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FOMC meeting begins, traders await tomorrow's statement and press conference – Kitco NEWS

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The most important economic event of the month began today. This morning members of the Federal Reserve convened to meet for the first time since the virtual economic symposium was held last month virtually instead of at Jackson Hole.

During his keynote speech Chairman Powell delivered a powerful message. That message contained major changes to the current monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. The largest change to their monetary policy was a realignment of their target inflation are the rate that was acceptable. For years the Fed has maintained a dual mandate which is maximum employment, and a limit of 2% inflation.

In 2010, when the Federal Reserve first implemented quantitative easing in which they flooded liquidity into the economy they carefully monitored the level of inflation. As soon inflation began to near their target of 2%, they raised their Fed funds rate. This controls interest rates as a method to slow the economic growth and therefore slow the inflationary pressures.

The raising of rates did in fact slow the economy but had a detrimental effect on overall growth, and many analysts felt that the Fed had acted too quickly thereby extending the timeline for the economic recovery.

It seems that the Federal Reserve has learned from this action that raising rates to quickly does not serve their dual mandate. In particular their goal of reaching maximum employment and a stable economy. The news announced during the symposium last month dramatically changed the timeline that the Federal Reserve will raise rates.

However, during the keynote speech Chairman Powell spoken broad sweeping statements which lacked precise details as to how they would implement this plan, and most importantly the parameters and levels at which they believe it would be safe begin to raise rates.

It is for exactly that reason that tomorrow’s statement and following press conference is so critically important. For the first time since December of last year the Federal Reserve will release its ‘dot plot’ which will map out the basic intent and timeline that Federal Reserve members believe it will be necessary to keep interest rates at the current level which is near zero. Although each dot represents a voting member, there is no information as to which voting member voted in a certain way. However, the release of the “dot plot” tomorrow will absolutely bring some clarity as to the anticipated timeline.

Analysts are predicting that we could see interest rates stay near zero until 2023. In fact, Bloomberg polled 31 economists and came to the following conclusion; “The Federal Reserve may hold interest rates near zero for three or more years, and its balance sheet will soar above $10 trillion as policymakers seek to revive the U.S. economy from recession, economists said in a Bloomberg survey. Just over half the 31 respondents to an April 20-23 poll predicted the target range for the federal funds rate, now at 0-0.25%, won’t move up until at least 2023. Another 22% said not before 2022.”

While there continues to be uncertainty as to what the actual timeline will be, we know that it will be based upon hard data and adjusted as the economic growth revitalizes, or contracts. That being said the Federal Reserve continues its commitment to do whatever it takes to revitalize the economy and move towards maximum employment. The largest change to their mandate is the willingness to let inflation run a little hotter than it had in the past so that that they can put emphasis on getting Americans back to work and economic growth.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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