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Singapore Narrows the Gap With Hong Kong on Real Estate Deals

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(Bloomberg) — Singapore is closing in on Hong Kong’s lead in real estate deals as the city-state benefits from its status as a wealth haven, while distressed property sales afflict the rival Asian financial hub.

So far this year, Hong Kong’s seen 107 entity-level property transactions across sectors including office, residential and hotels, and Singapore’s had 96, according to data from MSCI Real Assets. Deals in Hong Kong are 62% lower than in 2021, while Singapore has largely managed to hold its ground despite high borrowing costs. Figures include deals of at least $10 million.

This shift in transactions reflects the trend that’s seen Singapore boosted by an influx of wealth and talent resulting in strong demand for offices, climbing home prices and dramatic stories of surging rents. In comparison, Hong Kong has been beset by a prolonged property downturn, especially in the office sector, due to years of pandemic curbs, China’s economic difficulties and increased geopolitical tensions.

Real estate investment activity can also be used as a gauge of business outlook, said Benjamin Chow, MSCI head of Asia real assets research.

“In 2023, we are beginning to see a lot more Hong Kong assets traded at losses relative to what they were acquired for,” Chow said. “By contrast, the vast majority of Singaporean assets traded continue to feature strong capital growth relative to their acquisition prices.”

In one of Hong Kong’s biggest deals this year, receivers sold Goldin Financial Global Center to PAG and Mapletree Investments Pte in a distressed sale. The HK$5.6 billion ($717 million) transaction was “at a significant discount to replacement cost,” PAG and Mapletree said in a statement in January. In Singapore, Frasers Centrepoint Trust’s divestment of Changi City Point translated to a premium of 11% to the acquisition price and an exit yield of 4.3% based on net property income, according to analysts at Citigroup Inc.

In terms of investment volumes, Singapore has recorded $7.53 billion so far this year, while Hong Kong’s total is $5.27 billion.

A larger number of deals but smaller transaction volumes suggests that Hong Kong buyers are typically the users themselves as compared with Singapore’s purchasers, said CBRE’s Asia-Pacific head of research Henry Chin. For example, the Securities and Futures Commission last month agreed to buy 12 floors of an office tower for HK$5.4 billion, while a historic theater was reported by local media to have been bought by a church.

“Investors continue to deploy capital into Singapore commercial real estate at the current pricing,” said Chin. “When it comes to Hong Kong, investors become cautious — largely due to the imbalance of demand and supply at present and concerns over China’s recovery.”

The outlook for both cities has one thing in common: a challenging fundraising environment amid rising interest rates. Capitalization rates — the rate of returns expected to be generated on properties — are still trading beneath borrowing costs. Hong Kong’s current capitalization rate for Grade-A offices is hovering at 2.8%, while Singapore’s is at 3.75%, according to the latest CBRE data. Amid tight yields and high borrowing costs, investors are looking to enhance their assets or buy in alternative sectors that have higher returns.

Hong Kong is also hampered by its sluggish economy. Seized en-bloc assets, primarily those previously held by troubled mainland developers, are expected to be put on the market, but any sales may depend on how much banks are willing to lend given the current weak market sentiment and high loan-to-value ratios, according to brokerage Savills Plc.

Singapore may find relief in its position as a wealth haven, said Alan Cheong, executive director of research at Savills Singapore. There will still be a base level of transactions coming from rich families seeking to diversify from riskier assets and countries, he said.

“Singapore has that unique selling point.”

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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