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‘There is a problem’ — City investment bank Peel Hunt warns London listings decline could hit growth

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City investment bank Peel Hunt has warned that the ‘shrinking pool’ of London-listed companies risks creating a downward spiral of slowing economic growth (Daniel Leal/PA) (PA Wire)

City investment bank Peel Hunt has warned that the ‘shrinking pool’ of London-listed companies risks creating a downward spiral of slowing economic growth.

Peel Hunt said that continued mergers and acquisitions while companies shun London IPOs has led to a significant reduction in businesses listed on London markets. There had only been one significant London IPO this year: CAB Payments.

The number of companies making up the FTSE Small Cap Index has fallen by 21% during the past five years, while the number in the FTSE Fledgling Index is down by 28%. Peel Hunt said the numbers would be even worse if listed funds were excluded.

“In case anyone was thinking that this is due partially to some companies moving to AIM – well the AIM All-share has also contracted, with a reduction of 97 companies (12%) over the past five year,” head of research Charles Hall said.

Hall said serious work was  needed to tackle the decline.

“There is a problem – There has been considerable de-equitisation of the UK market over a number of years and the pace is accelerating,” Hall said. “Reform of the listing requirements and research rules should help, but much more needs to be done to ensure that being listed is seen as an attractive option.”

He listed nine different negative consequences from the lack of listings. These are slower economic growth, reduced attractiveness of the UK as a listing destination, a reduction in sector peers, a negative impact on the professional services industry, lower corporation tax due to new ownership structures, lower attention from international investors, less ability to manage economic shocks, a focus on narrow ownership with firms owned by less people and a ‘circle of negativity’ where the previously mentioned factors only make listing in London less attractive.

Peel Hunt blamed “the steady withdrawal of funds from UK-facing portfolios”, as equity  fund flows have been negative for each of the last 18 months.

“The UK used to have a thriving UK small & midcap sector, which was theenvy of most other leading markets,” Hall said. This position has been materially undermined and squandered, which is to the detriment of UK PLC and the overall attractiveness of the UK as a financial powerhouse. As markets increasingly globalise, there is a clear risk that the relevance of the UK small & midcap market continues to diminish.”

Work is already underway to help make the UK a more attractive place to list, including a simplification of listing rules and changes to how pensions will be encouraged to invest their funds. During the Spring Budget, Jeremy Hunt promised more plans would be laid out to boost the City in the Autumn.

Peel Hunt said these would help, but more work needed to be done.  The research said the increase in corporation tax to 25% was “a material own goal”, and a graded version of the tax could be brought in as a politically feasible way to encourage UK listings.

It also said that a certain proportion of funds held in ISAs should be invested in UK listed assets, and that a sovereign wealth fund could be established to invest in UK businesses.

 

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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