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Stocks gain as war spurs pullback on Fed rate bets – BNN

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U.S. equities rose for a second day as economic data and uncertainty due to Russia’s war in Ukraine caused traders to pull back on bets the Federal Reserve will aggressively hike interest rates next month.

The S&P 500 advanced, with eight of the 11 sectors jumping more than 2 per cent. Meanwhile, gains in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 lagged as geopolitical tensions continued to weighed on richly-valued technology shares. 

While global stocks are staging a powerful bounce, the rebound remains small compared with the day-after-day declines that came in the weeks before the invasion. It’s coming in a market where fund managers cut positions furiously in January and February, loaded up on options-market insurance and plowed into short sales — precautions that may be feeding the velocity of the turnaround.

Russia said it was willing to hold talks with Kyiv. However, there was no indication of Ukraine acceding to demands nor signs of a halt in fighting. The U.S. plans to join allies in sanctioning Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Treasuries were flat while the dollar and gold retreated, signaling flagging demand for havens. Crude oil in New York fell to about US$92 a barrel. 

“What we are experiencing right now is a relief rally that basically caused many short sellers to cover their shorts. But I don’t think the volatility has concluded,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research. “At least in the near term, Wall Street is saying it’s time to go back to stocks — instead of being in cash or possibly being in Treasuries.”

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A prolonged conflict could deliver a major blow to global markets and slow the normalization of central bank policy that’s expected this year. Yet on the other hand, disruptions of raw materials and food could also stoke already-high prices and heap pressure on central banks to act faster to curb inflation. 

The Federal Reserve reiterated its view Friday that it will “soon” be time to raise interest rates. Markets still see around six quarter-point increases by the Fed, but bets on other central bank’s hiking cycles have been pared in recent days. 

“This conflict implies a further deterioration of the already tricky growth-inflation trade-offs central banks have been facing, making the upcoming decisions particularly hard,” Silvia Dall’Angelo, senior economist at the international business of Federated Hermes, wrote in a note to clients. “Downside growth risks from the geopolitical backdrop mean that they are likely to proceed gradually and cautiously.”

In contrast, Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance, said the idea that risk assets should rally because the Fed was less likely to raise rates seemed like a “head fake.”

“The market has been incredible sanguine about the impact of the war in Ukraine, completely missing the reason the Fed is raising rates and why they can’t slow down their pace of tightening,” he said. “With inflation likely to be exacerbated by disruptions due to war, the Fed needs to do the opposite of what they would normally do, and that’s to fight an even bigger threat of inflation.”

U.S. consumer spending advanced by more than expected last month, despite inflation and the omicron virus variant. Yet, consumer sentiment was still down sharply from January, according to a University of Michigan index. 

“Solid economic growth confirms that the Fed does or can move forward with higher interest rates,” said CFRA’s Stovall. “Inflation says it needs to and higher economic activity says it has the ability to.”

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 rose 2.2 per cent as of 4 p.m. New York time
  • The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.5 per cent
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.5 per cent
  • The MSCI World index rose 2.5 per cent

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.5 per cent
  • The euro rose 0.7 per cent to US$1.1266
  • The British pound rose 0.2 per cent to US$1.3412
  • The Japanese yen was little changed at 115.54 per dollar

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 1.97 per cent
  • Germany’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to 0.23 per cent
  • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 1.46 per cent

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.5 per cent to US$92.37 a barrel
  • Gold futures fell 1.8 per cent to US$1,891.80 an ounce

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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