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Yield vs. Growth: Striking the Right Balance in Canadian Dividend Investing

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Seldom do we find stocks that have both a high dividend yield and high growth. In other words, stocks with big dividends tend to experience slow growth. Then, there are stocks with low yields that may have higher growth than big-dividend stocks.

Ultimately, striking the right income versus growth balance in your Canadian dividend stock investing depends on your income and total return goals. Currently, would you prioritize higher income or greater growth? What about 5, 10, 20, or 30 years from now? For example, retirees or soon-to-be retirees would likely prioritize current income generation.

Dividend stock example for income investors

Income-focused investors care about maximizing income now. If so, they might consider a high-yield stock like Enbridge (TSX:ENB). ENB has a long dividend-paying history, having paid dividends for about 70 years. Its dividend growth track record of about 27 consecutive years is also strong.

As growth has slowed in the mature company in recent years, especially in a higher interest rate environment that’s dragging down growth, Enbridge stock’s recent dividend growth rate has slowed to about 3%. Investors should expect this kind of dividend growth rate through 2025. However, the company could bump up its dividend growth rate to about 5% post-2025.

If investors bought the energy stock in 2018 for an initial dividend yield of about 5.3% and didn’t buy anymore shares, they would have seen their yield on cost grow to about 7%.

Despite slower growth, today, ENB stock investors are compensated with a high dividend yield of close to 7.7%, based on the recent stock price of $47.56, which analysts believe to be fairly valued. Enbridge is a blue chip stock that investors can buy on dips and earn dependable income on.

In the last decade, Enbridge stock’s total return beat the energy sector (using iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF as a proxy). However, it wasn’t able to beat the Canadian stock market (using iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF as a proxy). This suggests that there’s typically a tradeoff between income and growth, which is something income-focused investors should be aware of.

ENB, CNQ, XIU, and XEG 10-year Total Return Level data by YCharts

Example with higher income growth

If investors bought another energy stock, Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) in 2018 instead, despite starting with a lower dividend yield of about 3%, they would have witnessed their yield on cost grow to about 8.8%.

CNQ has increased its dividend for about 22 consecutive years. It’s amazing that its 3, 5, 10, 15, and 20-year dividend growth rates are all over 21%. The high growth rate has also driven stronger performance in the stock.

In the last decade, CNQ stock greatly outperformed the energy sector and Canadian stock market with total returns of close to 14.3% per year. In other words, the investment would have transformed an initial $10,000 into into about $37,960, as shown in the graph.

As a large oil and gas producer, Canadian Natural Resources’s performance will be more or less impacted by the price changes in the underlying commodities. However, it looks like management is committed to a growing dividend.

At $84.82 per share at writing, CNQ stock yields 4.7%, and analysts believe it trades at a discount of about 14%.

If you have decades until retirement or until you need current income, you can weigh more towards lower-yielding stocks that have higher growth prospects to target greater wealth creation in the long run. Striking the right balance between yield and growth is both an art and a science.

 

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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Breaking Business News Canada

The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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