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Annual home prices predicted to rise nearly 10% by end of year: Royal LePage – Global News

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Canadian homes will be nearly 10 per cent more expensive at the end of 2024 than they were the year before, according to a new report.

On Friday realty firm Royal LePage released an updated forecast predicting that aggregate Canadian home prices will rise nine per cent in the fourth quarter of this year compared with the end of 2023.

The report says two things are pushing prices up: the “severe shortage” of housing across the country and more demand from sidelined homebuyers who could enter the market if the Bank of Canada lowers its key interest rate, which currently sits at five per cent.

“A decrease in the bank rate, which will translate into cheaper mortgages, will increase the demand in the marketplace” and push up prices, Royal LePage CEO Philip Soper told Global News.

Pointing to previous Royal LePage reports, Soper said many Canadians who have been waiting to buy a home will take an even marginally lower interest rate as a sign that it’s time to buy.

“When we reach out to Canadians,” he said, speaking from Toronto, “they say, ‘I just want to see some indication that rates are beginning to drop (so) that I’ll feel comfortable getting into the market.’”

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) on Friday said interest rates are expected to continue to be a “major factor” impacting the housing market this year and into next.

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“Many Canadian housing markets have been quiet since the Bank of Canada’s summer rate hikes last year,” CREA said in its latest housing forecast.

“Interest rates have been the major factor affecting markets over the last few years, and this is expected to continue to be the case in 2024 and 2025.”

CREA also released its March housing data on Friday, which said home sales edged up 0.5 per cent from the previous month.


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Similarly, the MLS home price index was mostly unchanged month-over-month in March, dipping 0.3 per cent, the association said. But CREA noted that weekly tracking showed a bounce in new supply around the second week of March, which led to a “burst of sales” at the end of the month, and an increase in listings in the first week of April.

“We’ll have to wait for the April data to really understand how buyers are responding to all these new properties for sale, but if you look at last spring as a guide and add to that record population growth in the last year and a central bank that is far more likely to cut this summer than raise like it did last year, it could get interesting,” said CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart in a release.

John Pasalis, president of Toronto brokerage Realosophy Realty, cautioned that while some may be waiting for lower interest rates, it may not help homebuyers.


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“If rates drop enough, it’s going to stimulate more demand, it’s going to push prices higher,” he said.

“People expect that (lower rates) could potentially give them a bit more of an edge, but it gives every other buyer an edge as well.

Soper said Royal LePage revised its price prediction upwards after a strong first quarter in 2024.

Nationwide, the report shows the median (the middle number between the lowest and highest prices) for a single-family detached home increased 4.5 per cent, from the first quarter of 2023 to the first quarter of 2024, to $845,300 and the median price of a condominium rose 3.5 per cent to $591,900.

It predicts Toronto and Montreal will see the largest annual home price jumps of 10 per cent and 8.5 per cent, respectively. Vancouver remains the most expensive market but Royal LePage predicts prices in the Greater Toronto Area will surpass those in the West Coast city in the second half of 2024.


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Aggregate home prices in Quebec City and Calgary will rise by eight per cent, while Regina, Winnipeg and Halifax will see a five per cent increase, the report predicts.

Rising home prices have become a political flashpoint and the federal and many provincial governments have unveiled plans to lower prices, which includes quickly building homes to increase supply.

Soper called the policies to increase housing supply “strong” but said the execution was slow.

He referred to plans to give tax breaks and incentives to homebuyers “well-intentioned mistakes,” saying they will create more would-be buyers, which will increase demand and drive up prices further.

On Thursday, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland announced new measures aimed at making it easier for first-time buyers, including increasing the withdrawal limits under the Home Buyers’ Plan and extending mortgage amortizations for some.

Pasalis said potential homebuyers should not take their cues from recent announcements.

“It’s so impossible to time the market,” Pasalis said.

“When you’re buying a home, you just want to buy for the long term, and not try to focus on predicting where home prices will be over the next three to six months because it’s very hard to predict.

—with files from Global News’ Uday Rana, Craig Lord and Nicole Gibillini

&copy 2024 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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