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Mortgage defaults in London up more than 80%: Report

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The number of London homeowners defaulting on their mortgage payments has risen more than 80 per cent as high interest rates catch up with buyers who paid soaring home prices, a new analysis shows.

London had the second highest rate in the country, as defaults rose 83.3 per cent at the end of the third quarter last year, second only to Barrie that saw defaults double, says the report by credit agency Equifax and Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

The report measured mortgage delinquency rates in the third quarter of 2023, comparted to the same period a year earlier.

Although the 83.3 per cent increase sounds dire, it means about 70 homeowners defaulted on their mortgage payments in London, said Rebecca Oates, vice-president of analytics for Equifax, a credit reference agency.

“We are talking small volumes. But it is increasing, and there is more stress coming. This is a growing problem,” she said.

“If we do nothing, it will be a big problem.”

Delinquency is defined as missing three or more mortgage payments.

“When you miss mortgage payments for 90 days, that is pretty bad,” Oates said.

London stands near the top of the list as home prices here rose sharply in a short period of time and have now fallen. If a homeowner has to renew their mortgage but the home is worth less than the mortgage, it may not be renewed.

“It is happening across Ontario, and Hamilton and Toronto rates are increasing faster than London,” Oates said. “House prices rose significantly and income has not risen.”

Last month the average home selling price in London was $618,000, down more than $200,000 from February 2022 when it was $825,000. In 2022, the Bank of Canada’s key lending rate rose from 0.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent and now stands at five per cent.

“Mortgages have gone up, inflation is up and income has not gone up,” Oates said. “As interest rates come down, there will be relief.”

But it is likely the problems will worsen soon, said Tania Bourassa-Ochoa, deputy chief economist with CMHC.

The agency forecasts a significant number of mortgages will be up for renewal in 2025. If the homeowner took out a five-year mortgage in 2020, they were paying 1.94 per cent interest. That mortgage today would cost five per cent, increasing payments nearly $1,000 a month.

“It is a real financial strain and it will be harder for consumers to make payments,” Bourassa-Ochoa said. “We are definitely monitoring this closely. Increasingly, some borrowers may be at great risk.”

But mortgage default is the tip of the iceberg, as Canadians prioritize mortgage payments above all other debt. That means the rate of defaults on other loans such as credit cards and vehicles is rising, Bourassa-Ochoa said.

“We are seeing increasing delinquency in other products and it is starting to translate into mortgage arrears. It is telling us a lot of Canadians are finding it difficult,” she said.

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Although mortgage defaults are rising, they have been at historic lows in recent years, Bourassa-Ochoa said.

“House prices went up and now they are down. If someone is looking for a renewal and the home’s value is worth less than the mortgage, it will have an impact” on whether they will be renewed, said Kathy Amess, chairperson of the London and St. Thomas Association of Realtors.

“Some people got mortgages at historic low rates and now they are (higher) and people did not plan for that on their original purchase,” she said.

The real estate industry will be watching to see what happens with the rate this spring, Amess said. There was talk of it dropping further but the past two months have seen strong home sales.

“January and February were both up a significant amount. If rates go down, I think it will be close to what it is now. They will not cut too much,” she said.

Percentage increase in mortgage delinquencies

 2023 compared to 2022

-Barrie, 100 per cent

London, 83.3

-Toronto, 66.6

-Windsor, 66.6

-Victoria, 66.6

-St. Catharines-Niagara, 62.5

-Hamilton, 60

-Guelph. 60

-Abbotsford-Mission, 57.1

-Oshawa, 33.3

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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