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Chilliwack real estate sales forecast to drop 16% this year, jump 40% in 2021 – Chilliwack Progress

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The B.C. Real Estate Association (BCREA) predicts that Chilliwack and area real estate sales will drop 16 per cent overall for 2020 but rebound by 40 per cent in 2021.

The numbers are part of the BCREA’s 2020 second quarter housing forecast released on June 10.

After huge selling years in 2016 and 2017, the entire Lower Mainland was hit hard by federal and provincial policies in 2018 and 2019, according to the BCREA, a situation the region was expected to rebound from in 2020.

Then COVID-19 hit.

“As households and the real estate sector adhered to social distancing through the early stages of the pandemic, home sales across the Lower Mainland were down more than 40 per cent compared to the same time last year,” according to the BCREA’s forecast.

The Lower Mainland is made up of three real estate boards of very different sizes. The Greater Vancouver Real Estate Board (GVREB) is by far the largest, followed by the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB), which represents home sales from White Rock to Abbotsford. The Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB) includes Chilliwack, Cultus Lake, Agassiz, Harrison Hot Springs, Hope, Boston Bar and the rural areas in between, and represents about 20 per cent of the number of sales of the FVREB.

In 2019, the CADREB sales numbers were at 2,809, down 0.7 per cent from a year prior. The BCREA forecasts that to drop 16.3 per cent to 2,350 for 2020, but then jump back up by 40.4 per cent to 3,300 in 2021.

This compares to a forecast drop of 23 per cent in the FVREB area for 2020 then jump 47.8 per cent in 2020, and in GVREB drop 20.2 per cent this year followed by a 57.1 per cent increase in 2021.

The average home sale price in the CADREB area in 2019 was $522,776 is expected to rise by one per cent to $528,000 in 2020 and a further 3.2 per cent in 2021 to $545,000.

Last month, home sales in CADREB were down 38 per cent year over year although the average selling price was up to $551,719.

• READ MORE: Chilliwack and district home sales down 38 per cent in May

“The bright outlook for 2020 home sales has been upended by the COVID-19 pandemic and resulting recession,” BCREA chief economist Brendon Ogmundson said in a press release. “However, as the economy ‘re-opens’ and measures to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 are gradually eased, we expect home sales will start to rebound, aided by record-low mortgage rates and pent-up demand.”


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In June 2020, the B.C. Real Estate Association forecast Chilliwack real estate sales to drop 16 per cent overall for 2020 then increase 40 per cent in 2021. (Paul Henderson/ Progress file)

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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