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Bank of Canada rate pause opens sweet spot for savers: Dale Jackson – BNN Bloomberg

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For Canadians investing for retirement, it’s what the Bank of Canada didn’t do this week that really matters. 

On Wednesday the central bank held its benchmark interest rate at a 22-year high of five per cent after an 18-month battle with inflation that took rates up from nearly zero.  

As borrowers struggle with higher debt payments, savers now find themselves nestled in a sweet spot between high yields and tame inflation.

Posted rates on one-year guaranteed investment certificates (GICs), for example, are currently as high as 5.65 per cent. Investors have not seen risk-free returns this high for over two decades. And with signs the Bank of Canada is winning the battle against inflation, less of that yield is being gobbled up by higher living costs.

TIME FOR FIXED INCOME TO SHINE

The combination of higher yields and tame inflation gives retirement investors safer options to compound their savings in bonds and other fixed-income products. 

Fixed income can now significantly add to overall portfolio growth instead of acting as a fruitless hedge against volatile equities. It can also add to the steady flow of income required to live in retirement and replace riskier income alternatives such as stock dividends and real estate investment trusts (REITs).

An effective way to maximize fixed-income returns is to stagger maturities over time to take advantage of the best going yields as often as possible. The most common strategy, known as laddering, ladders maturities over a fixed period of time.

KEEP YOUR FIXED-INCOME LADDER SHORT

Along with its announcement to hold the line on interest rates, the Bank of Canada issued a statement leaving the door open for further hikes in the future if it loses its grip on inflation.

However, most economists see this week’s pause as a sign that the tightening cycle is coming to an end.                                                

The belief that rates will not go higher, or the lack of clarity, is reflected in the inverted yield curve. That means yields on longer-term Government of Canada bonds are lower than shorter maturities. At last check, one-year to three-year maturities are yielding 4.63 per cent, five-year to 10-year maturities are yielding 3.74 per cent, and yields on over-ten-year maturities are 3.56 per cent.  

Paul Gardner, partner and portfolio manager at Toronto based Avenue Investment Management says now is not the time for retirement investors to venture into the long end of the curve.

“Not many strategists or investors are expecting the 10-year and longer to lose control; meaning the curve could re-steepen for the wrong reasons.  There could be supply issues, inflation issues, or credit rating issues for the long end of the yield curve,” he says.

In the meantime, he sees the best fixed-income opportunities in the best corporate bonds.

“I still think that two-year investment grade corporate bonds are the exact place to extract yield,” he says.

SPEAK WITH A QUALIFIED ADVISOR

Maintaining a fixed-income strategy in a broader portfolio is difficult for the average investor. A qualified advisor can help determine how much of your portfolio should be directed toward fixed income based on your growth goals, tolerance for risk and when you will need that cash. 

The last time interest rates and yields were this high, the general rule was to allocate a percentage of your portfolio to fixed-income equal to your age. In other words: if you were 50 years old, half of your portfolio should be in fixed income. It was a way to automatically reduce equity risk as you age.

It’s a general rule that might or might not apply the same to each individual situation, but it’s a start.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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