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Victoria's economy is bouncing back big time – Western Investor

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Victoria’s economy appears to be rebounding well from two years of economic turmoil due to the pandemic. New figures released this week show the pace of commerce is building, the numbers of people downtown are growing and visitors have returned.

“This particular group of numbers showed a healthy return to good retail sales, very good restaurant sales, hotels are full and people are investing in downtown,” said Jeff Bray, executive director of the Downtown Victoria Business Association. “And from our perspective these numbers were collected in advance of tourism season and in advance of a bulk of the office workers returning to the office.”

Bray said this kind of response bodes well for what the city can expect in the summer and fall.

“The trend lines all look healthy,” he said.

The city’s latest economic recovery report noted there were 314,730 more pedestrian trips downtown and nearly 45,000 more on-street parking transactions recorded by the end of March compared with the first quarter of 2021.

At the same time the city issued 7,623 business licences in the first quarter of this year — the vast majority renewed in January — compared with 7,187 at the same time last year while fielding 134 building permit applications, a slight drop from the 139 building permit applications in the first quarter of 2021.

The value of new residential and commercial building permits topped a record $168.3 million in the first quarter this year, up over 57 per cent from 2021 and well ahead of the $64 million booked in 2019.

“The first three months of the year bounced back in a big way as the city emerged from the dark days of Omicron,” said Mayor Lisa Helps.

“These numbers tell the story of our ongoing recovery as more workers return to downtown, the visitor economy revs up, and investor confidence in construction shows no sign of abating. There is still some way to go yet before we are back to where we were before the pandemic, but all signs point to better times ahead for local businesses.”

Bray said the numbers match the stories he has been hearing from downtown merchants and business owners.

He said businesses are no longer hurting for customers but are definitely short of staff and have managed to handle the new reality of a disrupted supply chain.

“That varies from sector to sector, but it has stabilized,” he said.

“Businesses have found a broader range of distributors, but it’s still a challenge. In many cases there’s inventory and they’ve got it on order, but it’s sitting in a container somewhere.”

Bray said the spring of 2022 feels different from last year, with fewer dark clouds hanging over people. “People are optimistic, they are just hopping busy, quite frankly,” he said. “So I think what independent businesses have probably done is built in a sort of hope-for-the-best-plan-for-the-worst approach.

Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce chief executive Bruce Williams said the region has roared back and is in a good position to really take flight.

“Indicators make it clear that people can’t wait to get back to our vibrant downtown and enjoy all the amazing experiences our businesses provide,” he said.

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Economy

Statistics Canada reports real GDP grew 0.2% in July

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says real gross domestic product grew 0.2 per cent in July, following essentially no change in June, helped by strength in the retail trade sector.

The agency says the growth came as services-producing industries grew 0.2 per cent for the month.

The retail trade sector was the largest contributor to overall growth in July as it gained one per cent, helped by the motor vehicles and parts dealers subsector which gained 2.8 per cent.

The public sector aggregate, which includes the educational services, health care and social assistance, and public administration sectors, gained 0.3 per cent, while the finance and insurance sector rose 0.5 per cent.

Meanwhile, goods-producing industries gained 0.1 per cent in July as the utilities sector rose 1.3 per cent and the manufacturing sector grew 0.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada’s early estimate for August suggests real GDP for the month was essentially unchanged, as increases in oil and gas extraction and the public sector were offset by decreases in manufacturing and transportation and warehousing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite tops 24,000 points for first time, U.S. markets also rise Thursday

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index closed above 24,000 for the first time Thursday as strength in base metals and other sectors outweighed losses in energy, while U.S. markets also rose and the S&P 500 notched another record as well.

“Another day, another record,” said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones.

“The path of least resistance continues to be higher.”

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 127.95 points at 24,033.83.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 260.36 points at 42,175.11. The S&P 500 index was up 23.11 points at 5,745.37, while the Nasdaq composite was up 108.09 points at 18,190.29.

Markets continue to be optimistic about an economic soft landing, said Kourkafas, after the U.S. Federal Reserve last week announced an outsized cut to its key interest rate following months of speculation about when it would start easing policy.

Economic data Thursday added to the story that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite higher rates, said Kourkafas.

The U.S. economy grew at a three-per-cent annual rate in the second quarter, one report said, picking up from the first quarter of the year. Another report showed fewer U.S. workers applied for unemployment benefits last week.

The data shows “the economy remains on strong footing while the Fed is pivoting now in a decisive way towards an easier policy,” said Kourkafas.

The Fed’s decisive move gave investors more reason to believe that a soft landing is still the “base case scenario,” he said, “and likely reduces the downside risks for a recession by having the Fed moving too late or falling behind the curve.”

North of the border, the TSX usually gets a boost from Wall St. strength, said Kourkafas, but on Thursday the index also reflected some optimism of its own as the Bank of Canada has already cut rates three times to address weakening in the economy.

“The Bank of Canada likely now will be emboldened by the Fed,” he said.

“They didn’t want to move too far ahead of the Fed, and now that the Fed moved in a bigger-than-expected way, that provides more room for the Bank of Canada to cut as aggressively as needed to support the economy, given that inflation is within the target range.”

The TSX has also been benefiting from strength in materials after China’s central bank announced several measures meant to support the company’s economy, said Kourkafas.

However, energy stocks dragged on the Canadian index as oil prices fell Thursday following a report that Saudi Arabia was preparing to abandon its unofficial US$100-per-barrel price target for crude as it prepares to increase its output.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.22 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$2.02 at US$67.67 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down seven cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$10.20 at US$2,694.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 15 cents at US$4.64 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stocks also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal sector, while U.S. stock markets were also higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was 143.00 points at 24,048.88.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 174.22 points at 42,088.97. The S&P 500 index was up 10.23 points at 5,732.49, while the Nasdaq composite was up 30.02 points at 18,112.23.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.23 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$1.68 at US$68.01 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down six cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$4.40 at US$2,689.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 13 cents at US$4.62 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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