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Oil prices are in the negative: COVID-19 rules to stay home played a huge part – Global News

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As oil prices dropped to unprecedented negative levels Monday, experts say it is all the result of an oversupply problem that was pushed to this point due to stay-at-home orders related to COVID-19.

Crude oil prices hit their lowest level since 1986 and are down more than 80 per cent since the beginning of the year to levels below break-even, that has forced Canadian producers to cut production.

As of Monday afternoon, the price of North American benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil dipped 300 per cent to close at negative $37.63 a barrel — which meant producers were paying buyers to take their product.

The WTI trading hub in Cushing, Okla., is expected to hit capacity within four weeks.

“We’ve never seen anything like it before: so much oil, not enough demand and not enough tanks to store it in,” said energy expert Richard Masson, an executive fellow with The School of Public Policy at the University of Calgary.

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Masson said we got to this point thanks to COVID-19 stay-home orders — because people across North America aren’t travelling by car or plane as often, there’s been a huge drop in demand. Also, fully stocked airlines and refineries aren’t necessarily looking for new oil deliveries.

“Global demand has been [previously] about 100 million barrels a day, and with everyone staying home around the world, demand has dropped by about 30 million barrels a day,” Masson said.

“Even though OPEC is cutting production — storage is filling up all over the world.”

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OPEC, oil nations agree to record-setting oil production cut amid coronavirus pandemic

The reason the drop happened Monday is because oil contracts are traded on a month-by-month basis, and May contracts for WTI are up this week. The prices dropped to the negatives because some companies simply don’t have the space to accept any more oil, according to Masson.

“Right now they [companies] have to pay 35 dollars per barrel for somebody to take that oil off their hands,” said Masson.






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Crude oil futures prices turn negative for the first time in history


Crude oil futures prices turn negative for the first time in history

After dropping briefly into the negatives on the weekend, Alberta-produced Western Canadian Select  — whose price is based on a discount to WTI — closed Monday above $9 a barrel, but its also expected to see negative trading days in the future — at least until demand increases — Masson said.

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“The only thing that’s really going to get this market balanced, is people starting to drive and fly again, and demand going back up.”

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How does Western Canadian Select oil pricing work?

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The prices for June contracts are still trading above $20. But another economic expert said that’s optimistic — and even if that number sticks, there could be big drops in the future.

“The market thinks there’s going to be less pressure on those contracts, on inventory space then [in June],” said Rory Johnston, managing director and market economist at Price Street Inc.

“My expectation is that, as we kind of roll out of May and into the June contract, we’re going to see a big rally in prices… but eventually those prices [will] start falling again to create the market for storage space in June.” Johnston said.

Johnston agrees that the only thing that will truly allow oil prices to bounce back will be once COVID-19 restrictions are lifted and people start to need fuel again — but that also depends on several factors.

“[Not only] whether or not you would begin to see government begin to reopen economies — whether or not people actually follow suit, and actually go out and do things once the economy is reopened,” he said.

“It doesn’t seem likely that we’re going to be seeing a huge bounce-back in air travel anytime soon.”

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Stocks drop as U.S. crude oil futures prices turn negative for the first time in history

Kenney makes public appeal for federal support

Last week the federal government announced more than $2 billion worth of support for the industry, with the majority of it being put towards cleaning up orphaned and inactive wells.

Premier Jason Kenney said Monday that the negative prices “further underscores the devastating impact of recent events on the largest industry in this province,” and that he believes the federal government should be offering more support.

“Much more action is needed,” Kenney said. “I join with premiers from coast to coast, and many other key leaders of the Canadian economy, including the heads of the largest banks and financial institutions — who understand that this is not an Alberta issue.

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“This is not an industry-specific issue, that this strikes right at the heart of the entire Canadian economy.”

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Kenney said he was once again making a public request for federal action.

“If we see the current negative price situation continue for any period of time, the implications obviously for this industry are are very serious,” he said.






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Kenney thanks feds for energy sector support, says more must be done


Kenney thanks feds for energy sector support, says more must be done

— With files from The Canadian Press

© 2020 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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