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Investment trust Chrysalis forecasts boost in fortunes for start-ups – Financial Times

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UK investment trust Chrysalis has hailed the rebound in tech stocks this summer as a sign that the fortunes of high-growth start-ups will improve over the coming months after a brutal start to the year.

Richard Watts and Nick Williamson, managers of the London listed trust that has bet heavily on growth stocks such as fintech groups Klarna and Starling, think the worst is over for the tech companies in their portfolio, hit hard by inflation and interest rate rises.

They said the rally in listed tech companies since July, along with earnings growth, will help their fund bounce back after its share price plunged 65 per cent since January.

The trust, managed by UK fund house Jupiter, was savaged as the market turned against flashy young tech companies that dominate its portfolio, with fundraising for these start-ups drying up.

Swedish buy-now-pay-later company Klarna, one of the trust’s biggest bets, had its valuation slashed 78 per cent in the second quarter. It was one of the unicorns, privately owned start-ups valued at more than $1bn, that suffered most in the tech crash.

“A re-rating of relevant listed peers, combined with strong revenue and earnings growth across the portfolio, should have positive implications for the value of [our] portfolio in forthcoming quarters,” Chrysalis said in quarterly results posted on Monday.

The tech-dominated Nasdaq 100 index has rallied 13 per cent since the beginning of July. A Goldman Sachs index tracking unprofitable tech companies has also risen nearly 10 per cent, but remains down 46 per cent since January.

However, top traders have warned clients that much of the July rally in US equities has been driven by hedge funds unwinding large bets on markets falling rather than new optimism about the outlook.

Chrysalis has stepped up its tech strategy, putting more cash behind its biggest bets — Starling, Klarna and Featurespace — as it participates in further fundraising rounds.

The trust’s portfolio companies have raised a total of $1.4bn this year, despite tougher conditions as interest rates rise, although about 60 per cent of Chrysalis holdings have yet to turn a profit.

Fresh funding for Klarna, once Europe’s most valuable private tech company, came with a steep cut to its valuation over the past year — from $46bn in June 2021 to $6.7bn in July 2022.

However, Chrysalis managers noted that Klarna’s listed peers, such as Affirm and PayPal, which it is valued against, had rebounded in the past month as markets rallied.

Chrysalis and other investment trusts, which invest in private companies, provide a rare window into how the value of start-ups such as Klarna change over time.

This is because they are required to regularly and publicly revalue their portfolio. Ordinarily, start-ups such as Klarna only disclose new valuations after raising funds.

Chrysalis attracted scrutiny after paying £117mn in performance and management fees last autumn as valuations for its portfolio companies soared.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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Breaking Business News Canada

The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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