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Economy

Young Canadians pessimistic about economy in 2023: survey

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Young Canadians are increasingly pessimistic about Canada’s economic situation compared to a year ago and are more willing to stay in their current jobs than leave, a recent survey from Leger shows.

The results are part of Leger’s latest Youth Study Report, released Thursday, which asked 3,007 Canadians between the ages of 15 and 39 questions about finances, the future and employment.

“Whether realistic or cynical, they are nervous about the future and prefer to live in the moment,” the report says. “They do not trust traditional institutions to make things better; rather, they prefer to embody change locally.”

The survey, conducted between Sept. 27 and Oct. 11, found 74 per cent of Generation Z and millennial Canadians do not believe the country’s economic situation will improve in the following year, compared to 66 per cent of those polled in 2021.

Seventy-three per cent say they also don’t believe Canada’s political situation will get better in 2023, down from 77 per cent in the last survey.

Meanwhile, 78 per cent don’t believe the current situation with the environment will improve, down slightly from 79 per cent in 2021.

The survey also asked respondents questions about their overall happiness, with 67 per cent saying they feel generally happy in life compared to 23 per cent who disagreed.

More young Canadians, 26 per cent, also say they have experienced significant depression, up from 21 per cent in 2021.

FINANCES

Asked about their personal finances, 22 per cent of young people considered them to be in good shape, compared to 47 per cent who said they were normal and 28 per cent who described them as poor.

“Quite pessimistic about the state of the financial markets and their access to property, young people adapt their behaviour according to soaring inflation,” the report states.

“Faced with these uncertainties about their future, we are seeing a return to financial prudence for many of them.”

Forty-four per cent said they were living paycheque to paycheque, about one-third expect to be richer than their parents and 24 per cent do not have any investments.

Of those surveyed who are homeowners, 42 per cent said their mortgage takes up too much of their expenses.

Among renters, 77 per cent said they rent because they are unable to purchase property and 68 per cent don’t think they will be able to buy in the next few years.

A majority, 66 per cent, of young people living with their parents also said they are doing so because they can’t buy property or pay rent.

EMPLOYMENT

Sixty-seven per cent of respondents said work is very or somewhat important in their lives compared to 31 per cent who said it is either not important at all or just a way to pay the bills.

However, young people are currently more likely to stay in their current jobs, at least in the short term, with 13 per cent saying they want to change jobs in the next year, down from 25 per cent in the 2021 study.

Among young people who do intend on leaving their jobs in the next year, 59 per cent said they could be convinced to stay if their employer increased their salary. More benefits and freedom with their work schedule and location came in second at 24 per cent.

Half of young workers also said they do what is expected of them or less at work.

“While important, employment is not necessarily central to Generation Z and millennials’ lives,” the report says.

“Favoured by the labour shortage, they have the luxury of choosing a job that offers them work-life balance and exciting career challenges. If 2021 was the year of job mobility, 2022 may well be the year of stability, with a decreasing number of young workers saying they want to leave their company in the next year.”

The results of the Leger survey differ from those of another recently-published study conducted by a business consulting firm. According to Robert Half, which polled a smaller group of Canadians a short time after the Leger survey was conducted, about half of Gen Zs and millennials plan on looking for a new job in the new year.

The results of that study suggested that economic uncertainty and the rising cost of inflation were driving younger workers to look for better-paying gigs.

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Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Canada’s inflation rate hits 2% target, reaches lowest level in more than three years

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OTTAWA – Canada’s inflation rate fell to two per cent last month, finally hitting the Bank of Canada’s target after a tumultuous battle with skyrocketing price growth.

The annual inflation rate fell from 2.5 per cent in July to reach the lowest level since February 2021.

Statistics Canada’s consumer price index report on Tuesday attributed the slowdown in part to lower gasoline prices.

Clothing and footwear prices also decreased on a month-over-month basis, marking the first decline in the month of August since 1971 as retailers offered larger discounts to entice shoppers amid slowing demand.

The Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures of inflation, which strip out volatility in prices, also edged down in August.

The marked slowdown in price growth last month was steeper than the 2.1 per cent annual increase forecasters were expecting ahead of Tuesday’s release and will likely spark speculation of a larger interest rate cut next month from the Bank of Canada.

“Inflation remains unthreatening and the Bank of Canada should now focus on trying to stimulate the economy and halting the upward climb in the unemployment rate,” wrote CIBC senior economist Andrew Grantham.

Benjamin Reitzes, managing director of Canadian rates and macro strategist at BMO, said Tuesday’s figures “tilt the scales” slightly in favour of more aggressive cuts, though he noted the Bank of Canada will have one more inflation reading before its October rate announcement.

“If we get another big downside surprise, calls for a 50 basis-point cut will only grow louder,” wrote Reitzes in a client note.

The central bank began rapidly hiking interest rates in March 2022 in response to runaway inflation, which peaked at a whopping 8.1 per cent that summer.

The central bank increased its key lending rate to five per cent and held it at that level until June 2024, when it delivered its first rate cut in four years.

A combination of recovered global supply chains and high interest rates have helped cool price growth in Canada and around the world.

Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem recently signalled that the central bank is ready to increase the size of its interest rate cuts, if inflation or the economy slow by more than expected.

Its key lending rate currently stands at 4.25 per cent.

CIBC is forecasting the central bank will cut its key rate by two percentage points between now and the middle of next year.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is also expected on Wednesday to deliver its first interest rate cut in four years.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Federal money and sales taxes help pump up New Brunswick budget surplus

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FREDERICTON – New Brunswick‘s finance minister says the province recorded a surplus of $500.8 million for the fiscal year that ended in March.

Ernie Steeves says the amount — more than 10 times higher than the province’s original $40.3-million budget projection for the 2023-24 fiscal year — was largely the result of a strong economy and population growth.

The report of a big surplus comes as the province prepares for an election campaign, which will officially start on Thursday and end with a vote on Oct. 21.

Steeves says growth of the surplus was fed by revenue from the Harmonized Sales Tax and federal money, especially for health-care funding.

Progressive Conservative Premier Blaine Higgs has promised to reduce the HST by two percentage points to 13 per cent if the party is elected to govern next month.

Meanwhile, the province’s net debt, according to the audited consolidated financial statements, has dropped from $12.3 billion in 2022-23 to $11.8 billion in the most recent fiscal year.

Liberal critic René Legacy says having a stronger balance sheet does not eliminate issues in health care, housing and education.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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