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Calgary real estate market continues strong stretch, demand outpacing supply – CTV News Calgary

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As Calgary’s economy roars back to life, there are strong signs of recovery, and maybe even some sustained growth, in the city’s up-and-down real estate market. 

“It’s like we haven’t seen it in quite some time,” said Renzo realtor Michael Montgomery. “We are seeing a lot of interest from outside provinces coming in, and demand is really increasing.”

After heating up in late 2020, the market is once again flooded with Canadians aiming to take advantage of low lending rates.

Many are wanting to upgrade after the pandemic shutdowns. 

The Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB) counted 27,686 home sales last year. 

That’s 72 per cent higher than in 2020, and 44 per cent higher than the decade’s average. 

Detached homes led the way for sales.

It’s all leading to a new problem not seen in quite some time. 

“The real challenge is there’s just not the inventory out there for people to buy,” said Montgomery.

Some real estate agents say they are working with buyers who have written 10-plus offers and not been successful.

“And what that ended up doing is causing prices to increase at a far greater pace than anyone had anticipated,” said CREB chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie. 

Those aren’t the only signs of strong market. 

The percentage of arrears to the total number of Calgary mortgages has been on a steady decline since the summer of 2020, which is typically a reliable economic indicator. 

And though the number is nowhere near where it was in 2014 and 2015, the dip is encouraging. 

“If the economy sort of recovers to that level, then you know, 0.3 per cent mortgage arrears rate wouldn’t be too surprising,” said Michael Mak with CMHC. 

And though it’s not the best time in the city’s history, there is still some good news mixed in with the bad for buyers. 

“As we move forward, rates are expected to rise a bit,” Lurie said. “So that should take some of the pressure off demand and also give that chance for supply levels to really catch up.”

What that will do to prices remains to be seen, but some economists say they expect those record breaking numbers to rise only slightly in 2022.

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Real eState

Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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