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New poll shows Albertans are increasingly worried about their personal finances

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A new nationwide poll shows Albertans are worried about their personal finances and feel as though they are falling behind as inflation rates continue to remain high.

The poll, conducted in December by Pollara, surveyed 451 Albertans as part of a larger canvassing that recorded the feelings of 4,020 Canadians on how they felt toward personal, national and global finances. Dan Arnold, Pollara’s Chief Strategy Officer, said both Canadians and Albertans are more worried about their money than they have been over the past decade, noting Pollara has been running the poll for two decades.

“This is the most pessimistic that Canadians have been since, really the economic crash in 2008, 2009 and the mood in Alberta is equally bleak,” said Arnold. “I know that there’s an economist’s definition of a recession that we don’t qualify for but Canadians are not economists, they kind of look around and they have a gut feeling and they’re feeling right now that things are not going very good.”

Of the more than 450 Albertans polled, 47 per cent said they feel as though they have been losing ground financially over the past several years while 42 per cent felt as though they were holding their own. Eight per cent said they felt as though they were getting ahead.

Nationally, those numbers came in at 38 per cent, 44 per cent and 13 per cent respectively.There is a 4.7 per cent margin of error attributed to Albertan responses.

While looking to the future, 61 per cent of respondents said they felt their household incomes would fall behind inflation in 2023 and 74 per cent highlighted negative feelings about their financial situation.

“They already feel like things are not going great and there’s not a lot of optimism when you look ahead to 2023 either in Alberta or in the rest of the country for that matter,” said Arnold.

The poll found 80 per cent of respondents from Alberta said they felt Canada’s economy is in a recession.

A recession is generally defined as occuring when there is a slowing of spending or economic activity for two consecutive quarters. Other definitions keep its limits more broad using a phrase stating there must be a prolonged, widespread and significant downturn.

Analysts in Canada have made a number of assessments and predictions on the country’s economic outlook with some stating the country could be in for a “downturn” and others predicting a full recession.

Trevor Tombe, an economist with the University of Calgary said Canada is absolutely not in a recession stating latest job market numbers remain strong. He said he believes if Albertans were pressed to clarify their thoughts they would agree we are not in a net recession but noted those 80 per cent of respondents are stating they are having a difficult or stressed time financially in the face of inflation.

“Inflation historically drives consumer sentiment in a large way. That’s inflation in general but gas prices, energy prices in particular,” said Tombe. “When those goods are expensive or rise in price rapidly, we tend to see consumer sentiment fall and that does matter because people might engage in what’s called precautionary savings.”

Tombe said that sentiment, with people delaying large purchases, could have a shrinking effect but that it wouldn’t be a major shrinking of economic activity.

“It’s not the make or break to whether or not the economy grows or shrinks,” said Tombe.

Both Tombe and Arnold said regardless of a recession or not, people’s attitudes towards their finances matter as it affects people’s attitude.

Arnold said if people are feeling that they have to pinch their pennies that could lead to changes in voting habits.

Meanwhile, Tombe said he believes that’s a reason why governments across the country have taken notice and introduced measures to ease voters’ financial burdens.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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