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Warren Buffett Would Love This Canadian Real Estate Pick – The Motley Fool Canada

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Real estate is a very difficult asset class to gauge these days. The coronavirus pandemic as fundamentally changed how society uses real estate. Digitization has rapidly increased in importance compared to the past.

In this context, in the past, I have been bearish on Brookfield Property Partners (TSX:BPY.UN). This article is going to outline the contrarian perspective on why BPY could turn out to be a good investment right now. After all, Warren Buffet would love this pick.

Real estate and risk

Much ado has been made of Brookfield Property Partners’ exposure to retail and office space. These assets are likely to be hit hard due to the previously mentioned digitization trend. That said, a majority of this company’s revenue (around 55%) is generated from BPY’s portfolio of multifamily and commercial real estate.

On one hand, the company has a little less than half of its business tied to office and retail real estate assets. These are risky. On the other hand, revenues are likely to continue to be stickier than investors and analysts expect due to the quality of BPY’s assets and its diversified holdings.

The company’s assets are widely considered to be among the best in class across the board. This supports a bull case that cash flows in the future may be more stable than strained in the coming quarters. Also, there is definitely potential for share price appreciation from these levels.

Value and income investors take note

From a valuation perspective, Brookfield Property Partners hasn’t been this cheap in quite some time, which makes the value argument very intriguing for long-term investors. The share price decline of Brookfield Property Partners in recent months has resulted in a dividend yield of approximately 11%, at the time of writing. This is much higher than the company’s traditional range of 7-8% in recent years.

From an income perspective, this dividend is too juicy to ignore. Of course, investors may have concerns around the payout ratio of Brookfield Property Partners. However, delinquencies and non-payment of rent are materializing at a slower clip than expected. Market sentiment could shift positively in the near-term. Thus, income investors may regret not picking up shares in hindsight with an 11% yield.

Further, Brookfield Asset Management (TSX:BAM.A)(NYSE:BAM) fully backs Brookfield Property Partners. BAM is the company’s largest shareholder, further boosting the argument BPY’s dividend yield could be maintained. Brookfield Asset Management recently put forward a substantial issuer bid to increase its ownership up to 60% in respect to the value it sees in Brookfield Property Partners.

This bid has stoked bets that BAM may choose to fully acquire and integrate BPY back into the parent company if the stock price gets too cheap. This theoretically puts a floor beneath BPY’s share price in the near-term.

BAM and its incredibly talented management team would love nothing more than to take advantage of negative market sentiment. They may plan to re-acquire BPY at dirt cheap levels, spinning out these assets in the future at much higher prices when things cool down.

Don’t miss out on this Warren Buffet contrarian pick!

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Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Brookfield Asset Management. The Motley Fool recommends BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC. CL.A LV and Brookfield Property Partners LP.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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