well when investment markets are rising. But it’s hurt a lot of investors when markets are falling, and deeply hurt their bottom lines.

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You are magnifying your gains, but be aware you are magnifying losses as well

Of course, we don’t have a crystal ball to see into the future. But investors all too often rely on recent experience as their guide and, as a result, leave themselves open to bad outcomes due to excess confidence.

On the plus side, there is good news in regards to taxes. Interest paid to earn investment income is an eligible tax deduction on line 22100 of your tax return. Dividends are considered investment income, so selecting a dividend-paying ETF satisfies this requirement (but capital gains do not).

Remember, for tax purposes, you must keep the debt separate from your other liabilities in order to fully deduct the interest. That means you have to be careful about where you hold the HELOC money, as well as how you use it.

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A key point to note is that you’re not eligible for the tax deduction if you invest the money, say, in your tax-free savings account (TFSA). That’s just one detail you have to abide by. There are many others, so I usually recommend to anyone considering this strategy to seek the advice of a good tax professional.

The objective, of course, is to make money on this strategy, and the profits are taxable if you do. You get immediate tax relief, but you will be paying more taxes overall if the strategy succeeds. Although tax savings can seem appealing and are a consideration, they should not be a key driver in making this decision.

You also asked about the cons of the strategy, so let’s explore a few. Ask yourself: if you borrowed $100,000 and markets fell by 35 per cent, would you be comfortable continuing to make your payments knowing you owe $100,000 and only have $65,000 left in your investment account? Even though markets only fell 35 per cent, your money has to now rise by almost 54 per cent to get back to where you started, which may take several years.

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Will you be committed to the strategy for long enough to earn back the 54 per cent plus the after-tax cost of your interest payments knowing you will only be breaking even at that point?

It’s best if you’re committed to the strategy for a minimum of five years, but capable of carrying it for 10 years or more. Is your job secure enough for you to know you will always have the same income to make the payments? If you become sick or disabled, is your income insured, and will you be capable of remaining committed to the strategy?

Also, if you sell your home, you have to pay off the debt and lose the tax deduction for the interest you are paying. You can keep the investments, but you will now have $100,000 less home equity to purchase your next property in my example. Will this be acceptable to you?

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And let’s not forget about borrowing costs. Many lines of credit have a variable interest rate. Two things happen when rates begin to rise. First, your investments have to earn a higher return to offset the increased cost and, second, you have to have the capacity and willingness to make higher payments in the future. There are clear signals the cost of borrowing will be rising in the future.

As you can see, there is a lot to consider before making your final decision.

Investing in a well-diversified complement of dividend growth ETFs has merit. Companies initiating and growing dividends tend to be high-quality businesses that deliver competitive returns over time.

However, there are many arguments for other types of investments that will improve diversification. I would be comfortable with a dividend-paying ETF as a portion of my portfolio, not the entire portfolio. I would also be looking at other investments to diversify my portfolio before using borrowed funds to build it.

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Generally speaking, it’s good to take full advantage of your registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) and TFSA limits before considering a strategy such as borrowing to invest.

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As well, I like to see investors have stable family incomes and be saving money outside the payments necessary to fund the loan. Finally, it’s extremely important to have experienced volatile and declining investment markets to prove you have the ability to remain invested through a prolonged downturn.

For the past 13 years (or since you were about 29 years old, Mo), markets have been advancing with only a few brief setbacks. The last real test of investor fortitude was in 2008. You may well meet all of these criteria, but I include them to help you decide if borrowing to invest is right for you.

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I would be remiss if I did not comment on timing and share how I use this strategy in my life. It is best to commence this strategy when markets are at low points. However, we have no idea if the markets are high or low until we benefit from hindsight. But we do know we are in a bull (upward-moving) market right now. Likewise, we will know when we are in a bear (downward-moving) market.

In general, I feel much better about entering into a strategy such as this after I can see six to 12 months of a bear market in the rear-view mirror. Mo, you are going to experience many more bull and bear markets in your lifetime. A common driver of entering into this strategy right now is fear of missing out. I am not participating in that. In the past, this strategy has been part of my financial plan, and it probably will be in the future. However, I am not using it right now.

Mo, I wish you happiness and success in your finances and life.

Doug Robinson is a certified financial planner and chief executive of Veritable Wealth Advisory Inc. based in Peterborough, Ont.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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Breaking Business News Canada

The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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