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Credit Suisse: What Exactly Is Going On At The Global Investment Giant? Have They Hit Bottom Yet?

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Key takeaways

  • Credit Suisse has experienced multiple major scandals since early 2021.
  • These scandals have resulted in billions of dollars of losses for the bank and its investors, causing its stock price to nosedive.
  • Some fear that the company is on the precipice of failure, though Credit Suisse claims it is in a stable financial position.

Credit Suisse, one of the largest banks in Switzerland, has been embroiled in scandal for the past several months. Due to the bank’s size, its failure could lead to a global impact much like the failure of Lehman Brothers—the American bank that dissolved into molecules before our eyes in 2008 and triggered the Great Recession.

But how did Credit Suisse rise to prominence, what’s actually happening to it, and why does it all matter? Let’s explore the details.

A brief history of Credit Suisse

Credit Suisse began in 1856 when Alfred Escher founded Schweizerische Kreditanstalt (SKA) in Switzerland. SKA opened its first foreign office in New York in 1870 and its first bank branch outside of Zurich in 1905. The bank became a leading player in Swiss underwriting and syndication

Over the decades, the bank expanded through mergers and acquisitions. By 2006, it was operating globally in private banking, investment banking and asset management.

What’s happening at Credit Suisse

Over the past year, Credit Suisse’s stock value has plummeted, with the company’s market capitalization dropping over 50%. This has happened due to a series of scandals that began in 2021.

Scandal after scandal…

  • Greensill Capital: British financial services company focused on supply chain and accounts receivable financing. It originated loans, securitized them and sold them to investors. Credit Suisse had $10 billion invested in the company’s products. In March 2021, Greensill Capital failed, causing Credit Suisse’s clients to lose as much as $3 billion on their investments.
  • Archegos Capital: This private company primarily managed the assets of Bill Hwang, an American trader and investor. Credit Suisse provided brokerage services to Archegos Capital, including lending. Archegos Capital reportedly experienced losses of as much as $20 billion in just a few days. A month after the Greensill losses, Credit Suisse lost $4.7 billion due to its involvement with Archegos Capital, and at least seven Credit Suisse executives were removed from their jobs.
  • Drug-related money laundering: In February 2022, Credit Suisse was charged with being involved in money laundering by a Bulgarian cocaine trafficking gang. It was the first criminal trial of a major bank to occur in Switzerland. In June, the bank was found guilty, fined 1.7 million euros, and ordered to pay 15 million euros to the Swiss government. Credit Suisse announced plans to appeal.
  • Information leaks: In the same month, the details of 30,000 customer accounts holding more than 100 billion Swiss francs in accounts at Credit Suisse were leaked to Süddeutsche Zeitung, a major German newspaper. Included in the leak were accounts held by people involved in human trafficking, drug trafficking and torture. One account was also allegedly associated with the Vatican and fraudulently invested in 350 million euros worth of property in London.
  • Ukraine invasion: Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Switzerland placed sanctions on Russia. In response, Credit Suisse requested hedge funds and other investors to destroy documents that linked Russian oligarchs to things like loans. This led to probes into the bank’s compliance with sanction requirements.

These scandals have had a major impact on the bank, hurting its image, reducing investor confidence and causing its stock value to drop since these scandals began.

What’s happening now?

After dealing with these scandals, Credit Suisse has seen its stock price drop from a pandemic-era high of $12.30 to $4.42 as of market open on October 11, 2022. This has resulted in its market capitalization dropping by more than 50%.

This major decrease in the company’s value, combined with the series of scandals, has led to concerns about the stability of Credit Suisse. Recently, social media rumors have begun predicting that the bank is on the precipice of failure, though Credit Suisse denies that, claiming it has a “strong capital base and liquidity position.”

The rate for credit default swaps on Credit Suisse debt has spiked this year, rising from less than 1% to nearly 6%. Higher rates indicate that the market feels that bankruptcy is more likely.

What is Credit Suisse Going to Do?

Though Credit Suisse claims that it is in a strong financial position despite recent scandals and losses, it is taking steps to strengthen itself further and to show that strength to outside investors.

For example, the company has offered to buy back $3 billion of its debt securities. It also placed the Savoy Hotel, located in Zurich, up for sale to help raise additional capital. As a result, the company’s stock price shot up by about 4%.

Why it matters

The global financial system is closely interconnected, and Credit Suisse is one of the world’s largest investment banks. If one of the largest investment banks in the world fails, it could send a shockwave through the financial system in the same way that the Lehman Brothers failure precipitated the start of the recession in 2008.

The volatility in the company’s stock price can also be seen as a barometer for market sentiment. With inflation high and many people concerned about a coming recession, the uncertainty of Credit Suisse’s stock price can show the level of anxiety in the market regarding the economy in general.

The bottom line

Credit Suisse has been battling scandal for more than a year and has seen its stock price plummet as a result. While some worry that these losses have left the bank financially unstable and placed it on the brink of failure, Credit Suisse claims that it is financially strong and has plans to recover.

While only time will tell which side is correct, many onlookers will continue to watch to see if Credit Suisse might be the herald of the next financial crisis—or show that we’ve learned from previous mistakes and can weather problems with major global banks.

When the market is so volatile and institutions start teetering, individual investors should consider an investment product like

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Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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