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Prices for Okanagan real estate continue to fall while supply increases

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“Realistic expectations” are one of the changes in the Okanagan housing market, according to the Association of Interior Realtors.

In its May release of sales figures, the association said that there were 1,662 residential unit sales from the Shuswap to the South Okanagan in May, amounting to a 3.4 per cent decrease in sales compared with the same month last year. Compared to April’s 1,226 unit sales, however, things are looking up.

“Some buyers seem to have recovered from the rate shock and re-evaluated or have adjusted their expectations of what they desire to more realistic expectations so that they can resume their real estate efforts,” said Chelsea Mann, president of the association.

“While this is great to see, interest rates are still top of mind for many buyers.”

That’s probably more so as of Wednesday, when the central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 4.75 per cent, an increase of a quarter-percentage point, in its first hike since January. The policy rate, which sets the cost of borrowing in Canada, now stands at its highest level since May 2001.

Whether that will affect buyers in the days to come remains to be seen. In Central Okanagan, there were 249 single-family homes sold in May, which was a rise of 2.4 per cent from the year earlier.

The price, however, saw some downward trajectory with the price coming in 6.7 per cent lower at $1,048,900. The number of days that a single-family home is on the market has also increased to 47 this May, which is a rise of 79.8 per cent year over year.

The Shuswap also saw more sales this May, with 61 transactions amounting to an uptick of 3.4 per cent.

Like the Central Okanagan, the benchmark price was down 5.7 per cent to $712,100, while the average number of days on the market was 62, which is up 105 per cent from a year earlier.

In the North Okanagan, the volume of sales decreased the greatest, with a drop of 14 per cent to 93 sales.

The price of a home in the North Okanagan also fell to $777,600, which was down by 4.6 per cent. It took 52 days to sell a property, which is a rise of 97.5 per cent from a year earlier.

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The South Okanagan saw similar trends. While the number of sales was down 10 per cent to 88, the days to sell had grown 50 per cent to 50. Prices were also 6.6 per cent to $772,200.

The total number of active listings saw an increase of 25.5 per cent of total inventory compared with May last year, with 6,767 total residential listings recorded across the association’s region.

The highest percentage increase in active listings was recorded in the North Okanagan, with a total increase of 44.8 per cent relative to the same month last year.

“The upward trajectory of new listings from just a month ago is a promising sign that inventory may be rebounding and starting to replenish at a healthier pace than before. It will be interesting to see if this momentum continues to help bring a more balanced market,” Mann said.

Pricing shifts are something that Mann indicated people may want to come to terms with.

“When looking at housing prices, especially with regards to B.C. assessment values, it is important to note that there may be a disconnect in perception when it comes to property assessed value versus actual market value,” Mann said.

“The B.C. assessment value will not always correlate with the actual market value,” Mann explained. “Those property assessed values were calculated last year, which does not necessarily reflect what is currently happening in the real estate market today.”

 

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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