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Toronto housing market ends year with a whimper with benchmark prices down 8.9%

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Toronto’s housing market ended 2022 with a whimper, with sales off nearly 50 per cent from last December and benchmark and average selling prices down 8.9 per cent and 9.2 per cent, respectively, from a year ago.

While data released Thursday by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board showed the average price of a home sold over the course of the year checked in at $1,189,850 — about 8.6 per cent above the average selling price in 2021 — those gains were largely attributable to strength early in the year. As inflation peaked and the Bank of Canada turned up the heat on interest rates, home prices in the region began slipping back to the million-dollar mark.

“Following a very strong start to the year, home sales trended lower in the spring and summer of 2022,” said new Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) president Paul Baron in the report.

“As aggressive Bank of Canada interest rate hikes further hampered housing affordability with no relief from the Office of Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) mortgage stress test or other mortgage lending guidelines including amortization periods, home selling prices adjusted downward to mitigate the impact of higher mortgage rates.”

However, there were signs the market adjustment may be coming to an end, Baron said, as home prices began levelling off in the late summer.

Much like other competitive Canadian markets, new home listings were also down in 2022 year over year. There were 152,873 new listings reported through TRREB’s MLS system — accounting for an 8.2 per cent decline compared to 166,600 new listings in 2021. Home sales, at 75,140 units, did not fare any better, down 38.2 per cent from 2021’s record of 121,639 units.

“While home sales and prices dominated the headlines in 2022, the supply of new listings continued to be an issue as well,” TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer said in the report.

Mercer said the listings shortage helped explain why price declines slowed to end the year.

On a month-over-month basis, December’s composite benchmark price was down just 0.77 per cent to $1,081,400 from $1,089,800 in November, though the average selling price was down 9.28 per cent.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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