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Where are the hotspots? A look at Canada's COVID-19 map – CTV News

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TORONTO —
After steadily declining in June and flattening out in early July, Canada’s COVID-19 curve has been on the upswing over the past two weeks.

“There’s this gradual but progressive creep of increasing new cases,” Dr. Matthew Oughton, an infectious diseases specialist at the McGill University Health Centre in Montreal, said Thursday on CTV News Channel.

That increase is not a surprise. It was expected that as more parts of the country reopened, it would be easier for the novel coronavirus to spread.

A significant number of these new cases can be linked to known outbreaks in several provinces. While some of them have been blamed on “lockdown fatigue” and younger Canadians loosening up their social circles, others show continuing issues in migrant worker camps and other close-quarters settings.

This map from Project Pandemic tracks known cases of COVID-19 across the country. If you can’t see the map on your device, go here for the full experience.

But what’s the story behind the data? What activities are driving Canada’s current COVID-19 hotspots?

From Canada Day parties to reopened bars, CTVNews.ca looks at the stories behind five of the most notable recent outbreaks in the country.

CANADA DAY PARTIES IN KELOWNA, B.C.

The surge in COVID-19 cases in the largest city in the B.C. interior is believed to have started around Canada Day.

Health officials have said that eight known COVID-19 patients were in the city at that time – only two of whom live there – and singled out two private Canada Day parties as the most likely sources of the ongoing outbreak.

More than 70 COVID-19 cases had been linked in some way to that outbreak as of Wednesday, and more than 1,000 people have entered self-isolation as a result.

The mayor of Kelowna has warned out-of-towners against visiting the city this summer, and B.C.’s provincial health officer said Wednesday that the province may impose regional restrictions on the area, breaking from the province-wide approach used up to this point.

CALGARY’S MYSTERIOUS UPSWING

Alberta has led the charge for increasing COVID-19 numbers in Canada, now holding the dubious distinction of being the province with the highest infection rate per capita.

“They had controlled the pandemic really well until about a month ago,” Dr. Abdu Sharkawy, a Toronto-based infectious disease expert, told CTV News Channel on Wednesday.

Many of the new cases are coming from Calgary, where almost every corner of the city is seeing its curve bend upward.

What concerns the experts, though, is that it’s not clear what’s driving the increasing caseload. In other Canadian hotspots, there is a place or activity or gathering generally considered to be the source of the outbreak. That’s not the case here.

There were 517 active cases of COVID-19 in Calgary as of Wednesday – approximately 10 per cent of the Canadian total.

HUTTERITE COLONIES

Approximately three-quarters of the world’s Hutterites – an offshoot group of Anabaptist Christians – live in Western Canada, where there are more than 350 Hutterite communities known as colonies.

They speak their own language and mostly live technology-free lives – and as of last week, they’re at the centre of COVID-19 activity in the Prairies.

Two Hutterite colonies in Manitoba went into voluntary lockdown after reporting a combined five cases of the virus on July 17, accounting for every new case in the province that day. A few days later, the tally was up to 20 cases among three colonies. Church services and communal meals have been put on hold as the colonies attempt to repel the virus.

The effects of the pandemic have been much more severe among Hutterite groups in Saskatchewan. Seventeen colonies in that province were known to have had active cases of COVID-19 as of Wednesday, and 48 of the 60 new cases announced in Saskatchewan on that day were traced to Hutterite communities.

MIGRANT FARM WORKERS AROUND WINDSOR, ONT.

Ontario has adopted a staged approach to reopening, with parts of the province where new case numbers are low allowed to have fewer restrictions than those where the numbers are high.

The last areas to reopen have largely been in and around Toronto – but nearly 400 kilometres away, Windsor, Ont., has also lagged behind. Windsor and neighbouring Essex County were responsible for more than one-quarter of all new COVID-19 cases announced in Ontario on Thursday.

There were 10 active outbreaks in the region as of Thursday, including eight at agricultural facilities, which heavily rely on migrant workers, despite pleas from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Ontario Premier Doug Ford for more to be done to protect the workers.

In late June, one farm alone was linked to 175 known cases of COVID-19.

MONTREAL’S BELOVED BARS

Quebec has had far more cases of COVID-19 than any other province, with Montreal especially hard-hit.

Despite that, the province has been moving ahead faster than some others when it comes to reopening. Bars were allowed to start serving customers again in late June, with distancing and other safety measures in place, and it wasn’t long until reports of coronavirus infections linked to bars began to pour in.

“There’s been much concern raised … that facilities like bars, where there’s alcohol involved, seem to pose a higher risk than most other businesses,” Oughton said.

There were also concerns that bar employees were not wearing the required personal protective equipment, with Premier Francois Legault saying inspectors found that to be the case at 35 of the 36 bars they checked out in the Bas-Saint-Laurent region.

All this activity led to suggestions that the province once again close down drinking establishments, although Legault seemed to rule that out last week.

Backstory:

 

“Project Pandemic: Canada Reports on COVID-19” is a national collaboration bringing together journalists and journalism students from news organizations and universities across Canada to gather information as a public service.

The consortium draws on data gathered by governmental health authorities, journalists and the nonprofit platform Flatten.ca. This project is co-ordinated by Concordia University’s Institute for Investigative Journalism, with the support of the Canadian Association of Journalists. For the full list of credits, please visit concordia.ca/projectpandemic.

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STD epidemic slows as new syphilis and gonorrhea cases fall in US

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NEW YORK (AP) — The U.S. syphilis epidemic slowed dramatically last year, gonorrhea cases fell and chlamydia cases remained below prepandemic levels, according to federal data released Tuesday.

The numbers represented some good news about sexually transmitted diseases, which experienced some alarming increases in past years due to declining condom use, inadequate sex education, and reduced testing and treatment when the COVID-19 pandemic hit.

Last year, cases of the most infectious stages of syphilis fell 10% from the year before — the first substantial decline in more than two decades. Gonorrhea cases dropped 7%, marking a second straight year of decline and bringing the number below what it was in 2019.

“I’m encouraged, and it’s been a long time since I felt that way” about the nation’s epidemic of sexually transmitted infections, said the CDC’s Dr. Jonathan Mermin. “Something is working.”

More than 2.4 million cases of syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia were diagnosed and reported last year — 1.6 million cases of chlamydia, 600,000 of gonorrhea, and more than 209,000 of syphilis.

Syphilis is a particular concern. For centuries, it was a common but feared infection that could deform the body and end in death. New cases plummeted in the U.S. starting in the 1940s when infection-fighting antibiotics became widely available, and they trended down for a half century after that. By 2002, however, cases began rising again, with men who have sex with other men being disproportionately affected.

The new report found cases of syphilis in their early, most infectious stages dropped 13% among gay and bisexual men. It was the first such drop since the agency began reporting data for that group in the mid-2000s.

However, there was a 12% increase in the rate of cases of unknown- or later-stage syphilis — a reflection of people infected years ago.

Cases of syphilis in newborns, passed on from infected mothers, also rose. There were nearly 4,000 cases, including 279 stillbirths and infant deaths.

“This means pregnant women are not being tested often enough,” said Dr. Jeffrey Klausner, a professor of medicine at the University of Southern California.

What caused some of the STD trends to improve? Several experts say one contributor is the growing use of an antibiotic as a “morning-after pill.” Studies have shown that taking doxycycline within 72 hours of unprotected sex cuts the risk of developing syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia.

In June, the CDC started recommending doxycycline as a morning-after pill, specifically for gay and bisexual men and transgender women who recently had an STD diagnosis. But health departments and organizations in some cities had been giving the pills to people for a couple years.

Some experts believe that the 2022 mpox outbreak — which mainly hit gay and bisexual men — may have had a lingering effect on sexual behavior in 2023, or at least on people’s willingness to get tested when strange sores appeared.

Another factor may have been an increase in the number of health workers testing people for infections, doing contact tracing and connecting people to treatment. Congress gave $1.2 billion to expand the workforce over five years, including $600 million to states, cities and territories that get STD prevention funding from CDC.

Last year had the “most activity with that funding throughout the U.S.,” said David Harvey, executive director of the National Coalition of STD Directors.

However, Congress ended the funds early as a part of last year’s debt ceiling deal, cutting off $400 million. Some people already have lost their jobs, said a spokeswoman for Harvey’s organization.

Still, Harvey said he had reasons for optimism, including the growing use of doxycycline and a push for at-home STD test kits.

Also, there are reasons to think the next presidential administration could get behind STD prevention. In 2019, then-President Donald Trump announced a campaign to “eliminate” the U.S. HIV epidemic by 2030. (Federal health officials later clarified that the actual goal was a huge reduction in new infections — fewer than 3,000 a year.)

There were nearly 32,000 new HIV infections in 2022, the CDC estimates. But a boost in public health funding for HIV could also also help bring down other sexually transmitted infections, experts said.

“When the government puts in resources, puts in money, we see declines in STDs,” Klausner said.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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World’s largest active volcano Mauna Loa showed telltale warning signs before erupting in 2022

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Scientists can’t know precisely when a volcano is about to erupt, but they can sometimes pick up telltale signs.

That happened two years ago with the world’s largest active volcano. About two months before Mauna Loa spewed rivers of glowing orange molten lava, geologists detected small earthquakes nearby and other signs, and they warned residents on Hawaii‘s Big Island.

Now a study of the volcano’s lava confirms their timeline for when the molten rock below was on the move.

“Volcanoes are tricky because we don’t get to watch directly what’s happening inside – we have to look for other signs,” said Erik Klemetti Gonzalez, a volcano expert at Denison University, who was not involved in the study.

Upswelling ground and increased earthquake activity near the volcano resulted from magma rising from lower levels of Earth’s crust to fill chambers beneath the volcano, said Kendra Lynn, a research geologist at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and co-author of a new study in Nature Communications.

When pressure was high enough, the magma broke through brittle surface rock and became lava – and the eruption began in late November 2022. Later, researchers collected samples of volcanic rock for analysis.

The chemical makeup of certain crystals within the lava indicated that around 70 days before the eruption, large quantities of molten rock had moved from around 1.9 miles (3 kilometers) to 3 miles (5 kilometers) under the summit to a mile (2 kilometers) or less beneath, the study found. This matched the timeline the geologists had observed with other signs.

The last time Mauna Loa erupted was in 1984. Most of the U.S. volcanoes that scientists consider to be active are found in Hawaii, Alaska and the West Coast.

Worldwide, around 585 volcanoes are considered active.

Scientists can’t predict eruptions, but they can make a “forecast,” said Ben Andrews, who heads the global volcano program at the Smithsonian Institution and who was not involved in the study.

Andrews compared volcano forecasts to weather forecasts – informed “probabilities” that an event will occur. And better data about the past behavior of specific volcanos can help researchers finetune forecasts of future activity, experts say.

(asterisk)We can look for similar patterns in the future and expect that there’s a higher probability of conditions for an eruption happening,” said Klemetti Gonzalez.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Waymo’s robotaxis now open to anyone who wants a driverless ride in Los Angeles

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Waymo on Tuesday opened its robotaxi service to anyone who wants a ride around Los Angeles, marking another milestone in the evolution of self-driving car technology since the company began as a secret project at Google 15 years ago.

The expansion comes eight months after Waymo began offering rides in Los Angeles to a limited group of passengers chosen from a waiting list that had ballooned to more than 300,000 people. Now, anyone with the Waymo One smartphone app will be able to request a ride around an 80-square-mile (129-square-kilometer) territory spanning the second largest U.S. city.

After Waymo received approval from California regulators to charge for rides 15 months ago, the company initially chose to launch its operations in San Francisco before offering a limited service in Los Angeles.

Before deciding to compete against conventional ride-hailing pioneers Uber and Lyft in California, Waymo unleashed its robotaxis in Phoenix in 2020 and has been steadily extending the reach of its service in that Arizona city ever since.

Driverless rides are proving to be more than just a novelty. Waymo says it now transports more than 50,000 weekly passengers in its robotaxis, a volume of business numbers that helped the company recently raise $5.6 billion from its corporate parent Alphabet and a list of other investors that included venture capital firm Andreesen Horowitz and financial management firm T. Rowe Price.

“Our service has matured quickly and our riders are embracing the many benefits of fully autonomous driving,” Waymo co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana said in a blog post.

Despite its inroads, Waymo is still believed to be losing money. Although Alphabet doesn’t disclose Waymo’s financial results, the robotaxi is a major part of an “Other Bets” division that had suffered an operating loss of $3.3 billion through the first nine months of this year, down from a setback of $4.2 billion at the same time last year.

But Waymo has come a long way since Google began working on self-driving cars in 2009 as part of project “Chauffeur.” Since its 2016 spinoff from Google, Waymo has established itself as the clear leader in a robotaxi industry that’s getting more congested.

Electric auto pioneer Tesla is aiming to launch a rival “Cybercab” service by 2026, although its CEO Elon Musk said he hopes the company can get the required regulatory clearances to operate in Texas and California by next year.

Tesla’s projected timeline for competing against Waymo has been met with skepticism because Musk has made unfulfilled promises about the company’s self-driving car technology for nearly a decade.

Meanwhile, Waymo’s robotaxis have driven more than 20 million fully autonomous miles and provided more than 2 million rides to passengers without encountering a serious accident that resulted in its operations being sidelined.

That safety record is a stark contrast to one of its early rivals, Cruise, a robotaxi service owned by General Motors. Cruise’s California license was suspended last year after one of its driverless cars in San Francisco dragged a jaywalking pedestrian who had been struck by a different car driven by a human.

Cruise is now trying to rebound by joining forces with Uber to make some of its services available next year in U.S. cities that still haven’t been announced. But Waymo also has forged a similar alliance with Uber to dispatch its robotaxi in Atlanta and Austin, Texas next year.

Another robotaxi service, Amazon’s Zoox, is hoping to begin offering driverless rides to the general public in Las Vegas at some point next year before also launching in San Francisco.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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