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Toronto real estate listings swell, taking the edge off buyers – The Globe and Mail

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A realtor’s sign in front of a home in Toronto, on March 8.Fred Lum/the Globe and Mail

Capricious buyers are throwing the Toronto-area real estate market off kilter in April.

Patrick Rocca, broker with Bosley Real Estate Ltd., describes the market as “spotty” in midtown Toronto.

“Stuff is moving, but there are some quirks,” he says.

At 492 Sutherland Dr., in Leaside, a semi-detached house set a new milestone with a sale price of $1.925-million and five bidders in competition. The house was listed with an asking price of $1.499-million.

A week earlier, Mr. Rocca sold a two-bedroom semi-detached house in the popular Leaside neighbourhood with six offers. The property, listed with an asking price of $1.099-million, sold for $1.425-million.

That was the outcome Mr. Rocca was anticipating when he set a low asking price and an offer date one week later.

But a few days earlier, Mr. Rocca was taken aback when a house with an asking price of $1.699-million attracted only one bidder. Despite the lack of competition, the property sold above asking.

“Only one offer kind of threw me,” he says.

Around the same time, a condo unit had some attention and one agent signaled that a client was preparing to make an offer, but the buyers backed away.

“I was told I would have a bully and the bully never came.”

Mr. Rocca says one reason for the uncertainty may be that a bump in listings is taking the pressure off buyers to make quick decisions.

According to data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, new listings in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) swelled 42 per cent in March compared with February.

The average price in the GTA slipped 2.6 per cent in March from February, bucking the seasonal trend.

Mr. Rocca has heard from a few buyers that they plan to wait on the sidelines for a drop in prices. But he notes that it’s hard to time the market with so many unknown factors ahead.

The 2022 federal budget unveiled last week won’t sway the market, in his opinion.

A move by the Trudeau government to ban foreign buyers for two years will have a negligible effect because many groups are exempted, including students, permanent residents and people who say they will make the property their primary residence.

When Ontario’s provincial government imposed a foreign buyers’ tax in 2017, there was a short pause in the market in the GTA, but overseas investors soon found a way around the rules, Mr. Rocca says.

“Foreign buyers are not stupid. They can find other avenues.”

Stephen Brown, senior Canada economist at Capital Economics, notes that measures targeting foreign buyers have little track record of success – largely because their role in driving up prices is overstated, he says.

The 15-per-cent tax Ontario brought in in 2017 has not prevented house prices from rising by more than 35 per cent since then, while house prices in New Zealand have surged by 60 per cent since the government there imposed a blanket ban on foreign buyers in 2018.

Mr. Brown predicts that house price inflation is likely to slow sharply in the coming year, but that will be due to tighter monetary policy rather than any other factor.

On the matter of interest rates, Mr. Rocca says he hears some rumbles from buyers but most clients are more focused on finding the right property.

“People need houses – they are still out there looking.”

Toronto-Dominion Bank senior economist Leslie Preston says the Bank of Canada is justified in moving aggressively to raise interest rates, given the country’s hot economy.

Ms. Preston points out that Canada’s unemployment rate fell to 5.3 per cent in March – the lowest level since comparable data became available in 1976.

While wage growth has picked up, it is not keeping pace with inflation, which was 5.7 per cent year-over-year in February, says the economist.

Pritesh Parekh, real estate agent with Century 21 Legacy in Toronto, says the change in tempo from frantic buying in January and February to a more sedate pace in March and April can be unsettling to sellers and buyers.

“It’s kind of a weird period right now. Everyone’s confused about what’s going to happen next.”

In March, sales tumbled 30 per cent in the GTA from March, 2021, according to TRREB. New listings dropped 11.9 per cent in the same period.

The average price stood at $1,299,894, marking a gain of 18.5 per cent from the same month last year.

“In January and February, sellers had completely unrealistic price expectations – and guess what – they beat them,” Mr. Parekh says.

But the winds shifted in March: the steepest drop was the 38-per-cent plunge in sales of detached houses in the 905 area code.

Throughout Toronto, Mr. Parekh noticed hundreds of price changes on listings in March, which indicates that properties failed to sell at the original asking price. In many cases, that means a house was listed with a low asking price and a date set for reviewing offers. If it doesn’t sell on the offer date, agents will often relist at a higher price and welcome offers any time.

That kind of change in tactics can confuse buyers, he adds.

“Everybody’s trying to feel out the situation.”

Now the spectre of rising interest rates is spooking buyers, and the slight dip in the average price in March has some wondering if prices have farther to fall.

“Psychologically, it has weighed on people quite a bit.”

Mr. Parekh sees the demand for condos picking up as buyers look for affordable options in the core instead of moving to the suburbs as they did at the start of the pandemic.

Mr. Parekh recently worked with an investor who purchased a condo unit in Kingston to rent to students, despite not yet owning a condo in Toronto, where he lives.

Mr. Parekh says the investor doesn’t feel ready to settle in one spot yet, but he figures prices may be higher by the time he’s ready to buy. Meanwhile, Kingston is less expensive than Toronto.

“In the past, people would save for their dream home. Now they’re buying a stepping stone.”

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Competition Bureau gets court order for probe into Canadian Real Estate Association

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The Competition Bureau says it’s obtained a court order as part of an investigation into potential anti-competitive conduct by the Canadian Real Estate Association.

The bureau says its investigation is looking into whether CREA’s commission rules discourage buyers’ realtors fromoffering lower commission rates or whether they affect competition in other ways.

It’s also looking into whether CREA’s realtor co-operation policy makes it harder for alternative listing services to compete with the major listing services, or gives larger brokerages an unfair advantage over smaller ones.

The court order requires CREA to produce records and information relevant to the investigation, the bureau said, adding the investigation is ongoing and there is no conclusion of wrongdoing at this time.

CREA’s membership includes more than 160,000 real estate brokers, agents and salespeople.

The association said it’s co-operating with the bureau’s investigation.

In a statement, CREA chair James Mabey said the organization believes its rules and policies are “pro-competitive and pro-consumer” and help increase transparency.

Court documents show the bureau’s inquiry began in June, as the competition commissioner said he had reason to believe CREA engaged in conduct impeding the ability of real estate agents to compete.

The documents note CREA owns the MLS and Multiple Listing Service trademarks and owns and operates realtor.ca, which real estate groups use to list homes for sale.

Websites like realtor.ca are where the public can view home listings, while MLS systems contain data that’s only accessible to agents such as additional information on listings, sales activity in the area and neighbourhood descriptions. Some of this data is not publicly available for privacy reasons.

Access to the MLS system is a perk offered to members by real estate boards and associations.

The Competition Bureau in recent years has been reviewing whether the limited public access to these systems stunts competition or innovation in the real estate sector.

Property listings on an MLS system must include a commission offer to the buyers’ agent, and when a listing is sold, often the agent for the buyer is paid by theseller’s agent, according to the court documents.

They allege these rules reduce incentives for buyers’ agents to offer lower commissions because if buyers aren’t directly paying their agent, they may be less likely to select an agent based on their commission rate.

The bureau alleges the rules also incentivize buyers’ agents to steer their clients away from listings with lower-than-average commissions.

The documents also say CREA’s co-operation policy, which came into force at the beginning of 2024, favours larger brokerages because of their ability to advertise to bigger networks of agents.

The policy requires residential real estate listings to be added to an MLS system within three days of them being publicly marketed, such as through flyers, yard signs or online promotions.

The documents also allege the co-operation policy disadvantages alternative listing services as it’s harder for them to compete on things like privacy or inventory.

Last year, the Competition Bureau said it was investigating whether the Quebec Professional Association for Real Estate Brokers’ data-sharing restrictions were stifling competition in the housing market.

It obtained a court order in February 2023 related to the ongoing investigation, looking into whether QPAREB and its subsidiary, Société Centris, engaged in practices that harm competition or prevent the development of innovative online brokerage services in the province.

Much of the data-sharing activity in question was linked to an MLS for Quebec real estate.

— With files from Tara Deschamps

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 3, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Toronto home sales rose in September as buyers took advantage of lower rates, prices

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in September rose as buyers began taking advantage of interest rate cuts and lower home prices.

The board says 4,996 homes were sold last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 8.5 per cent compared with 4,606 in the same month last year. Sales were up from August on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was down one per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,107,291.

The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 4.6 per cent year-over-year.

The board’s CEO John DiMichele says recently introduced mortgage rules, including longer amortization periods, will give home buyers more options and flexibility as the housing market recovers.

New listings last month totalled 18,089, up 10.5 per cent from a year earlier.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 3, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Vancouver home sales down 3.8% in Sept. as lower rates fail to entice buyers: board

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Vancouver-area home sales dropped 3.8 per cent in September compared with the same month last year, while listings grew to put modest pressure on pricing, said Greater Vancouver Realtors on Wednesday.

There were 1,852 sales of existing residential homes last month, which is 26 per cent below the 10-year average, and down 2.7 per cent, not seasonally adjusted, from August.

The board says the results show recent interest rate cuts haven’t yet led to the expected rebound in activity, and that sales are still coming in below its forecast.

“September figures don’t offer the signal that many are watching for,” said Andrew Lis, the board’s director of economics and data analytics, in a statement.

The Bank of Canada has already delivered three interest rate cuts this year to bring its policy rate to 4.25 per cent. With further cuts expected at its next two decisions, including what some banks say could be a half-percentage-point cut, there’s still room for an upward swing in the market, said Lis.

“With two more policy rate decisions to go this year, and all signs pointing to further reductions, it’s not inconceivable that demand may still pick up later this fall should buyers step off the sidelines.”

For now though, there are many more sellers entering the market than buyers.

There were 6,144 newly listed properties in September, up 12.8 per cent from last year, to bring the total number of listings to 14,932. The total number of listings makes for a 31 per cent jump from last year, and is sitting 24 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average.

The combination of fewer sales and more listings left the composite benchmark price at $1,179,700, which is down 1.8 per cent from September 2023 and down 1.4 per cent from August.

The benchmark price for detached homes stood at $2.02 million, up 0.5 per cent from last year but down 1.3 per cent from August. The benchmark for apartment homes came in at $762,000, a 0.8 per cent decrease from both last year and August 2024.

The board says the sales-to-active listings ratio across residential property types was at 12.8 per cent in September, including 9.1 per cent for detached homes, while historical data indicates downward price pressure happens when the ratio dips below 12.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 2, 2024.

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