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Affordable Edmonton’s real estate looks stable and confident

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Edmonton real estate is in a holding pattern.

If we look at the current Edmonton real estate market, we could say we are now experiencing more of what we would expect in a typical market.

Our market in Edmonton in August was very comparable to the market in August of 2016. If we compare our real estate market to the markets of 2017-19 in Edmonton, this August was a stronger market for homes than any of those three years.

In the last month, we have seen fixed-rate mortgages fall below the five per cent rate again. With many predicting an elevated risk of recessions in the western world, we may see more downward pressure in fixed-rate mortgage rates over the next one to three years.

Single-family homes in our region are in a balanced market with about 4.5 months of supply. Single-family homes under $500,000 are in a mild sellers’ market with about 3.5 months of supply. And condos are back into a buyers’ market with about 5.8 months of supply.

In my opinion, our market is very healthy, which means it is a very good market in which to make a trade in real estate. With a good level of supply, buyers can have confidence that they will find a suitable home to meet the changing needs of their families.

Buyers can have confidence that they are less likely to get into bidding wars with several other buyers. Bidding wars were commonplace just a few months ago.

With prices stabilizing in Edmonton, buyers can also have confidence in the sale price of their existing home.

And many buyers may opt to simply port their existing low-rate mortgage to their new home.

In terms of values, we are still higher year over year for single-family homes. Condos, however, have dropped slightly in value year over year.  Our average sale price for single-family homes peaked in March at around $535,000, which was a significant jump over the average sale price of $451,000 in December of 2021.

The average sale price for single-family homes has since dropped and is currently only about five per cent higher than it was at the start of 2022.

Buyers expecting or hoping for significant drops in single-family home prices in our region moving forward will likely be disappointed.

Our prices will likely be more stable with more upward growth potential than many other areas of Canada. We did not experience the rapid growth in real estate values over the pandemic or even in the last 10 years that many other regions in Canada experienced.

Edmonton remains the most affordable major city in the nation. We are even more affordable than Winnipeg.

As a nation, we still have a housing shortage. Canada is also significantly increasing our levels of immigration, which will not only sustain demand for housing but mitigate future value corrections in many markets in Ontario and British Columbia over the next year.

It is projected that Alberta will likely lead the nation in job growth and economic growth over the foreseeable future.

Our province will continue to be an attractive and affordable region for growing families starting their real estate journeys as well as investors who are hoping for future value growth of their holdings.

Dennis Faulkner works as a realtor at Re/Max River City and holds a Bachelor of Arts degree with a major in macroeconomics. He can be contacted with your questions or a market evaluation at hello@simplyrealestate.ca.

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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