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There’s no vaccine yet. But there’s a political fight over it.

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WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump and Democrats are fighting over which side is more garishly politicizing the race to find a coronavirus vaccine.

Is it him pressuring drugmakers and federal agencies to begin mass coronavirus immunizations before November’s election, or Democrats sowing doubt about the safety of a vaccine produced on that timeline? The answer may affect the way some voters view Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the stretch run before Election Day.

Polls have consistently shown that most Americans don’t trust what Trump says about the coronavirus or how he’s handled the response to it. He may not need to reverse those sentiments to win, but it would sure help. And while Trump has come up short of swearing a blood oath to deliver the vaccine on a particular date, the allure of citing dates before the election is obvious.

“What I said is ‘by the end of the year,'” Trump said Monday at the White House. “But I think it could even be sooner than that. It could be during the month of October, actually. Could be before November.”

Sept. 9, 202009:19

All at once, he acknowledged the potential political benefit of delivering a vaccine right before the election and denied that self-interest played any role in his thinking.

“With somebody else, maybe they would say it politically, but I’m saying it in terms of this is what we need,” Trump said. “If we get the vaccine early, that’s a great thing, whether it’s politics or not. Now, do benefits inure if you’re able to get something years ahead of schedule? I guess maybe they do.”

Outside Washington, Republicans say there’s big political value to the president if a vaccine is available before voters go to the polls.

“A vaccine before the election will absolutely move the needle,” Missouri House Speaker Elijah Haahr said in a text exchange with NBC News. “Whether or not people will take it, just the notion that there is a timeline to ending this pandemic would shift the national conversation.”

U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams has advised states to be ready to distribute a vaccine widely by Nov. 1, two days before the election. Trump’s critics say he is publicly leaning on scientists and regulators to work backward from that deadline, rather than following through on all the steps needed to ensure that any vaccine given to patients is effective and safe.

“The authorization or approval of any COVID-19 vaccine must be guided by science and data, not politics,” Sen. Maggie Hassan, D-N.H., said in a statement to NBC News Tuesday. “If the president continues to politicize the vaccine review process, it could put lives at risk — both because it could result in the premature release of a vaccine that could pose health risks to Americans, and because it could undermine public confidence in a vaccine, resulting in fewer Americans getting a vaccine even if it is safe and effective.”

Francis Collins, director of the National Institutes of Health, said at a Senate health panel hearing Wednesday that federal agencies are consolidating elements of the process that can be expedited without compromising safety. He said the freezing of one trial in England this week is a “concrete example” of how a safety issue can stall progress. And, he noted, the decision to load doses of potential vaccines for distribution before it’s known whether they work means hundreds of millions of dollars could be wasted.

He made a simple argument for moving quickly, even at the cost of wasted money: “People are dying.”

Sept. 8, 202002:16

Adams acknowledged the challenging optics. “We have a once-in-a-century global pandemic superimposed over a presidential election,” Adams said Wednesday when asked about public hesitancy concerning a vaccine. He sought to assure senators that “there has been no politicization of the vaccine process whatsoever.”

Trump and officials on his campaign say that it’s Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and his running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris of California, who are dangerously discrediting a vaccine before it’s available. Harris has said that she wouldn’t trust a vaccine on Trump’s word and would listen to medical experts.

Democrats read polls and calendars, too. They know that Trump’s credibility numbers are soft, particularly when it comes to his handling of the coronavirus, and they know that a vaccine showing up two days before the election could reverse those numbers quickly — unless the public doesn’t trust that the vaccine has been properly vetted.

By Election Day — whether or not a vaccine has been delivered — it is likely that few voters will base their choice on what the candidates said in September.

But AstraZeneca provided a reminder Tuesday that science doesn’t always bow to politics. The drug company announced it was pausing a vaccine trial to review whether a patient illness arose from the vaccine or another factor.

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NDP beat Conservatives in federal byelection in Winnipeg

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WINNIPEG – The federal New Democrats have kept a longtime stronghold in the Elmwood-Transcona riding in Winnipeg.

The NDP’s Leila Dance won a close battle over Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds, and says the community has spoken in favour of priorities such as health care and the cost of living.

Elmwood-Transcona has elected a New Democrat in every election except one since the riding was formed in 1988.

The seat became open after three-term member of Parliament Daniel Blaikie resigned in March to take a job with the Manitoba government.

A political analyst the NDP is likely relieved to have kept the seat in what has been one of their strongest urban areas.

Christopher Adams, an adjunct professor of political studies at the University of Manitoba, says NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh worked hard to keep the seat in a tight race.

“He made a number of visits to Winnipeg, so if they had lost this riding it would have been disastrous for the NDP,” Adams said.

The strong Conservative showing should put wind in that party’s sails, Adams added, as their percentage of the popular vote in Elmwood-Transcona jumped sharply from the 2021 election.

“Even though the Conservatives lost this (byelection), they should walk away from it feeling pretty good.”

Dance told reporters Monday night she wants to focus on issues such as the cost of living while working in Ottawa.

“We used to be able to buy a cart of groceries for a hundred dollars and now it’s two small bags. That is something that will affect everyone in this riding,” Dance said.

Liberal candidate Ian MacIntyre placed a distant third,

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trudeau says ‘all sorts of reflections’ for Liberals after loss of second stronghold

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau say the Liberals have “all sorts of reflections” to make after losing a second stronghold in a byelection in Montreal Monday night.

His comments come as the Liberal cabinet gathers for its first regularly scheduled meeting of the fall sitting of Parliament, which began Monday.

Trudeau’s Liberals were hopeful they could retain the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun, but those hopes were dashed after the Bloc Québécois won it in an extremely tight three-way race with the NDP.

Louis-Philippe Sauvé, an administrator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics, beat Liberal candidate Laura Palestini by less than 250 votes. The NDP finished about 600 votes back of the winner.

It is the second time in three months that Trudeau’s party lost a stronghold in a byelection. In June, the Conservatives defeated the Liberals narrowly in Toronto-St. Paul’s.

The Liberals won every seat in Toronto and almost every seat on the Island of Montreal in the last election, and losing a seat in both places has laid bare just how low the party has fallen in the polls.

“Obviously, it would have been nicer to be able to win and hold (the Montreal riding), but there’s more work to do and we’re going to stay focused on doing it,” Trudeau told reporters ahead of this morning’s cabinet meeting.

When asked what went wrong for his party, Trudeau responded “I think there’s all sorts of reflections to take on that.”

In French, he would not say if this result puts his leadership in question, instead saying his team has lots of work to do.

Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet will hold a press conference this morning, but has already said the results are significant for his party.

“The victory is historic and all of Quebec will speak with a stronger voice in Ottawa,” Blanchet wrote on X, shortly after the winner was declared.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party had hoped to ride to a win in Montreal on the popularity of their candidate, city councillor Craig Sauvé, and use it to further their goal of replacing the Liberals as the chief alternative to the Conservatives.

The NDP did hold on to a seat in Winnipeg in a tight race with the Conservatives, but the results in Elmwood-Transcona Monday were far tighter than in the last several elections. NDP candidate Leila Dance defeated Conservative Colin Reynolds by about 1,200 votes.

Singh called it a “big victory.”

“Our movement is growing — and we’re going to keep working for Canadians and building that movement to stop Conservative cuts before they start,” he said on social media.

“Big corporations have had their governments. It’s the people’s time.”

New Democrats recently pulled out of their political pact with the government in a bid to distance themselves from the Liberals, making the prospects of a snap election far more likely.

Trudeau attempted to calm his caucus at their fall retreat in Nanaimo, B.C, last week, and brought former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney on as an economic adviser in a bid to shore up some credibility with voters.

The latest byelection loss will put more pressure on him as leader, with many polls suggesting voter anger is more directed at Trudeau himself than at Liberal policies.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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NDP declares victory in federal Winnipeg byelection, Conservatives concede

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The New Democrats have declared a federal byelection victory in their Winnipeg stronghold riding of Elmwood—Transcona.

The NDP candidate Leila Dance told supporters in a tearful speech that even though the final results weren’t in, she expected she would see them in Ottawa.

With several polls still to be counted, Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds conceded defeat and told his volunteers that they should be proud of what the Conservatives accomplished in the campaign.

Political watchers had a keen eye on the results to see if the Tories could sway traditionally NDP voters on issues related to labour and affordability.

Meanwhile in the byelection race in the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun the NDP, Liberals and Bloc Québécois remained locked in an extremely tight three-way race as the results trickled in slowly.

The Liberal stronghold riding had a record 91 names on the ballot, and the results aren’t expected until the early hours of the morning.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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