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What interest rate hikes mean for renters, landlords, and variable mortgages

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Home of the Week, 971 Naphan Rd., Roslin, Ont.OneLook Photography

Here are The Globe and Mail’s top housing and real estate stories this week, with the lowest mortgage rates available in Canada today, commentary from our mortgage expert and one home worth a look.

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The latest interest rate hike is bad news for renters and some landlords

The implications of interest rate hikes reach far beyond homeowners with mortgages, reports Erica Alini. The Bank of Canada’s latest interest rate increase is expected to have widespread ripple effects for renters and real estate investors, too.

This is partially because high interest rates force would-be homebuyers to postpone a real estate purchase and continue to rent instead, the deputy chief economist at CIBC told Alini. And rates inching higher are likely to force some landlords to sell their properties. Even a small uptick in sales means fewer units available in a rental market where demand already far outstrips supply.

Variable-rate mortgage holders feeling the pressure after BoC announcement

The Bank of Canada paused its interest-rate hike campaign from February through May, which gave variable-rate mortgage borrowers a short reprieve from escalating costs, writes Rachelle Younglai.

With the latest increase from the Bank of Canada, borrowers with variable-rate mortgages face looming difficulties. The central bank’s summer interest-rate hikes will continue to stretch amortization periods, but with amortizations snapping back to their original lengths at renewal, many are in for inevitably higher monthly payments.

Copenhagen offers an example of how Vancouver could plan for the future

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An aerial shot of Copenhagen’s Carlsberg Byen, the 33-hectare former industrial district that is now partly owned by pension funds.Handout

Both Vancouver and Copenhagen are constrained geographically, and both are experiencing growth, writes Kerry Gold. Both cities are feeling the need for more housing supply, especially affordable housing.

While Vancouver is increasingly turning to towers to achieve housing supply, developers in Copenhagen have made creative moves that include refurbishing old silos for housing, as well as a 160-year-old industrial brewery district called Carlsberg Byen. Buildings in the district were largely repurposed, including the recycling of any demolished materials that went back into the new infrastructure.

The owner of the design studio behind the Carlsberg masterplan wants to remind planners that “new development demands so much from the people living there. They have to feel at home by recognizing an urban fabric they are familiar with.” People need plazas and gardens, places to meet each other – the life between the blocks of housing, he adds.

This week’s lowest available mortgage rates

Following encouraging inflation news north and south of the border, Canada’s five-year bond yield retreated from 4 per cent this week. It’s now down a whopping 30 basis points since its 16-year high on Monday, writes Robert McLister in his weekly column. That’s good news for fixed-rate mortgage shoppers. If this keeps up, we could see fixed rates edge down slightly by the end of next week. Variable rates, unfortunately, went up, he writes.

Upsizing from a condo to a house? Mind the price gap

At the opposite end of the housing spectrum from the downsizing boomer is the upsizing millennial or Gen Z, writes Rob Carrick in his weekly newsletter. Condos have long been thought of as a way for young adults to get started in the real estate market, but recent data suggests a reason for caution among people buying condos as a starter home.

With the real estate turnaround of early 2023, which favoured houses over condos, the price gap is growing, writes Carrick. Overall, houses in Canada are close to 40 per cent more expensive than condos, and cost more than double in 14 cities located in British Columbia and Ontario, plus Calgary.

Home of the week: Modern log cabin an homage to wood near Prince Edward County

  • Home of the Week, 971 Naphan Rd., Roslin, Ont.OneLook Photography

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971 Naphan Rd., Roslin, Ont.

From left to right, the rooms on the main floor almost seem to travel in time to the present: The living room/den has a massive fieldstone hearth and barnboard walls; the dining room is filled with tiger-stripe oak antiques and glass-globed brass lighting fixtures; and the kitchen evokes modern farmhouse with a huge granite-topped island over a playful turquoise lower cabinet, grey upper and pantry millwork and stainless steel appliances under a white-washed oak ceiling.

Along the back of the house is a hallway that connects the dining room, powder room and kitchen and has three exterior doors to the stone patio and side driveway and backyard. There are three more bedrooms on the top floor, and plenty of skylights to bring light into another lodge-like level filled with wood.

What do you think is the asking price for this house?

a. $859,000

b. $999,000

c. $1,100,000

d. $1,500,000

a. The asking price is $859,000.

 

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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