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Economy

Russia’s New Economic Policy: Famine, Looting And Stealing? – Forbes

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In the 1920s, despair prompted Soviet leaders to adopt the New Economic Policy (NEP), an attempt at new policies to improve the economy. In 2022, facing sanctions and isolation from Western countries, Russian leaders appear to have adopted another new economic policy. In the 1920s, NEP was based on a greater use of market forces. Today, the policy appears based on force, a combination of stealing from Ukraine, facilitating looting by soldiers and inflicting famine on the world.

Famine: Since the invasion of Ukraine, Russian forces have blocked more than 20 million tons of grain from being shipped through Black Sea ports. The European Union’s foreign policy chief Josep Borrell has called Russia’s action a war crime. Given the quantity of grain blocked, United Nations personnel have warned a famine could take place in parts of the world. This is not an accident. Russian officials are open about leveraging the prospect of mass starvation to compel Western governments to lift sanctions harming the Russian economy.

In June 2022, at the Petersburg Economic Forum, Margarita Simonyan, editor-in-chief of Russian state-controlled RT, said she heard from people several times in Moscow that “All our hope is in the famine.” She continued, “Here is what it means. It means that the famine will start now and they will lift the sanctions and be friends with us, because they will realize that it’s necessary.”

Preventing Ukraine from selling its wheat is not a side effect of the war. It is part of Russia’s economic strategy to leverage widespread hunger to help its economy.

Stealing: Russia is not relying on famine alone. It is also stealing wheat and steel from Ukraine. Russian media has openly stated Russia is selling wheat it stole from Kherson in Ukraine.

The Russian government is also stealing or nationalizing land from Ukrainian farmers in a parallel to Stalin’s expropriation of Ukrainian farmers’ property during collectivization in the 1930s, which resulted in millions of deaths from famine and saw the deportation of Ukrainian farmers who resisted.

“Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine has captured some of the most productive agricultural land in what is one of the world’s great breadbaskets, disrupting supplies and pushing up food prices,” reported the Wall Street Journal. “Russian forces have also stolen grain and equipment, the Ukrainian government and farmers say. Now, entire farms are being taken, some farmers say. . . Mr. [Dmitry] Skorniakov said that in May a group arrived at his farm in southeastern Ukraine claiming to represent the government of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic, which broke away from Ukraine with Russian support in 2014. ‘They said, ‘Now it belongs to us and you work for us, everything is our property,’ Mr. Skorniakov said his workers had told him.

“Valery Stoyanov, 50, said Chechen soldiers took over his farm near the southern city of Melitopol shortly after the invasion began on Feb. 24, telling his farmhands that it now belonged to the unit’s commander. ‘This collective farm is now mine,’ the Chechen commander told workers whom he had gathered to address, Mr. Stoyanov said his workers told him. In the following days, the soldiers sold valuable equipment and shipped out 2,500 tons of grain that was stored at the farm.”

The Ukrainian government estimates Russia has stolen about 400,000 metric tons of grains and seeds, according to the Wall Street Journal. Russia has also bombed Ukrainian farms and grain operations outside of its control.

Looting: The Russian government has difficulty finding enough manpower to prosecute military operations in Ukraine, in part, because it has not declared war and must rely on contracts with troops. One enticement to service appears to be allowing widespread looting, which at least one Russian soldier said in an intercepted phone call was sanctioned by Russian leader Vladimir Putin.

Compensating soldiers via looting was common in medieval times. Widespread reports of looting by Russian troops since the war began shows looting has been permitted as an informal economic strategy to harm Ukrainians and incentivize Russians to serve in the military.

In the near team, the Russian government may achieve some successes with its current approach, but it shows how much the invasion of Ukraine has distorted Russia’s economy and its future. In the long run, Russia is unlikely to build a successful 21st century economy through famine, looting and stealing.

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Economy

Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

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Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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