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What every Canadian investor needs to know today

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Canada’s main stock index started lower at Monday’s open with energy and mining shares weighing while investors await the Bank of Canada’s business outlook survey later in the morning.

U.S. markets are closed Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

At 9:30 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was down 29.37 points, or 0.14 per cent, at 20,330.73.

On Monday morning, the Bank of Canada delivers its twin surveys on business outlook and consumer expectations. The report comes ahead of Tuesday’s key reading on December inflation in Canada and the central bank’s next interest rate decision, which is due Jan. 25.

“RBC Economics expects today’s BoC’s Q4 business outlook survey to show an ongoing deterioration in the future sales outlook,” Alvin Tan, Asia FX strategist with RBC, said in an early note.

“This would be consistent with softer business sentiment in manufacturing PMI data. The BoC will be watching longer-run business inflation expectations and wage plans. Comments on businesses’ price-setting behaviour will also be closely scrutinized after the Q3 release flagged more businesses resorting to more frequent price raises.”

The two Bank of Canada reports are due at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Monday’s analyst upgrades and downgrades

Ahead of that, Canadian investors got a reading on Canada’s housing market with the release of December home sale figures from the Canadian Real Estate Association.

CREA said sales were up 1.3 per cent month-over-month in December but down 39.1 per cent from levels seen a year earlier.

The MLS Home Price Index declined by 1.6 per cent month-over-month and was down 7.5 per cent year-over-year, the association said.

Overseas, the pan-European STOXX 600 was up 0.23 per cent by midday. Britain’s FTSE 100 gained 0.12 per cent. Germany’s DAX added 0.21 per cent while France’s CAC 40 was up 0.16 per cent.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei finished down 1.14 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.04 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices dipped early Monday but still held most of last week’s strong gain as the reopening in China fuels optimism over future demand.

The day range on Brent is US$84.05 to US$85.59 in early trading. The range on West Texas Intermediate was US$78.79 to US$80.22. Trading remained thin with U.S. markets closed for the day.

Last week, both benchmarks spiked 8 per cent, for the best weekly showing since last fall.

“The fact remains that the first half of the year, at least, will be enormously challenging for the global economy but lower terminal rates and even cuts later in the year will cushion the blow and could see it outperform current expectations,” OANDA senior analyst Craig Erlam said in a recent note.

“That, along with the resurgence in China, will be a big plus for crude demand and could keep the price well supported.”

In other commodities, gold prices slipped as the U.S. dollar firmed.

Spot gold dipped 0.3 per cent to US$1,914.04 per ounce, as of early Monday morning, after hitting its highest since late April at US$1,929 per ounce earlier in the session.

U.S. gold futures fell 0.3 per cent to US$1,915.80.

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was little changed while its U.S. counterpart steadied after touching a seven-month low against a group of currencies.

The day range on the Canadian dollar was 74.51 US cents to 74.90 US cents.

Canadian investors get the Bank of Canada business outlook and consumer expectation surveys this morning followed by fresh inflation figures tomorrow morning.

On world markets, the U.S. dollar index, which weighs the greenback against a group of currencies, hit a seven-month low of 101.77 in Asian trading, extending its selloff from last week after data showed that U.S consumer prices fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December, Reuters reported.

The euro touched a new nine-month high of US$1.0874 in early trading before pulling back to US$1.0861, while the Australian dollar breached the key US$0.7000 level for the first time since August, before dipping back to US$0.6959, the news agency said.

Economic news

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian manufacturing sales and new orders for November.

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian construction investment for November.

(9 a.m. ET) Canada’s existing home sales and average prices for December.

(9 a.m. ET) Canada’s MLS Home Price Index for December.

(10:30 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey and Survey of Consumer Expectations for Q4 are released.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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