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How this woman can use her real-estate investments to achieve an early warm-weather retirement – Financial Post

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In Ontario, a woman we’ll call Linda, 48, is an administrator for a large corporation. Single, she brings home $4,870 from her job each month and nets $536 from three condo rentals with an estimated market value of $1.85 million. Her mortgages on rentals total $980,000. Her spending totals $2,834 per month. Real estate, including her home, make up 92 per cent of Linda’s total assets.

Email andrew.allentuck@gmail.com for a free Family Finance analysis.

Linda wants to retire in four years and live half the year in a warm place. Her job comes with a defined benefit pension. She can back that up with rental income and $221,241 in her RRSPs. Her goal is to make $25,000 per year after tax, which could be enough for some of the warm spots she has in mind, but first she has to pay off $39,200 of personal loans including a $20,000 home equity line of credit she used to buy her rentals. If and when to sell her own home, valued at $650,000, and when to start CPP and OAS are related issues. She should also plan to spend at least 153 days a year in Ontario to maintain eligibility for health insurance while she is away.

Current investments

Linda makes $250 per month in voluntary contributions to her company pension plan. Her spending is just $2,834 per month which is just 56 per cent of her take-home pay. She has paid off her own residential condo and she expects to sell her compact car when she retires. Diligent, she has estimated her retirement budget at $3,532 per month. The financial planning question is whether she can finance that for the length of time she has in mind.

Family Finance asked Owen Winkelmolen, a fee-for-service financial planner who heads PlanEasy.ca based in London, Ont., to work with Linda in order to resolve her issues. “Modest spending and profitable investments make it possible for her to achieve early retirement,” Winkelmolen explains.

Linda’s real estate investing pays relatively little in current income. But the properties have appreciated by $424,000 in just four years. Nevertheless, she is highly leveraged and nervous about her total debt, which, including her personal loans, is just over $1 million. She also worries that her own discretionary investments in financial assets via an employer-sponsored RRSP are too small. Her worry is justified, Winkelmolen says.

Structuring retirement income

To add security to her finances and to make her early retirement plans more likely to work, Linda needs to reduce her leverage first and, secondly, grow her assets. If she makes $2,000 monthly payments on her HELOC, the loan will be gone in 10 months. Her remaining personal loan on which she has not made periodic payments, would be gone in another 10 months.

Linda plans to sell her three rental properties as mortgages come up for renewal. Her equity in them is $357,000, $355,000 and $158,000. That will reduce her leverage and liberate cash.

Selling the rental properties three years before age 65 is also wise because it will ensure that Linda can avoid the Old Age Security clawback that would be triggered by hefty capital gains. The clawback, which reviews the last two years, has a present trigger point of $79,054 in annual net income. As the properties are sold, Linda’s cash balances will grow, as will her taxes. Some of the gains can go to her Tax-Free Savings Account, which has a present balance of just $75. She should be able to start filling her TFSA at 50 when her personal loans are paid off. By then, the present contribution limit growing at $6,000 per year, should have risen to $81,500 less contributions already made.

Retirement income

For three years from 52, when she retires, to 56, when she can start her defined-benefit pension, Linda can tap her RRSP for living expenses. Her tax rate will be about eight per cent — higher if she adds capital gains on properties she sells. During this period, her original monthly living expenses would decline from $2,834 to $2,434 via the elimination of $400 in debt payments. Subtracting $536 in rental income would leave her with a balance of at least $1,898 per month that she would need to cover with taxable RRSP withdrawals and capital gains. We can estimate the taxable RRSP drawdown at $150,000 for the period with whatever she doesn’t spend kept as liquid savings. Linda can put properties on the market at one per year as conditions allow in the three year interval between the end of her employment income and the start of her pension. The sales sequence will be hers to decide.

Linda can downsize her own debt-free home at any time with no tax on gains. At age 56, she will start receiving her defined benefit pension of $14,606 per year.

At 57, Linda can obtain the proceeds of sale of the last rental property if not already sold.

Her pension, plus annuitized income from her RRSP and the non-registered savings she has accumulated from the sale of the properties, would give her pre-tax income of about $52,600, depending on the timing of the sales and how long that money has had to grow. She would be taxed at an average rate of 13 per cent, Winkelmolen estimates.

At 60, Linda can take CPP if she wishes at an estimated rate of $6,480 per year, driving total annul income before tax to $59,080 per year. At 65, she could add Old Age Security income, currently $7,362 per year, but would lose a pension bridge benefit of ­­­­­­ $9,019. Her pre-tax income would be $57,423 per year. After 15 per cent average tax, she would have $48,810 to spend each year. That works out to $4,070 per month. That permanent income is more than her estimated retirement budget requirement, $3,532 per month.

“The plan to quit at 52 is financially doable,” Winkelmolen concludes.

Retirement stars: 4 **** out of 5

Financial Post

E-mail andrew.allentuck@gmail.com for a free Family Finance analysis.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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