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Concern raised over construction industry’s reliance on foreign investment – The Irish Times

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Concern has been raised about the Irish construction industry’s over-reliance on foreign funding with new figures showing overseas investors accounted for nearly three-quarters of the €2.4 billion invested in the private rented sector (PRS) here last year.

The figures from estate agents Savills indicated just €630 million came from Irish sources. The influx of foreign funds, availing of strong returns from the rental sector, has been a feature of the sector here since the crash.

Property developer Rick Larkin said that while foreign capital is important, the industry’s over-reliance on this source of funding leaves it exposed.

“Foreign capital is a good thing but it’s not enough on its own and it leaves us exposed in the event that it shuts off,” he said.

“If those guys – because of some other economic force – decide not to invest here, there will be capital flight,” he said. This will stop investment and stop construction, Mr Larkin said.

Some of the investment here needs to be generated internally “if we’re to have stable industry, and not one that lurches from boom to bust all the time”, he said.

Dependent

“We cannot allow ourselves to become wholly dependent on the whims of foreign capital. We can’t have every single apartment in the country owned by a foreign pension fund,” he said.

Mr Larkin and his family run the property development company Twinlite, which is behind a 372-unit development in Clongriffin, north Dublin. He is also the chief executive of property rental platform Vesta.

Most of the apartment schemes coming on stream in Dublin and elsewhere are being built and sold as a single lot to institutional investors from abroad for the rental market.

This has led to negative headlines about so-called cuckoo funds pushing out domestic buyers but the industry insists the schemes would not have been built without foreign capital.

A property report last week put the cost of delivering a two-bed apartment in Dublin at €463,000, 10 times the average full-time salary. As a result, most the schemes are built to rent.

Part of the reason why the industry has become so reliant on foreign investment is because domestic banks are so wary about lending to developers.

The treatment of foreign institutional funds could become a sticking point between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael in upcoming government negotiations.

Fianna Fáil has pledged to clamp down on institutional investors buying entire schemes here by insisting developers devote a significant section of their homes to the sales market for individual buyers.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite rises, U.S. markets also make gains Monday

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index posted modest gains Monday, while U.S. markets also rose near the end of the day to kick off the week in the green.

Stocks were down earlier in the afternoon in part because of comments from U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, said Anish Chopra, managing director at Portfolio Management Corp.

Powell said Monday that more interest rate cuts are coming, but not quickly.

“We’re looking at it as a process that will play out over some time,” he said at a conference in Nashville, Tenn.

“It’ll depend on the data, the speed at which we actually go.”

The Fed isn’t in a hurry to cut its key interest rate, said Chopra, as it weighs the upside risks to inflation and the downside risks to the job market.

“Inflation could go up, it could go down, but they believe that if the data remains consistent with what they’ve seen, there will be two more rate cuts coming, but they will be smaller,” said Chopra.

Though the central bank has already signalled it expects to make two more quarter-percentage-point cuts this year, market watchers had been hoping for another outsized cut before the end of the year, he said.

“So I think Powell’s comments from this afternoon disappointed the markets and investors in the sense that if they were anticipating bigger rate cuts, that’s not the news they got.”

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 17.15 points at 42,330.15. The S&P 500 index was up 24.31 points at 5,762.48, while the Nasdaq composite was up 69.58 points at 18,189.17.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 41.31 points at 23,998.13.

At the end of this week, markets will get the latest report on the U.S. labour market, perhaps the most closely watched economic data right now after a couple of softer-than-expected reports prompted fears that higher rates were having too hard an impact on jobs.

If the report is weaker than expected this time, that could change the Fed’s thinking around its interest rate trajectory, said Chopra.

However, the Fed’s next rate decision is in November, he noted, so there’s still another labour report after this week’s release for the central bank to weigh.

Overseas, Asian markets had a frenzied start to the week, with Japanese markets down 4.8 per cent while stocks in China saw their best day in almost 16 years.

Japanese markets sank because investors are questioning whether the new government will be supportive of higher interest rates, said Chopra.

Meanwhile, Chinese markets rallied on the news of more stimulus to the country’s economy, he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.93 cents US, according to XE.com, compared with 74.08 cents US on Friday.

The November crude oil contract was down a penny at US$68.17 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up two cents at US$2.92 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$8.70 at US$2,659.40 an ounceand the December copper contract was down five cents at US$4.55 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 30, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down as base metal stocks fall, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index fell in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in base metal stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed to start the trading week.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 44.33 points at 23,912.49.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 101.56 points at 42,211.44. The S&P 500 index was down 0.67 points at 5,737.50, while the Nasdaq composite was up 3.97 points at 18,123.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.04 cents US compared with 74.08 cents US on Friday.

The November crude oil contract was up 66 cents at US$68.84 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up two cents at US$2.93 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$14.90 at US$2,653.20 an ounce and the December copper contract was down seven cents at US$4.53 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 30, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down Friday, U.S. markets mixed as Dow notches another high

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index dipped lower Friday despite strength in energy stocks, while U.S. markets were mixed as the Dow eked out another record but tech stocks dragged.

The mood Friday was mixed after a strong week for equities in both Canada and the U.S., said Andrew Buntain, vice-president and portfolio manager at Fiduciary Trust Canada.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed down 77.01 points at 23,956.82, one day after it . It closed over 24,000 for the first time on Thursday.

The strength this past week wasn’t just in North American markets, noted Buntain, as Chinese stocks enjoyed a rally after the country’s central banks announced a suite of measures intended to boost the economy.

Meanwhile, an undercurrent of broadening strength continued this week as investors spread out their interest beyond a narrow set of tech giants, said Buntain.

“Some of the sectors that have been ignored for several years have been some of the better performers this year,” he said.

“We’re very encouraged by that.”

In New York on Friday, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 137.89 points at 42,313. The S&P 500 index was down 7.20 points at 5,738.17 after setting an all-time high on Thursday, while the Nasdaq composite was down 70.70 points at 18,119.59.

A report Friday on one of the U.S. central bank’s preferred measures of inflation — the personal consumption expenditures price index — showed continued cooling.

The Federal Reserve started lowering its key interest rate last week, and is expected to keep going this fall and into 2025.

However, the Fed’s next interest rate decision isn’t until November, noted Buntain, so there’s plenty of data for the central bank to take in yet — including next week’s labour report.

The job market has been an increasingly key focus for the central bank after recent reports showed cooling in that area of the economy. Friday’s report also showed consumer spending in August didn’t meet economists’ expectations.

In Canada, where the Bank of Canada is set for its next rate decision later in October, Friday brought a GDP report that was a little stronger than expected, said Buntain.

“The Bank of Canada has already delivered three cuts and signalled maybe some further reductions,” he said.

If inflation continues to move lower, Buntain added, the Bank of Canada could even announce an outsized half-percentage-point cut, echoing the Fed’s move last week.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.08 cents US compared with 74.22 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 51 cents at US$68.18 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up 15 cents at US$2.90 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$26.80 at US$2,668.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.60 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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