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This Billionaire Real Estate Developer Reveals His Top Stock Pick Today – The Motley Fool Canada

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Mitchell Goldhar isn’t like most other real estate developers. The man is a legend.

He founded his own real estate development firm in the early 1990s after spending time working at the family company. He pitched then-Walmart CEO Sam Walton on expanding into Canada with Goldhar developing the real estate. After turning down the real estate developer, Walton gave in and brought Walmart to Canada in 1994.

The rest, as they say, is history. Goldhar spent the next 25 years developing commercial real estate across Canada, primarily locations that have Walmart as the main tenant. In 2015, Goldhar merged his company with Calloway REIT, another Walmart-focused landlord, creating SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) in the process. Goldhar became SmartCentres’s executive chairman and remains an active participant in the company’s ambitious development program.

In fact, Goldhar’s own company — Penguin Investments — is partnering with SmartCentres on the latter’s marquee project, a massive mixed-use project in Vaughan, Ontario. When this project is completed, it’ll offer 12,000 residential units, 750,000 square feet of retail space, and some 1.5 million square feet of office space. It’s located at the intersection of two of Canada’s busiest highways, and it’s just 45 minutes away from Downtown Toronto via subway.

Needless to say, Goldhar is a pretty impressive real estate developer. In fact, Forbes estimates his net worth is $2.2 billion, a figure that easily places him among the top 100 richest Canadians.

Despite all the chaos in the world today, Goldhar is aggressively adding to what he thinks is a painfully undervalued investment. Let’s take a closer look at his top choice today.

What this real estate developer is buying

Goldhar’s top investment option today isn’t land for new developments or even some obscure piece of real estate he’s plucked from motivated sellers. No, Goldhar is simply using the weakness to load up on what he views are insanely undervalued shares of his own company.

That’s right. Mitchell Goldhar is buying up SmartCentres shares like they’re going out of style.

Over the last month or so, Goldhar has quietly purchased more than 250,000 SmartCentres shares, steadily buying as shares melted down. He was buying as the stock collapsed from $30 per share all the way down to $15 per share. The stock is a little above $18 as I type this, which means folks who are getting in today are getting a better deal than Goldhar did.

More reasons to buy

Goldhar summarized his position on SmartCentres shares with this quote in The Globe and Mail:

“The market’s valuation of SmartCentres makes no sense. The market is treating SmartCentres units as if 50 per cent of our retail space in existence will be closed not just for two weeks, not just for one month or for three months, but forever, never to open or be leased again, ever, to anyone, as if the buildings will disappear off the face of the Earth, along with the land under them, never again to generate revenue.”

I agree with the real estate developer’s stance. The company has spent decades accumulating excellent property that’s still teeming with potential redevelopment opportunities. And yet it trades at a significant discount to book value.

The stock is also dirt cheap if you think profitability will return to a more normal level. It earned $2.26 per share in funds from operations in 2019, and it initially told investors to expect a better year in 2020. That puts shares at just over eight times the REIT’s trailing earnings.

The bottom line

Mitchell Goldhar has obviously done a few things right. If he thinks SmartCentres shares are undervalued here, I’m going to err to his judgement. After all, he knows the company and the market a whole lot better than I do. That’s why I’ve been adding to my position in the company lately. Perhaps you should, too.

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Fool contributor Nelson Smith owns shares of Smart REIT and Walmart Inc.

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Housing starts up in six largest cities but construction still not closing supply gap

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The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. says construction of new homes in Canada’s six largest cities rose four per cent year-over-year during the first half of 2024, but housing starts were still not enough to meet growing demand.

The agency says growth in housing starts was driven by significant gains in Calgary, Edmonton and Montreal.

A total of 68,639 units began construction, the second strongest figure since 1990, however the rate of housing starts per capita meant activity was around the historical average and not enough “to reduce the existing supply gap and improve affordability for Canadians.”

The report says new home construction trends varied significantly across the markets studied, as Toronto, Vancouver and Ottawa saw declines ranging from 10 to 20 per cent from the same period last year.

Apartment starts in the six regions increased slightly, driven by construction of new units for rent, as nearly half of the apartments started in the first half of 2024 were purpose-built rentals.

But condominium apartment starts fell in the first six months of the year in most cities, a trend which the agency predicts will continue amid soft demand as developers struggle to reach minimum pre-construction sales required.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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