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Brazilian retail investors floored by real estate fund foray – Financial Post

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SAO PAULO — With interest rates at record lows, Brazilian Bruno Silveira Diniz decided to seek better returns on a slice of his savings by investing in real estate funds.

The 30-year-old engineer was one of hundreds of thousands of Brazilians who rushed into such funds last year, only to see their investments wither as the coronavirus crisis hit.

“I am hoping they all recover after the pandemic. But I know the ones that own only one building may not come back, depending on who the tenant is,” Diniz said.

He put 40% of his savings in five listed property funds, higher than the 5% threshold recommended by banks such as Itau but not a uniquely high proportion.

Reuters spoke to six individuals, one of whom said they had put 90% of their savings into such products, while others said they had invested 30% or 40%.

Brazilian retail investors, who had long kept their money in fixed income investments when interest rates were high, were tempted into real estate funds by a soaring market during 2019, with their numbers tripling to 630,000 in just one year.

“Many investors saw similarities in real estate funds to fixed income products,” Lucas Collazo, an analyst with broker Rico said, adding that a tax exemption was another incentive.

“We had a couple of years of extremely low volatility and prices were only rising,” Collazo added.

However, as Brazil’s benchmark real estate funds index the IFIX, which gained 35% last year, has fallen, so too have many of these funds, which are similar to Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).

The IFIX is down by 19% so far this year, while Diniz, who has resisted the temptation to sell, says the value of his portfolio of funds has slumped 16%.

EMPTY MALLS

Funds which invested in shopping malls, traditionally a bedrock of Brazil’s retail economy, have been the hardest hit and even some owning offices have seen dramatic declines.

XP Malls is down 36% this year after it, along with other such funds, suspended dividends in March as malls were forced to close due to the coronavirus and their tenants were unable to pay rent as customers and revenue evaporated.

Meanwhile, the Torre Almirante fund, named after the single Rio de Janeiro office building it owns, has a near 70% vacancy rate and is down 39.5% so far this year.

And funds invested in office blocks are also cutting dividends as corporate tenants of all sizes ask for rebates or to suspend rent payments.

However, funds which own warehouses, many of which have seen growing e-commerce demand, have held up relatively well. CSHG Logistica is down 13.5%, data shows.

And few real estate fund offerings have attracted retail investors, who last year made up 72% of traded volumes, since the coronavirus pandemic began, Diego Coelho, a capital markets lawyer, told Reuters.

“Now we’re only seeing institutional investors,” he said.

WIDER FALL

Brazil’s real estate funds are not alone, with losses in REITS worldwide amplified by leverage.

The FTSE Nareit All REITS Index, the broadest index of U.S. REITs, has fallen 27% so far this year, compared to the 9% drop in the S&P 500.

In Britain, many real estate funds held by retail investors had their trading suspended, in compliance with regulatory rules, after the value of more than 20% of their assets became uncertain, while the REITS index in continental Europe has dropped 23% this year.

In Brazil, the slump has shocked investors like 39-year old shoe salesman Diego Schulz, who says he learned about property funds on personal finance channels and internet forums.

“My goal was to invest to have a stable revenue and pay part of my expenses,” he said, after moving 60% of his net worth out of savings accounts and government bonds and into such funds.

Those holdings are now down 10%, showing a small bounce back, and Schulz is holding on to them for now.

“I know I need to take more risk to earn more, in stocks for example, but I really have to take the time to understand it better.” he added.

(Reporting by Tatiana Bautzer; Editing by Christian Plumb and Alexander Smith)

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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