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ARK Investment Management's Catherine Wood on why she is bullish on Tesla and bitcoin, and bearish on banks – The Globe and Mail

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LANDON SPEERS/The Globe and Mail

When Catherine Wood launched her firm six years ago to focus on disruptive innovation, it was a bold move. But the former chief investment officer of global thematic strategies at U.S.-based AllianceBernstein was convinced of the opportunities in new technologies ranging from driverless cars to genomics. Today, the firm oversees US$11.1 billion in assets, and the firm’s U.S. flagship ARK Innovation ETF has outpaced the S&P 500 Total Return Index handily since inception. In Canada, ARK manages the new Emerge ARK ETFs. We asked Wood, 64, why she is bullish on Tesla and bitcoin, and bearish on banks.

Why did you bet on disruptive innovation?

I watched the traditional asset management business heading toward passive indexation. But I also saw five innovation platforms—artificial intelligence, energy storage, robotics, genome sequencing and blockchain technology—that were evolving and spawning new technologies. Indexes are backward looking. I felt there was a void to fill, and we could also be disruptive to our own industry. I consider ARK to be the first sharing-economy company in asset management. We push our original research into social media [for feedback].

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How will focusing on disruptive innovation help you outperform passive indexes?

You need to go back to the late 1800s and early 1900s to see multiple innovation platforms happening at the same time. Back then, it was the telephone, electricity and the internal combustion engine. We expect today’s five innovation platforms to dwarf the productivity gains and wealth creation from those three. If we are right, traditional benchmark indexes are going to be populated by value traps—companies disrupted by innovation.

Where are the value traps?

We think digital wallets, such as Square’s Cash App and PayPal’s Venmo, are going to take the place of banks. They will become bank branches in our pockets. This is going to happen in the United States and emerging markets. In the era of disruptive innovation, flat to inverted yield curves are going to be more the norm and that’s not good for banks’ net interest margins. We think oil companies will be disrupted by electric and autonomous vehicles. Railways will probably face a threat from autonomous truck platoons, and retailers from more online sales as drone technology gets regulatory approval. If pharma and biotech companies don’t invest in new technologies, such as CRISPR gene editing to cure diseases, they will be lost.

You have a five-year target of more than US$7,000 a share on Tesla. Why are you so bullish despite Elon Musk’s antics and tweets?

We keep our eye on the prize. Tesla has competitive advantages versus other automakers in moving toward electric and autonomous vehicles. They include advanced artificial intelligence chips, lower battery costs, more than 13 billion miles of real-world autonomous driving data and over-the-air software updates. I bought my Tesla Model 3 in September 2018, and today I have a better car than I had then. We forecast 37 million electric vehicles will be sold in 2024, and Tesla will keep its 17%-to-18% market share. We don’t think regulators will permit driverless taxis until late 2021, but the expected gross margins are 80% to 90%, and Tesla could win the lion’s share of the U.S. market.

What other potential high-growth stocks do you own?

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We own Illumina, a DNA gene-sequencing company that enables breakthroughs in genomics, and Invitae, a genetic-testing company. We have three gene-editing stocks: CRISPR Therapeutics, Intellia Therapeutics and Editas Medicine. Stratasys is a 3-D printing company making strides in aerospace—it can produce small engine parts cheaply.

Grayscale Bitcoin Investment Trust helped boost your flagship ETF in 2017, when bitcoin soared to nearly US$20,000 before plunging. Why did you sell?

It was a business decision, even though we are extremely optimistic about bitcoin. We do believe it is the reserve currency of the crypto-asset ecosystem. But most wirehouses [major U.S. brokers] would not let our flagship ETF on their trading plat- forms with bitcoin [in the portfolio]. It’s the same in Canada. But ARK Next Generation Internet ETF still owns it. Bitcoin is also one of the largest positions in my retirement account.

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Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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