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‘They’ve basically all gone away, haven’t they?’: After Buffett's LNG exit, industry watchers wonder who's left to invest in Canada – Financial Post

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A day after legendary investor Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway abandoned an investment in GNL Quebec’s $9-billion Energie Saguenay liquefied natural gas project, frustrated investors and analysts are wondering if there’s anyone left to invest in LNG in Canada — or anything else, for that matter.

“They’ve basically all gone away, haven’t they?” said Cameron Gingrich, director of strategic energy advisory services at Solomon Associates in Calgary, of the major strategic investors in Canada’s nascent LNG industry.

In addition to Berkshire Hathaway, Gingrich said there’s been a long list of foreign strategic investors pull out of planned investments in proposed LNG projects in Canada in recent months and years, including Chevron Corp., Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Exxon Mobil Corp., CNOOC Ltd. and Petronas Bhd., which shelved its Pacific NorthWest LNG project to buy a smaller stake in a project led by Royal Dutch Shell plc.

Shell is currently building the $40-billion LNG Canada project and connected Coastal GasLink pipeline, which has faced protests from a breakaway group of hereditary Wet’suwet’en chiefs in British Columbia that led to cross-country rail blockades last month.

The railway blockades and concerns about building major infrastructure projects in Canada were understood to be the reason Buffett’s Omaha, Neb.-based Berkshire Hathaway pulled out of the Energie Saguenay project, in which it had planned to invest $4 billion.

“The reason is the recent challenge in the Canadian political context,” GNL Quebec spokesperson Stephanie Fortin said Thursday.

Gingrich added that the problem extends beyond LNG.

“You see the carnage on the road with all of these major infrastructure projects that weren’t able to get to a final investment decision,” Gingrich said.

Many analysts in the sector say they’ve seen strategic investors shy away from the Canadian energy industry over challenges building projects.

“This, without hearing directly from Berkshire Hathaway, this would be similar to what we’ve heard from other institutional investors,” Raymond James analyst Jeremy McCrea said of Buffett’s decision to pull out of the project.

Too often, the federal government has blamed project cancellations like TC Energy Corp.’s Energy East pipeline project on commodity prices rather than concerns about regulatory delays and competitiveness, said Raffi Tahmazian, a principal and senior portfolio manager with Canoe Financial.

That is such an immature and irresponsible statement to make to your constituents, because you’re misleading people about the problem

Raffi Tahmazian, Canoe Financial

“That is such an immature and irresponsible statement to make to your constituents, because you’re misleading people about the problem,” Tahmazian said.

He said it’s disingenuous to suggest investors are shying away from the Energie Saguenay project given current LNG prices because long-term strategic investors look at the distant outlook for prices.

Most analysts expect global demand for LNG to overtake existing sources of supply in the second half of this decade, making new LNG projects attractive investments given moves by China and other Asian economies to prioritize natural gas for power generation over coal.

However, Tahmazian said Canada and the Energie Saguenay project risk missing out on selling into those major overseas markets as investors such as Berkshire Hathaway choose to spend their money in other countries.

Even Canadian companies, such as Teck Resources, which shelved its $20.6-billion Frontier oilsands project last month, are becoming reluctant to invest.

“Foreign capital is going to exit, foreign capital is not coming into the country and now even domestic capital is looking outside,” Tahmazian said.

• Email: gmorgan@nationalpost.com | Twitter:

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stocks also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal sector, while U.S. stock markets were also higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was 143.00 points at 24,048.88.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 174.22 points at 42,088.97. The S&P 500 index was up 10.23 points at 5,732.49, while the Nasdaq composite was up 30.02 points at 18,112.23.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.23 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$1.68 at US$68.01 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down six cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$4.40 at US$2,689.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 13 cents at US$4.62 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Tempted to switch to an online-only bank? Know the perks and drawbacks

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Switching to an online-only bank more than a decade ago was just another way Jessica Morgan was trying to save money at the time as a new grad.

“Saving money was the main motivator,” Morgan, now a financial educator and founder of Canadianbudget.ca, recalled.

“After graduating, you no longer qualify for student rates where you might get free banking and I didn’t want to go back to paying fees for giving the bank my money to hold.”

Digital lenders have grown in popularity in recent years, with more players popping up in the sector and traditional banks beefing up their online offerings. But some Canadians may still be hesitant to bank with a financial firm that doesn’t have physical branches where you can talk to an employee face-to-face.

Natasha Macmillan, director of everyday banking at Ratehub.ca, says some of that hesitancy to switch to an online lender is loyalty.

“There’s a large portion of Canadians who have had the same bank account for many years … they’re just hesitant to switch because it’s what they know.”

Tedious paperwork to switch banks can also discourage many Canadians from making the move despite the ease of opening online-only bank accounts, Macmillan added.

“There’s that aspect of you still need to sit down, do your research and then pick that online-only bank,” she said.

Data security concerns have also sowed seeds of doubt among many who are contemplating the switch, and prefer to continue to work with traditional banks with long-established reputations, Macmillan said.

Morgan said she often hears concerns from her clients — “What if I need help? Is this bank safe to use?” or more logistical questions, such as having access to an ATM or getting certified cheques.

One of the only major snags she personally recalls running into with her online lender was when she was purchasing a home.

“I needed to get a certified cheque, like, right away if I was going to put in an offer,” Morgan said. “You can get a certified cheque but it takes three days or so. They courier it to you.” She ended up going to her husband’s traditional bank to get day-of service.

Most online-only banks tend to offer banking products, such as savings accounts, with higher interest rates compared with traditional banks. Many also offer access to cash through any bank ATM without charge.

“Digital banks have generally a lower cost structure than a traditional bank and those savings will be passed on to the customer,” said Mahima Poddar, group head of personal banking at EQ Bank. For example, EQ offers a high-interest chequing account with no fees on everyday banking and unlimited transactions.

But customers should be aware they can’t deposit cash into their account and they can only withdraw bills, not coins.

“We don’t offer depositing of cash, but all of our research has shown that the use of cash is really diminishing,” Poddar said. “There are very few reasons why you need to urgently deposit.”

Customers also have to get used to doing all their banking by phone or through the company’s website or app.

Poddar added she thinks Canadians are more open to change, especially after the COVID-19 pandemic, which accelerated the need for better online banking services.

While trust in traditional institutions plays a strong role in choosing a bank, Poddar said EQ has the same level of protection and is governed by the same regulators as the big six banks in the country.

Lisa Brandt, 61, switched to online-only Manulife Bank more than five years ago. She says she has benefited from the move and has saved a lot of money over time on various banking fees.

“It puts me in the driver’s seat,” she said.

However, she did run into an issue once with depositing a cheque after she sold her home.

“If you’re going to deposit a couple hundred thousand dollars from a house sale, you’ll have to courier (the cheque) to them,” she said.

“It’s not quite as simple as walking into a branch and saying, ‘Give me my money.'”

While many online-only banks have been growing their consumer banking product offerings, traditional banks tend to have more financial product options, not only for individuals but also for small businesses.

“What we have heard from some Canadians is while they might be moving their chequing, savings and GIC accounts to those (online-only) spaces, they’re still maintaining a mortgage with the big players,” Macmillan said.

It’s not about moving all assets to one bank but weighing options on an individual basis, such as picking a bank with the lowest fee on a chequing account but moving investments to another bank for a better return, she explained.

“We’re starting to see that flexibility where people are shopping around for the best opportunity that can give them the most bang for their buck,” Macmillan said.

She added it is important for people to identify why they’re thinking of switching and find an online-only bank that aligns with their goals.

“It’s finding that happy medium where you do feel trust and security, that lower cost and fees and also the convenience and accessibility,” Macmillan said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up in late-morning trading, U.S. stocks also higher

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TORONTO – Strength in the energy and base metal stocks lifted Canada’s main stock index higher in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets also climbed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 78.80 points at 23,973.51.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 89.81 points at 42,214.46. The S&P 500 index was up 2.55 points at 5,721.12, while the Nasdaq composite was up 21.24 points at 17,995.51.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.24 cents US compared with 74.02 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up US$1.06 at US$71.43 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.83 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.10 at US$2,670.60 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 15 cents at US$4.49 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 24, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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