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Investment

GICs vs. Bonds: Which Should You Invest In?

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As financial markets continue to exhibit volatility, equities have slowly fallen out of favour as investors attempt to limit their losses. For those not looking to ‘buy the dip’ and instead move into lower-risk investments, guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) and bonds are two primary contenders. Each investment type comes with its benefits, but which option reigns superior?

Previously an afterthought on the product shelf hovering around 1-3% in return over the last several years, GICs are an investment worth considering for those looking to move into less risky investments. With the stock gains of 2021 all but wiped out in the first three quarters of 2022 and the Bank of Canada overnight rate creeping up, GIC rates have trended upwards of 4%.

One of the key benefits of the GIC is – as the name suggests – the guaranteed return. GICs are a relatively straightforward investment option for Canadians with a guaranteed interest rate over a set period (typically anywhere from one to five years). They can also be held as part of your registered plan such as TFSA or RRSP. Over the last five years, GIC rates among financial institutions have been as low as 0.6% and currently sit at 4% and higher, depending on the institution and term.

One of the main drawbacks of the GIC is the inflexibility once your money is invested. In other words, once your initial investment is locked in, you are not able to withdraw funds in a pinch. They are also a relatively short-term solution – though there is the option to re-invest upon term completion. One way to maximize returns while maintaining some flexibility is called ‘laddering,’ in which investors split their investment across different terms (i.e., $5,000 towards a 5-year GIC and the same amount towards a 4, 3, 2, and 1-year GIC). Once the first GIC term is complete, the investor can decide to re-invest or pull out the money.

Benefits of Bonds

Bonds are another low-risk alternative to equities. In simple terms, purchasing a bond equates to lending money to the government. The government then guarantees that a prescribed amount, or ‘face value,’ will be repaid at the maturity date. Like most loans, interest (in the form of ‘coupons’) is paid on the loan. The term ‘bond yield’ describes the entire value created by the bond, comprised of the coupons paid and the value/loss arising from the sale of the bond.

Bond yields are directly correlated with mortgage rates. According to data from the Bank of Canada, over the last five years, the average bond yield for a 10-year bond was 1.9%, with a high of 3.24% in June 2022. When interest rates rise, bond prices typically fall to reflect the lower return the bond buyer will make on the purchase of the bond (compared to purchasing a newly issued bond with a higher rate). As such, bonds are not completely risk-free.

Bonds can be bought and sold at any point, with the risk of losing money on the sale if sold at a discount, but also the opportunity to sell at a premium. Bonds are a good option for those who want more liquidity in their investments, and often make up at least some portion of a well-diversified portfolio, with advice often citing that investors should increase their bond allocation to reduce risk as they approach retirement age.

GIC vs. Bond: Which is the Better Choice?

Both GICs and bonds can be purchased from a bank or other large financial institution. While current rates might appear to favour GICs as the superior investment option, the comparison is not clear-cut. Unlike GICs, bondholders have the opportunity to enjoy higher yields over time depending on several external market factors.

Overall, both GICs and bonds are effective ways to reduce overall portfolio risk while enjoying steady returns over time. When it comes down to which is better for the individual investor, it all comes down to risk tolerance and the desire for flexibility and liquidity.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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Breaking Business News Canada

The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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