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Nicola Sturgeon Scandal: What to Know

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When Scotland’s longtime leader Nicola Sturgeon announced her shock resignation in February, no one would have guessed that just four months later, she would be pictured in the back of a police car. The former First Minister and Scottish National Party (SNP) leader was arrested on Sunday amid an ongoing investigation into the funding and finances of the SNP. After several hours of questioning, Sturgeon was released without charge.

“To find myself in a situation I did today when I am certain I have committed no offense is both a shock and deeply distressing,” Sturgeon wrote in a statement posted to Twitter following her release. “Innocence is not just a presumption I am entitled to in law. I know beyond doubt that I am in fact innocent of any wrongdoing.”

The arrest marks a dramatic fall from grace for Sturgeon, a once-towering figure in British politics who dominated Scotland’s independence movement for nearly a decade. Although her successor Humza Yousaf has so far avoided implication in the ongoing probe, neither he nor his party have been insulated from the blowback. The scandal has sent the SNP into internal disarray, with some of its members now calling for their former leader’s suspension. The party’s standing in the polls, though better than that of its rivals, has seen a marked dip in recent months. A recent Survation survey found that 41% of SNP voters are less likely to vote for the party as a result of the investigation.

Below, what you need to know about the investigation and its implications for British politics.

Former Scottish first minister Nicola Sturgeon talking to media as she returns to the Scottish Parliament in Edinburgh on April 25. Her husband, former chief executive of the SNP Peter Murrell, was arrested earlier this month by police investigating the SNPs finances, and questioned for more than 11 hours before being released pending further investigation.
PA Wire/PA Images

What is the police investigation about?

Operation Branchform, as Police Scotland’s investigation into the SNP’s finances is known, first began in 2021 over complaints of alleged mishandling of more than £600,000 ($750,000) in donations earmarked for securing a second independence referendum.


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The first, which was held in 2014, resulted in Scots voting 55% to 45% to remain in the U.K. But independence campaigners argue that support for independence has only been bolstered by Britain’s exit from the E.U., which the majority of Scots opposed.

Central to the investigation are allegations, first raised in 2017, that donations earmarked for another referendum were instead used by the SNP to finance its general election campaign in 2017—a claim that the party has staunchly denied. Those allegations only grew louder in 2020, after the U.K.’s Electoral Commission published the SNP’s 2019 accounts, which revealed that the party had just under £97,000 in the bank—a far cry from the £600,000 it claimed to have “ring-fenced” to fight for another referendum. The next year saw a number of high-profile resignations from the party over transparency issues, including the SNP’s national treasurer.

In June 2021, the SNP’s longtime chief executive (and Sturgeon’s husband) Peter Murrell provided the party with a personal loan of £107,000 ($133,000) to “assist with cash flow.” One month later, Police Scotland formally launched its investigation.

Police officers attend the Scottish National Party's offices on April 5 in Edinburgh, Scotland. (Robert Perry—Getty Images)
Police officers attend the Scottish National Party’s offices on April 5 in Edinburgh, Scotland.
Robert Perry—Getty Images

Though it remains unclear how much Sturgeon knew about the status of the investigation prior to her resignation, her decision was swiftly followed by the resignation of her husband, who stepped down as the SNP’s CEO after taking responsibility for misleading the media about the party’s membership figures, which saw a sizeable drop from its peak of 125,000 in 2019 to 72,000 in 2023. (A decline that is estimated to have cost the party hundreds of thousands of pounds in lost income generated by membership dues.) Like Sturgeon, both Murrell and the SNP’s erstwhile treasurer Colin Beattie were arrested and taken in for questioning before ultimately being released without charge, pending further investigation.

Among the most surreal moments of the investigation—at least prior to Sturgeon’s arrest—was the police’s decision to search her and Murrell’s home as well as confiscate a luxury motorhome worth an estimated £110,000 ($137,000), which had reportedly been purchased as a “battle bus” for the Scottish elections in 2021 and was, at the time of confiscation, parked outside Murrell’s mother’s house.

What impact has the investigation had on the SNP?

The SNP has been in turmoil following Sturgeon’s resignation. The race to replace her exposed deep divisions within the party on matters as wide-ranging as gender-recognition reforms and how best to achieve a second independence referendum, and even prompted speculation of a potential split within it. While Yousaf’s victory was welcomed by the SNP leadership, his brief tenure has largely been overshadowed by the ongoing investigation. His status as the “continuity candidate” has made it difficult for him to distance himself from Sturgeon, who only days before her arrest he described as being “one of the best” politicians Europe has seen in decades.

Though the arrest of former political leaders is highly unusual in Britain, Sturgeon is not the first former First Minister to be taken into police custody. Indeed, her predecessor Alex Salmond, who led the SNP into government in 2007, was arrested—but ultimately acquitted—on sexual assault charges in 2019.

Then First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, with her husband Peter Murrell, rehearses her SNP campaign speech during the Scottish Parliamentary Elections, in Glasgow, Scotland on March 28, 2021. (Russell Cheyne—PA Wire/Press Association/AP Images)
Then First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, with her husband Peter Murrell, rehearses her SNP campaign speech during the Scottish Parliamentary Elections, in Glasgow, Scotland on March 28, 2021.
Russell Cheyne—PA Wire/Press Association/AP Images

Will the investigation hurt the SNP’s independence aspirations or electoral prospects?

The investigation into the SNP’s finances has been ongoing for some time, with an unclear impact on the public’s overall support for the party’s signature goal of Scottish independence. According to What Scotland Thinks, a blog run by British pollster John Curtice and the Scottish Centre for Social Research, support for Scottish independence has oscillated between 45% and 55% in recent months, with the most recent polling showing support for independence trailing those against 45% to 48%, respectively.

The same may not be true for the SNP’s electoral prospects, however. The ascendant Labour Party, which is leading national polls, is hoping to make gains in Scotland when Britain holds its next general election, expected in late 2024. In addition to being the largest political party in Scotland’s devolved legislature in Holyrood, the SNP also claims the majority of the majority of Scottish seats in the U.K. national government in Westminster. As things stand, the SNP is at risk of losing half of its Westminster lawmakers to Labour, according to recent projections from the British pollster YouGov, in what would be the party’s worst performance since 2010.

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Gould calls Poilievre a ‘fraudster’ over his carbon price warning

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OTTAWA – Liberal House leader Karina Gould lambasted Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre as a “fraudster” this morning after he said the federal carbon price is going to cause a “nuclear winter.”

Gould was speaking just before the House of Commons is set to reopen following the summer break.

“What I heard yesterday from Mr. Poilievre was so over the top, so irresponsible, so immature, and something that only a fraudster would do,” she said from Parliament Hill.

On Sunday Poilievre said increasing the carbon price will cause a “nuclear winter,” painting a dystopian picture of people starving and freezing because they can’t afford food or heat due the carbon price.

He said the Liberals’ obsession with carbon pricing is “an existential threat to our economy and our way of life.”

The carbon price currently adds about 17.6 cents to every litre of gasoline, but that cost is offset by carbon rebates mailed to Canadians every three months. The Parliamentary Budget Office provided analysis that showed eight in 10 households receive more from the rebates than they pay in carbon pricing, though the office also warned that long-term economic effects could harm jobs and wage growth.

Gould accused Poilievre of ignoring the rebates, and refusing to tell Canadians how he would make life more affordable while battling climate change. The Liberals have also accused the Conservatives of dismissing the expertise of more than 200 economists who wrote a letter earlier this year describing the carbon price as the least expensive, most efficient way to lower emissions.

Poilievre is pushing for the other opposition parties to vote the government down and trigger what he calls a “carbon tax election.”

The recent decision by the NDP to break its political pact with the government makes an early election more likely, but there does not seem to be an interest from either the Bloc Québécois or the NDP to have it happen immediately.

Poilievre intends to bring a non-confidence motion against the government as early as this week but would likely need both the Bloc and NDP to support it.

Gould said she has no “crystal ball” over when or how often Poilievre might try to bring down the government

“I know that the end of the supply and confidence agreement makes things a bit different, but really all it does is returns us to a normal minority parliament,” she said. “And that means that we will work case-by-case, legislation-by-legislation with whichever party wants to work with us. I have already been in touch with all of the House leaders in the opposition parties and my job now is to make Parliament work for Canadians.”

She also insisted the government has listened to the concerns raised by Canadians, and received the message when the Liberals lost a Toronto byelection in June in seat the party had held since 1997.

“We certainly got the message from Toronto-St. Paul’s and have spent the summer reflecting on what that means and are coming back to Parliament, I think, very clearly focused on ensuring that Canadians are at the centre of everything that we do moving forward,” she said.

The Liberals are bracing, however, for the possibility of another blow Monday night, in a tight race to hold a Montreal seat in a byelection there. Voters in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun are casting ballots today to replace former justice minister David Lametti, who was removed from cabinet in 2023 and resigned as an MP in January.

The Conservatives and NDP are also in a tight race in Elmwood-Transcona, a Winnipeg seat that has mostly been held by the NDP over the last several decades.

There are several key bills making their way through the legislative process, including the online harms act and the NDP-endorsed pharmacare bill, which is currently in the Senate.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Voters head to the polls for byelections in Montreal and Winnipeg

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OTTAWA – Canadians in two federal ridings are choosing their next member of Parliament today, and political parties are closely watching the results.

Winnipeg’s Elmwood —Transcona seat has been vacant since the NDP’s Daniel Blaikie left federal politics.

The New Democrats are hoping to hold onto the riding and polls suggest the Conservatives are in the running.

The Montreal seat of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun opened up when former justice minister David Lametti left politics.

Polls suggest the race is tight between the Liberal candidate and the Bloc Québécois, but the NDP is also hopeful it can win.

The Conservatives took over a Liberal stronghold seat in another byelection in Toronto earlier this summer, a loss that sent shock waves through the governing party and intensified calls for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to step down as leader.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Next phase of federal foreign interference inquiry to begin today in Ottawa

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OTTAWA – The latest phase of a federal inquiry into foreign interference is set to kick off today with remarks from commissioner Marie-Josée Hogue.

Several weeks of public hearings will focus on the capacity of federal agencies to detect, deter and counter foreign interference.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and key government officials took part in hearings earlier this year as the inquiry explored allegations that Beijing tried to meddle in the 2019 and 2021 federal elections.

Hogue’s interim report, released in early May, said Beijing’s actions did not affect the overall results of the two general elections.

The report said while outcomes in a small number of ridings may have been affected by interference, this cannot be said with certainty.

Trudeau, members of his inner circle and senior security officials are slated to return to the inquiry in coming weeks.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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