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Trump Considers Easing Social-Distancing Guidelines to Boost Economy – The Wall Street Journal

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President Trump has told people that he wants to open the economy as soon as possible.



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WASHINGTON—The White House is discussing easing social-distancing guidelines as early as next week as advisers and business leaders push President Trump to boost an economy beset by deepening job losses nationwide, people familiar with the discussions said.

The president has told people that he wants to open the economy as soon as possible. The talks have centered on relaxing or restructuring the 15-day guidelines the administration issued last week to stem the spread of coronavirus, one of the people said. Other advisers have cautioned Mr. Trump against easing the guidelines, warning the measures remain necessary.

An administration official said the White House is discussing targeting guidelines for social distancing at vulnerable groups, such as requiring the elderly and those with underlying medical conditions to take greater precautions than younger, healthy people. Such a shift may not happen immediately after the 15-day period ends, the official said, adding that the White House is operating with a “high degree of caution.”

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President Trump said Sunday he is deploying the National Guard to New York, California and Washington, three states hit hard by the novel-coronavirus outbreak. Photo: Patrick Semansky/Associated Press

The social-distancing guidelines instructed all Americans to avoid nonessential travel, sit-down restaurants and gatherings of more than 10 people, among other steps. Meanwhile, governors and mayors nationwide have rolled out their own restrictions, shutting schools and many retail businesses.

Easing the guidelines would run counter to public-health experts who have said sustained social distancing is needed until the U.S. develops a vigorous testing regime to identify and isolate cases. Widespread testing is still a long way off and labs now are struggling with supply issues that are further hampering the ability to identify cases. The virus can be spread when people are asymptomatic.

New guidelines are expected later Monday for law enforcement, medical and health-care providers and other workers in critical infrastructure professions for how workers exposed to the virus could return to work more quickly by wearing a medical mask for a certain period of time, Vice President Mike Pence said Sunday. The new guidelines are being developed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Department of Homeland Security, Mr. Pence said.

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In a series of social-media posts late Sunday and early Monday, Mr. Trump expressed concern about the economic drag of the health precautions aimed at the coronavirus crisis. Financial markets have been rattled by the rapid spread of the virus and Congress’s delay in finalizing an economic rescue package, and U.S. job losses are estimated in the millions.

In a Twitter post at 11:50 p.m. in all capital letters, Mr. Trump anticipated the end of the 15-day period in which he has asked the country to follow a set of guidelines—essentially to remain at home as much as possible—to slow the spread of the virus. That 15-day period ends in about a week.

“WE CANNOT LET THE CURE BE WORSE THAN THE PROBLEM ITSELF,” Mr. Trump tweeted. “AT THE END OF THE 15 DAY PERIOD, WE WILL MAKE A DECISION AS TO WHICH WAY WE WANT TO GO!”

Mr. Trump also highlighted Twitter posts from supporters lamenting the economic hit from coronavirus, including a tweet from a woman with a few hundred Twitter followers who suggested isolating high-risk groups after the 15-day period “and the rest of us get back to work before it’s all over for everyone.”

There has been tension inside the federal government’s coronavirus team for months between the health experts seeking strict measures aimed at limiting the contact between humans and the economic advisers looking to shield the economy as much as possible.

Dr. Jerome Adams, the U.S. surgeon general, said Monday the federal guidelines were working, but that “the problem is that we really need more people to take this seriously.” He said on Fox News: “People, stay at home.”

Larry Kudlow, the top White House economic adviser, expressed concern about the economic effects of ordering Americans to stay inside. “At some point you have to ask yourself whether the shutdown is doing more harm than good,” he told CNBC. In a Fox News interview earlier in the day, he said, “We’re going to have to make some difficult trade-offs,” adding that he had spoken to the president about the matter.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Monday that he spoke to Mr. Trump on Sunday, and that the president “is very pleased with the medical professionals,” particularly attempts to find new drugs to confront the disease.

“The president is hopeful that the policies and procedures that have been put in place will kill this virus quickly,” Mr. Mnuchin said.

At a news conference on Sunday at the White House, Mr. Trump was asked whether he was considering extending the guidelines beyond 15 days after Sen. Rand Paul (R., Ky.) was diagnosed with coronavirus despite not showing any symptoms.

“Well, I hope we won’t have to—it’s possible, but we’ll have to see how that works,” Mr. Trump said.

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Write to Michael C. Bender at Mike.Bender@wsj.com and Rebecca Ballhaus at Rebecca.Ballhaus@wsj.com

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Economy

Statistics Canada reports wholesale sales higher in July

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says wholesale sales, excluding petroleum, petroleum products, and other hydrocarbons and excluding oilseed and grain, rose 0.4 per cent to $82.7 billion in July.

The increase came as sales in the miscellaneous subsector gained three per cent to reach $10.5 billion in July, helped by strength in the agriculture supplies industry group, which rose 9.2 per cent.

The food, beverage and tobacco subsector added 1.7 per cent to total $15 billion in July.

The personal and household goods subsector fell 2.5 per cent to $12.1 billion.

In volume terms, overall wholesale sales rose 0.5 per cent in July.

Statistics Canada started including oilseed and grain as well as the petroleum and petroleum products subsector as part of wholesale trade last year, but is excluding the data from monthly analysis until there is enough historical data.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

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Economy

B.C.’s debt and deficit forecast to rise as the provincial election nears

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VICTORIA – British Columbia is forecasting a record budget deficit and a rising debt of almost $129 billion less than two weeks before the start of a provincial election campaign where economic stability and future progress are expected to be major issues.

Finance Minister Katrine Conroy, who has announced her retirement and will not seek re-election in the Oct. 19 vote, said Tuesday her final budget update as minister predicts a deficit of $8.9 billion, up $1.1 billion from a forecast she made earlier this year.

Conroy said she acknowledges “challenges” facing B.C., including three consecutive deficit budgets, but expected improved economic growth where the province will start to “turn a corner.”

The $8.9 billion deficit forecast for 2024-2025 is followed by annual deficit projections of $6.7 billion and $6.1 billion in 2026-2027, Conroy said at a news conference outlining the government’s first quarterly financial update.

Conroy said lower corporate income tax and natural resource revenues and the increased cost of fighting wildfires have had some of the largest impacts on the budget.

“I want to acknowledge the economic uncertainties,” she said. “While global inflation is showing signs of easing and we’ve seen cuts to the Bank of Canada interest rates, we know that the challenges are not over.”

Conroy said wildfire response costs are expected to total $886 million this year, more than $650 million higher than originally forecast.

Corporate income tax revenue is forecast to be $638 million lower as a result of federal government updates and natural resource revenues are down $299 million due to lower prices for natural gas, lumber and electricity, she said.

Debt-servicing costs are also forecast to be $344 million higher due to the larger debt balance, the current interest rate and accelerated borrowing to ensure services and capital projects are maintained through the province’s election period, said Conroy.

B.C.’s economic growth is expected to strengthen over the next three years, but the timing of a return to a balanced budget will fall to another minister, said Conroy, who was addressing what likely would be her last news conference as Minister of Finance.

The election is expected to be called on Sept. 21, with the vote set for Oct. 19.

“While we are a strong province, people are facing challenges,” she said. “We have never shied away from taking those challenges head on, because we want to keep British Columbians secure and help them build good lives now and for the long term. With the investments we’re making and the actions we’re taking to support people and build a stronger economy, we’ve started to turn a corner.”

Premier David Eby said before the fiscal forecast was released Tuesday that the New Democrat government remains committed to providing services and supports for people in British Columbia and cuts are not on his agenda.

Eby said people have been hurt by high interest costs and the province is facing budget pressures connected to low resource prices, high wildfire costs and struggling global economies.

The premier said that now is not the time to reduce supports and services for people.

Last month’s year-end report for the 2023-2024 budget saw the province post a budget deficit of $5.035 billion, down from the previous forecast of $5.9 billion.

Eby said he expects government financial priorities to become a major issue during the upcoming election, with the NDP pledging to continue to fund services and the B.C. Conservatives looking to make cuts.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 10, 2024.

Note to readers: This is a corrected story. A previous version said the debt would be going up to more than $129 billion. In fact, it will be almost $129 billion.

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Economy

Mark Carney mum on carbon-tax advice, future in politics at Liberal retreat

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NANAIMO, B.C. – Former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney says he’ll be advising the Liberal party to flip some the challenges posed by an increasingly divided and dangerous world into an economic opportunity for Canada.

But he won’t say what his specific advice will be on economic issues that are politically divisive in Canada, like the carbon tax.

He presented his vision for the Liberals’ economic policy at the party’s caucus retreat in Nanaimo, B.C. today, after he agreed to help the party prepare for the next election as chair of a Liberal task force on economic growth.

Carney has been touted as a possible leadership contender to replace Justin Trudeau, who has said he has tried to coax Carney into politics for years.

Carney says if the prime minister asks him to do something he will do it to the best of his ability, but won’t elaborate on whether the new adviser role could lead to him adding his name to a ballot in the next election.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland says she has been taking advice from Carney for years, and that his new position won’t infringe on her role.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 10, 2024.

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