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Trump should be worried about another stock market meltdown – Yahoo Canada Finance

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Every bubble eventually bursts, a lesson President Trump may be reminded of when it comes to the stock market in the near-term.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="And in this instance, the pin holder is none other than Trump’s frequent target of Twitter criticism — his hand-picked Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tanked more than 1,000 points on Thursday following the latest decision from the Fed on interest rates. Bank stocks such as Wells Fargo and Bank of America were being crushed in intraday trading. So were hot stocks of the bubblish moment that has ensued in equites since late March such as new public company Nikola and COVID-19 blasted Carnival Cruise Line.” data-reactid=”17″>And in this instance, the pin holder is none other than Trump’s frequent target of Twitter criticism — his hand-picked Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tanked more than 1,000 points on Thursday following the latest decision from the Fed on interest rates. Bank stocks such as Wells Fargo and Bank of America were being crushed in intraday trading. So were hot stocks of the bubblish moment that has ensued in equites since late March such as new public company Nikola and COVID-19 blasted Carnival Cruise Line.

The sharp downward action in markets naturally caught the attention of Trump.

“The Federal Reserve is wrong so often. I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better than they do. We will have a very good Third Quarter, a great Fourth Quarter, and one of our best ever years in 2021. We will also soon have a Vaccine & Therapeutics/Cure. That’s my opinion. WATCH!,” Trump tweeted.

Trump administration official and confidante Peter Navarro also ripped the Fed.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="“What I would say is that Jay Powell and his remarks yesterday, I think probably the worst bedside manner of any Fed chairman in history. You think the best strategy for Jay Powell going forward would simply to provide the data and let us know where interest rates are going and keep his mouth shut,” Navarro told Yahoo Finance editor-in-chief Andy Serwer in an interview. “I mean, there’s the old joke I’m an old business professor, and the old joke in the marketing thing is if Jay Powell was going to market sushi, he’d sell it as cold, dead fish.”” data-reactid=”21″>“What I would say is that Jay Powell and his remarks yesterday, I think probably the worst bedside manner of any Fed chairman in history. You think the best strategy for Jay Powell going forward would simply to provide the data and let us know where interest rates are going and keep his mouth shut,” Navarro told Yahoo Finance editor-in-chief Andy Serwer in an interview. “I mean, there’s the old joke I’m an old business professor, and the old joke in the marketing thing is if Jay Powell was going to market sushi, he’d sell it as cold, dead fish.”

Burn.

So what exactly triggered this latest beatdown of Powell by the Trump administration? The verbal lashings have been few and far between in recent months as the market ripped more than 40% higher off the March 23 lows… in large part because of the Fed’s aggressive actions to drive an economic rebound from a major health scare.

While the Fed continued to reiterate a Trump favorite — low interest rates — it was Powell’s comments on the jobs outlook that spooked the market.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Powell said “millions” of people will not return to work for some time because of the aftershocks to businesses from the COVID-19 pandemic. The Fed chief suggested the lack of jobs would be rooted in the reality that companies were unable to survive the pandemic or the role no longer exists in the new world order.” data-reactid=”25″>Powell said “millions” of people will not return to work for some time because of the aftershocks to businesses from the COVID-19 pandemic. The Fed chief suggested the lack of jobs would be rooted in the reality that companies were unable to survive the pandemic or the role no longer exists in the new world order.

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 29: In this screengrab taken from the Federal Reserve website, Chair of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell issues the Federal Open Market Committee statement on April 29, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell said the Federal Reserve will continue to use its lending powers “forcefully, proactively and aggressively, until we’re confident that we are solidly on the road to recovery” from the economic downturn caused by the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Federal Reserve via Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC – APRIL 29: In this screengrab taken from the Federal Reserve website, Chair of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell issues the Federal Open Market Committee statement on April 29, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell said the Federal Reserve will continue to use its lending powers “forcefully, proactively and aggressively, until we’re confident that we are solidly on the road to recovery” from the economic downturn caused by the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Federal Reserve via Getty Images)

By extension, that would suggest a certain kind of structural unemployment that may continue to weigh on U.S. growth unless workers get re-trained for new jobs.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="“We believe perhaps 60% of the jobs lost because of the global coronavirus recession will be regained by the end of the year. But that remaining 40 is a lot of jobs that will still need to be regained over multiple years,” Oxford Economics chief U.S. economist Gregory Daco said on Yahoo Finance’s The First Trade.” data-reactid=”38″>“We believe perhaps 60% of the jobs lost because of the global coronavirus recession will be regained by the end of the year. But that remaining 40 is a lot of jobs that will still need to be regained over multiple years,” Oxford Economics chief U.S. economist Gregory Daco said on Yahoo Finance’s The First Trade.

<h3 class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="‘Feeling that you couldn’t lose’” data-reactid=”39″>‘Feeling that you couldn’t lose’

And if in fact this will be a painfully slow recovery as the Fed strongly hinted at Wednesday, then indeed the market has rallied too hard too fast off the lows. Numerous pros Yahoo Finance have talked with lately have suggested the market has priced in a V-shaped economic recovery later this year that extends into 2021. That thesis has had investors hardcore buying beat-up cruise lines stocks and airlines like Delta the past month while also pushing up high beta tech plays like Netflix.

Even bankrupt companies such as Hertz and J.C. Penney saw hot money flow into their stocks, a very bizarre move considering, well, the companies have filed for bankruptcy.

But Powell’s commentary puts that entire risk on at all cost thesis into question. In effect Powell took his mighty pin, stuck it between his two middle fingers to show Trump and then popped the bubble. He in not so many words said the stock market is overvalued at current levels given a sane outlook for the U.S. economic recovery.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="“I think most likely you will see a 10% correction from here,” BNY Mellon chief investment strategist Alicia told The First Trade. “I wouldn’t say we’re in a bubble. I will say this, and I might date myself a little bit. Last week was the first time in 20 years where I’ve felt like it was the late 1990s. It just had that feeling that you couldn’t lose. When you get that feeling you should be scared. You saw it when the companies filing for bankruptcy were rallying a crazy amount.”” data-reactid=”47″>“I think most likely you will see a 10% correction from here,” BNY Mellon chief investment strategist Alicia told The First Trade. “I wouldn’t say we’re in a bubble. I will say this, and I might date myself a little bit. Last week was the first time in 20 years where I’ve felt like it was the late 1990s. It just had that feeling that you couldn’t lose. When you get that feeling you should be scared. You saw it when the companies filing for bankruptcy were rallying a crazy amount.”

Ultimately, Trump should be among the scared. The last thing a president with sinking approval ratings needs is yet another market rout ahead of a re-election bid. Dust off your armored suit, Jay Powell.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-large and co-anchor of The First Trade at Yahoo Finance. Follow Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.” data-reactid=”49″>Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-large and co-anchor of The First Trade at Yahoo Finance. Follow Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Follow Yahoo Finance on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Flipboard, SmartNews, LinkedIn, YouTube, and reddit.” data-reactid=”60″>Follow Yahoo Finance on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Flipboard, SmartNews, LinkedIn, YouTube, and reddit.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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