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Economists react to November job numbers

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The Canadian economy added nearly 25,000 new jobs in November, but the gains were offset by Canada’s rapid population growth during the same period, economists say.

“In this modern era, it’s worth keeping in mind with all the immigration happening, 25,000 new jobs isn’t that many,” Eric Lascelles, chief economist at RBC Global Asset Management, told BNN Bloomberg in a Friday television interview.

“You need 40,000-plus (jobs) just to keep pace with the number of people coming into the country.”

Statistics Canada released its November labour force survey Friday morning, which found that despite the job growth, most of which was full-time, the country’s unemployment rate ticked up to 5.8 per cent last month from 5.7 per cent in October.

Brendon Bernard, a senior economist with Indeed.com, agrees that “25,000 isn’t what it used to be.” He told BNN Bloomberg in a Friday interview that the labour market is “lagging” when population growth is taken into account.

“Overall, I think this is consistent with the past six months of data showing the job market continues to eke out gains, but things definitely have softened a bit,” Bernard said.

Lascelles said the industries that have been most affected by the softening labour market so far are finance, insurance and real estate, all of which are sectors particularly sensitive to higher interest rates.

“Four per cent of the workforce has been lost in those collective sectors since July, so there have been big sustained losses there, and by all accounts, some additional losses to come based on recent earnings announcements,” he said.

Over the past few months, Canadian banks and financial institutions such as Desjardins, Bank of Nova Scotia and Royal Bank of Canada all announced layoffs, with TD Bank reporting on Thursday it plans to let go of more than 3,000 employees.

Canada’s labour market had been experiencing a strong bounce back from the pandemic, but the unemployment rate has been on an upward trend since April as the Canadian economy shows clearer signs of weakness.

WAGE GAINS

Many consumers are struggling amid Canada’s slowing economy as decades-high interest rates and inflation continue to eat into their purchasing power, however wage growth grew by almost five per cent in November, Statistics Canada found.

Lascelles said that number will be a “point of complication” for the Bank of Canada when it makes its next interest decision on Dec. 6, as the central bank could see it as inflationary.

“Five per cent wage growth at a time of roughly three per cent inflation is a little bit hot, and of course, some of this is catching up from real wages falling before,” he said.

“(Or) some of this might just be coming out of profit margins, which isn’t great for investors, but it means it doesn’t have to be inflationary, and so I don’t think it’s quite a slam dunk that inflation is going to be a problem because of this.”

Bernard said he wasn’t surprised that wage growth remained elevated in November, noting that Canadian wages tend to “react to the cycle with a substantial lag,” and wages have been catching up with previous high inflation levels.

But as it stands, wage growth is still outpacing Canada’s “lukewarm” economy at an unsustainable rate, Bernard explained.

“Something’s got to give; is it that wages are going to come down, or do wages show up in higher prices, or do companies with less revenue potentially have to lay off some people?”

With files from The Canadian Press

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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