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ALERT: Brace for Another Stock Market Crash – The Motley Fool Canada

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The stock market is very volatile amid the uncertainty around the magnitude, duration, and impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Many companies have suspended their earnings guidance and stock buybacks.

Even the most celebrated value investor, Warren Buffett, who is known for buying when the market is fearful, is not buying in the current market. Investors fear that the stock market will crash again.

While the TSX Composite Index recovered after falling 34% in March, it’s still down 10% year to date. The stock market recovered on the back of the Canadian government’s $52 billion stimulus package and $55 billion in tax deferrals.

As the business and economic environment is not driving this stock market rally, it’s not sustainable. There will be a pullback before growth — one that will lead to another stock market crash.

When does a stock market crash?

While there’s no specific definition of a market crash, when the overall stock market falls by the double digits, it’s called a crash. When there is uncertainty in the market, investors become fearful and sell their stocks in a panic, causing the stock market to crash.

The biggest stock market crash in history was during the Great Depression in 1929, and it took the market 25 years to return to pre-crash levels. Over the years, regulators, governments, and central banks learned from every crash and set a system in place to avoid the 1929-level crisis.

In the current COVID-19 turmoil, the Federal Reserve and the government have acted fast and put a stimulus package in place, minimizing the damage to the stock market. But another stock market crash is inevitable as the economy faces the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.

What factors could result in another stock market crash?

The current stock market rally comes as investors are optimistic that things will normalize in the next 12 months. But five events can shatter these hopes.

  • The second wave of the pandemic: Countries worldwide is gradually easing the lockdown. This easing could spark a second wave of the pandemic, as there is no vaccine in place yet. A second lockdown could lead to another stock market sell-off, as investors would want to hoard cash to survive the lockdown.
  • Stimulus package: The current stock market rally has priced-in stimulus packages like unemployment benefits, and rent and loan deferrals. The government has extended these stimulus packages from June to August, but it can’t continue this support forever. When it removes these packages, businesses and individuals will struggle to pay salaries, rent, mortgages, and loans.
  • Increase in defaults: Many companies and individuals have taken loans to pay for their daily expenses. As the government lifts stimulus packages, they may default on their payments. If the magnitude of the defaults is higher than anticipated, banks could face solvency risks more significant than the 2008 crisis. Then the government will have to bail out banks.
  • Unemployment: Many companies will go bankrupt and others will cut costs to survive. This could lead to more job cuts. On the individual front, more members of a family will seek jobs to meet their expenses and pay off their debt. All this will mean increased unemployment, negatively impacting the economy.
  • Looming recession: All of the above factors will push the economy into recession.

What should you do?

It is difficult to time the second stock market crash, but you can prepare for it. Do not sell your good investments in panic, as the market will recover gradually. Invest in cash-rich stocks that have recurring revenue and are resilient to a downturn.

Enghouse Systems (TSX:ENGH) and Constellation Software (TSX:CSU) are resilient to a market event because of their diversified consumer base and product portfolio. They acquire companies that offer mission-critical software to niche vertical markets. The majority of their revenue is recurring in nature and comes from maintenance service and software subscriptions.

They have low overhead costs, which means their EBITDA margins keep improving with economies of scale. Enghouse and Constellation have $168 million and $216 million in net cash, respectively, giving them sufficient liquidity to withstand the crisis and undertake acquisition opportunities.

If you own these two stocks, don’t sell them in panic, as they have strong growth potential. They are also good buys in a market crash.

Check below the list of other fundamentally strong companies that are good buys in a market crash.

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Fool contributor Puja Tayal has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Constellation Software. The Motley Fool recommends Enghouse Systems Ltd.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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