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Canada Must Create a Real Estate Climate Risk Index for Houses: IBC

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Actions to protect homeowners and communities from climate-related risks must be taken immediately, the Insurance Bureau of Canada (IBC) says, and the proposed solution is the creation of a Real Estate Climate Risk Index.

That Index would be like a credit score, based on a property’s “susceptibility to catastrophic loss based on known risk factors,” and would “form the basis for managing and reducing household, community, and municipal climate risk.”

“Canada must develop a universal climate risk disclosure system by 2025,” said Craig Steward, IBC’s Vice-President, Climate Change and Federal Issues. “We simply can’t wait until 2050 to be climate compatible in the housing sector. Immediate action must be taken to protect homeowners and communities, or catastrophic loss to homes and communities will continue to increase in severity and cost, year after year.”

That was the key takeaway from the IBC’s latest report, titled “Designing the Path to Climate Compatibility: Climate Risk Disclosure and Action in the Canadian Housing Context” and conducted in partnership with the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

The goal behind the partnership was to “examine disclosure of physical hazards and climate risk in the Canadian housing context” and was motivated by “the need to respond to the accelerated frequency and severity of catastrophic loss events in the housing finance system, as well as the need to create an aligned view of climate risks for homeowners.”

IBC statistics show that Canada suffered $2.1B in insured loses due to severe weather events last year. Furthermore, seven of the 10 years where Canada saw its highest insured losses of all-time have occurred in this decade, indicating that there is indeed an acceleration in frequency of extreme weather events. Just last month, Hurricane Fiona stormed through Atlantic Canada, resulting in what the IBC has estimated to be $660M in damages.

READ: Droughts, Floods, and Storms Could Cost Canada $139B by 2050

The IBC and CMHC say that climate risk data and analytics can assist homeowners, homebuilders, the financial sector, and governments in “mobiliz[ing] capital toward effect and efficient property-level climate resilience and prioritize community-level adaptation investments.” That conclusion was reached following a series of interviews the IBC and CMHC conducted with leaders in the housing and financial sectors.

The report came up with two major recommendations, one of which was the Real Estate Climate Risk Index, which would take into account eight factors: probability of risk, severity of risk, risk frequency, compounding factors, site-level resilience, community resilience, municipal resilience, and regional response.

The Real Estate Climate Risk Index formula. (IBC / CMHC)

The other big recommendation was to establish an “action matrix” which would ensure that lenders, insurers, municipalities, and homeowners shared an aligned view of risk and how to reduce it. The IBC and CMHC did not detail what such a matrix would look like, but action matrixes are typically a two-axis chart with “effort” on one axis and “impact” on the other, creating four action types: quick wins (low-effort, high-impact), fill-ins (low-effort, low-impact), major projects (high-effort, high impact), and thankless tasks (high-effort, low-impact).

Other guiding principles that emerged from the study include recognizing that contexts differ from region to region, community to community, and even site to site. As an IBC representative previously told STOREYS, different regions across Canada can often have their own unique set of risks. Atlantic Canada has a higher risk of hurricanes, while Western Canada is more susceptible to wildfires.

Yet another principle was to increase resiliency planning in order to achieve more efficient recovery in regions with known risks. Additionally, the IBC and CMHC also repeatedly emphasized throughout their report that actors across the housing supply chain — buildings, insurers, lenders, sellers — should take up the responsibility of disclosing risk factors to homeowners, and prospective homeowners, throughout the homeownership life cycle.

Members of the study recognized that barriers to this disclosure currently exist, such as privacy laws, constraints on the bank level, and differing alignments between levels of government, but that those barriers need to be quickly removed if Canada wants to meet its stated goal of having net-zero emissions and being climate-resilient by 2050.

Written By
Howard Chai

 

Howard is a Staff Writer at STOREYS. He is based in Vancouver, British Columbia, and has also written about media for One Zero and international politics for WhoWhatWhy. Before STOREYS, he was also the Deputy Editor of 604 Now.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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