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Brookfield Property’s debt cut to junk by S&P on real estate concerns

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Brookfield Property Partners LP’s issuer credit rating was cut to junk and put on a negative outlook by S&P Global Ratings as the real estate investors’ credit quality deteriorates amid higher borrowing costs and weak office demand.

The credit grader lowered Brookfield Property’s score by two steps to BB from BBB-, the lowest level of investment grade, according to a statement Dec. 21. It remains on negative outlook as the company is pressured by upcoming debt maturities over the next two years.

Higher interest rates have hit commercial real estate values in the past few years, with office facing steeper drops as remote work becomes more common. United States office prices have fallen 35 per cent and malls have dropped 20 per cent since peaking in the first quarter of 2022, according to Green Street, a real estate analytics firm.

“We expect sector headwinds facing commercial office real estate will generally remain in place over the next several years, with weaker tenant retention, lower occupancy, and heightened incentives (through tenant inducements) to attract new tenants,” S&P analyst Michael H. Souers wrote.

The firm’s maturities will increase in 2025 with approximately US$2.3 billion of total debt coming due, according to S&P. A lack of progress in addressing these maturities well ahead of their due dates could hinder S&P’s view of the company’s liquidity, the grader said. S&P has a one in three chance of downgrading the debt further in the next 12 months if Brookfield Property fails to refinance upcoming debt or office occupancy weakens further.

Brookfield Corp., the parent of the property unit, retains investment-grade rating, which is likely to help the property unit’s position with lenders, according to S&P.

“This rating relates to a specific entity within Brookfield’s real estate business and has no impact on either the pricing or ability of Brookfield to access the real estate capital markets,” a spokesperson said in an emailed statement. The report makes reference to retail assets having ‘recovered to pre-pandemic levels.’ In fact, the performance is well in excess of 2019 levels, the balance sheet was substantially deleveraged in 2021 and the prospects for these assets has never been more compelling.”

Brookfield Property owns approximately US$130 billion in total assets, according to S&P. The company’s weighted-average debt maturity shrunk below three years in recent quarters, to 2.6 years as of Sept. 30, 2023, which “poses elevated risks.”

 

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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