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Chinese Real Estate Goliath Country Garden Teetering On Brink Of Default

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Hong KongCNN — 

For the second time in just over two months, Country Garden has warned investors that it could default on its $190 billion debt in a reminder that China’s real estate crisis is far from over.

The company said it had not made a repayment of 470 million Hong Kong dollars ($60 million) due to overseas bondholders by Tuesday.

The troubled developer, formerly China’s largest, is battling a liquidity crisis and has dodged multiple defaults in the past month. But persistent weakness in the property market and a difficult refinancing environment have hobbled its ability to raise enough cash to service its billions of dollars of debt.

It said sales of apartments fell by 81% in September, compared with the same month last year.

Country Garden “expects that it will not be able to meet all of its offshore payment obligations when due or within the relevant grace periods,” it said in a Tuesday filing to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

“Such non-payment may lead to relevant creditors of the Group demanding acceleration of payment of the relevant indebtedness owed to them or pursuing enforcement action,” it warned.

The deepening woes at Country Garden offer more evidence that China’s all-important property market is languishing in a persistent downturn, which poses a major threat to the country’s growth prospects. Analysts say it could take years to climb out of this crisis, as housing demand is waning because of an aging population.

The risks were underscored when a group of creditors of Evergrande, which defaulted in 2021 and is trying to fend off liquidation, said in a statement sent to CNN that the developer could suffer an “uncontrollable collapse” because of “botched” efforts to restructure its vast debts.

Such a scenario could hit households and further undermine confidence in the battered real estate market, setting back Beijing’s efforts to revive the sector.

Massive liabilities

Country Garden reported a record $7 billion loss for the first half of 2023 In late August and said it “may default” if its financial performance continues to deteriorate.

As of the end of June, Country Garden had around $15 billion worth of debt due by June 2024, according to the most recent information released by the company. Its total liabilities were around 1.36 trillion yuan ($190 billion).

If it ends up defaulting, its debts would need to be restructured and its creditors could present a winding-up petition against the company.

Country Garden said it had hired advisers to evaluate the company’s liquidity conditions and formulate a “holistic solution” intended to address its current offshore debt risk and enable it to restore business operations.

It didn’t elaborate about the possible plan, but said China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities and Houlihan Lokey (China) would serve as its financial advisers. Sidley Austin would be its legal adviser.

Country Garden was one of the few major private developers still standing after a liquidity crisis engulfed China’s property sector two years ago. But things have taken a turn in the past few months.

In early August, the company acknowledged that it was facing its “biggest difficulty” since its establishment in 1992, citing deteriorating sales and a difficult refinancing environment. The news shocked investors, triggering a broad sell-off in China’s property stocks.

The fact that a once seemingly bulletproof firm was struggling with a cash crunch underscored how entrenched the property meltdown had become. It also highlighted the challenges Beijing faces to contain the problem.

Significant uncertainty

On Tuesday, Country Garden reported that its sales plunged further in September, down 81% from a year earlier. That followed a 72% drop in August and a 60% fall in July.

The company faces “significant uncertainty” regarding asset disposals, and its liquidity position is expected to remain “very tight,” it said.

It plans to “cooperate and engage in dialogue with all creditors to reach a feasible solution as soon as practicable,” it added.

If confirmed, a debt restructuring for Country Garden would be the latest for a Chinese home builder.

Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer and once China’s second largest, was declared to be in default in late 2021. Afterward, the government intervened to prevent a disorderly collapse of the company and appointed a risk management committee to guide its restructuring.

In March 2023, the company unveiled a long-awaited plan to restructure more than $19 billion of its offshore debt and has been seeking creditor approval for it since then.

But those plans were thrown into disarray six months later when Evergrande surprised investors by announcing that its founder and chairman Xu Jiayin had been detained by the Chinese authorities on suspicion of crimes, casting serious doubt over the future of the company.

Sunac China, which was China’s third largest homebuilder in 2021, has also proposed to overhaul its liabilities after struggling to make payments.

In March, it unveiled a $9 billion restructuring plan after reaching agreements with a group of key bondholders. Last week, it won approval from a Hong Kong court for the plan, the first for a major Chinese developer that could provide a template for its industry peers.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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