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LACKIE: Downsizers are critical to a healthy real-estate market – Toronto Sun

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Once upon a time, the real-estate market flowed in clearly delineated seasons. Spring and fall were busy, winter and summer slow.

In many ways this continues to be the rhythm — families will always prefer to be settled in time for school to start or the holiday season to kick off, and in a country with but a few short months of glorious summer, July and August will always find most of us out-of-office, even if just in our minds.

But in a city with a years-long inventory problem, real estate has now evolved to become opportunity-driven more than anything else; would-be buyers need to be on the hunt 24/7 lest they miss their chance.

We talk a lot about the challenges first-time buyers face in a tough market like ours. Less frequently explored are the frustrations felt by would-be downsizers who want to shift their focus to their next acts but simply cannot figure out a way to get there.

Downsizers are a critical component to a well-functioning real-estate market. In order for first-time buyers to ascend the property ladder, upward movement depends on those at the top vacating their spots, in this case their family homes.

We call them “downsizers” but that presupposes that smaller houses, stair-free bungalows, or larger apartments are easily accessible. Going from house to a decent sized condo is most often a lateral move, financially speaking. So even though we’re all familiar with the classic Toronto tale of the Boomer couple who bought their Riverdale semi for $37,000 in 1976 only to now be able to sell for $1.5M, the problem is that those gains are meaningless if there’s nowhere to move that will free up some of that equity to fund retirement.

So what then?

Rental apartments are tricky as they’re not particularly stable. Even if you find one you can see yourself being happy in, it’s unwise to plan too far into the future as there is always the distinct possibility of the unit being reclaimed or sold out from under you. The few purpose-built rental buildings in the city are largely 1970s buildings that usually can’t compare to condos in terms of fit, finish and amenities, so not particularly appealing to people coming from a home they love.

And with recent moves by this provincial government to further limit rent control measures as a way to incentivize development of more rental supply, it’s even harder for someone contemplating life on a fixed income to feel secure.

We unfortunately know that COVID-19 has revealed horrendous vulnerabilities in the province’s assisted living and long-term care facilities, so that’s likely going to be a hard pass as well.

So what to do?

Firstly, for a while host of reasons it’s time to change the messaging around “affordable housing” initiatives in this city. We need to incentivize development of projects that meet pressing needs such as this, and advocate for them to the NIMBYs who complain about the city’s lack of housing supply yet simultaneously rail against such projects during the community consultation process.

We need to incentivize developers to build purpose-built rental apartments again, the bigger the better.

We need to lobby the government to help retirees find ways to access the equity in their homes.

At present, there’s no way to access a Home Equity Line of Credit without income, so for many retirees that leaves only predatory reverse mortgages. If the government would step in and legislate to protect seniors from predatory lending while also helping them tap into the equity in their home, that would go a long way. In the meantime, the only real option is to take out such a line of credit in advance of retirement, and keep it clear until you need to advance on it to fund your life. But that shouldn’t be the only way.

It seems to me that this is a moment of opportunity for a savvy entrepreneur.

There is an entire segment of our population who would love some help staying in their homes, even if it’s a smaller house around the corner or a bungalow 45 minutes north of the city. Service offerings that will take on the day-to-day headaches of running a home — garbage day, snow removal, gutter cleaning — for a monthly fee. Occupational therapists that can assess the home and make recommendations for how one might adapt the environment to meet the needs of seniors with evolving health challenges. Concierge-like services that will help tacking online grocery ordering and come help when the cable stops working or the skylight springs a leak.

Because the thing is this — in helping to facilitate the next steps for downsizers by doing more to meet the needs of our seniors, you’re opening up possibilities for everyone else. Win-win. For everyone.

— Lackie is a second-generation Sales Representative with Chestnut Park Real Estate and has been helping her clients navigate the challenging Toronto market since 2011

@brynnlackie 

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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