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Early U.S. election returns leave London politics watchers with mixed feelings – CBC.ca

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Many bleary-eyed political watchers in London went to bed late Tuesday — or early Wednesday — not knowing whether Donald Trump will get a second term in the White House with too many votes in key swing states to be counted to declare a winner.

U.S. elections are always closely watched in Canada but Trump’s turbulent first term combined with the COVID-19 pandemic amped up local interest in this race. 

However this morning., the results were not decisive in enough to name a winner in the presidential race, though some Democratic party supporters weren’t feeling good about their chances with Trump having won Ohio and Florida and holding leads in crucial states including Pennsylvania, Texas, Wisconsin and Michigan. 

Many of the early results could change due to the record number of absentee ballots cast as voters tried to avoid crowded voting centres. Some states may not be able to declare the winner for days, depending on possible recounts and legal challenges.

‘Not looking good’ says Biden supporter

Londoner Joe Roberts ran for Congress in his native Ohio back in 2010. He lost the race but didn’t lose his love and passion for politics. (Andrew Lupton/CBC)

Among the Londoners watching the results closely was Joe Roberts. 

He’s the executive director of London’s Jewish Centre, but he’s also a native Ohioan who ran for Congress as a Democrat in what was then the Buckeye State’s Third District back in 2010. 

He lost that race to a Republican incumbent but didn’t lose his love of politics. He voted by mail in this election weeks ago. 

“I’ve been looking forward to this all year, for four years really,” he told CBC News before results began to come in. “Starting in March, all I could think about was November.” 

Early Tuesday evening he believed Democratic Party challenger Joe Biden was heading for a win. 

But hours later, after partial results had rolled in, Roberts told CBC News he feared Biden faced a very difficult path to win the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the White House.  

“Looking at the vote total that’s still out and where it’s out in Wisconsin and Michigan, it’s really not looking good for Biden,” said Roberts just after midnight. “You have to flip both Pennsylvania and one of those two states to win and it just doesn’t look likely.” 

If political history is any indicator, Trump’s win in Ohio doesn’t bode well for Biden and the Democrats.

Ohio has a good track record of picking winning presidential candidates. Going back to 1944, the state has voted for the losing candidate only once, opting for Nixon over Kennedy back in 1960. 

“A Republican presidential candidate, historically, has not won without winning Ohio,” said Roberts.

Trump won Ohio four years ago but the state also has a history of oscillating back and forth between the two parties. In the last 12 elections, Ohio has voted for Republican presidential candidates seven times, Democrats five

London Republican watching Texas

Jess McDougall is Canadian but says she’d be voting for Trump if she lived in the United States. Many of her relatives are Trump supporters. She says the polls are failing to capture the number of voters who support Trump, but aren’t willing to admit to it publicly. (Jess McDougall)

Another London-based U.S. politics watcher, but one on the opposite side of the political spectrum, is Jess McDougall. 

A 22-year-old political science student at Western University, McDougall says if she lived in the United States, she’d be voting for Trump, like her family does. 

They’re based in the Dallas area and she calls them “hardcore Republicans.” They are religious, gun carrying conservatives who want to see Trump in office for another four years.

McDougall said too many polls that predicted a Biden win failed to capture the voting intentions of so-called “shy” Trump supporters. 

She’s predicting a Trump win with an Electoral College count similar to when Trump beat Hillary Clinton in 2016. 

“Nothing has changed to sway those Trump voters in my opinion,” McDougall said. 

CBC News checked in with McDougall just after 11 p.m. Tuesday. She didn’t want to declare Trump the winner, but said she was happy with what she saw in the early results. 

“I’m pretty confident obviously but I don’t want to count my chickens too quickly,” she said. “But the pathways are narrowing for Biden.”

Zoom watching party at Western

McDougall was watching the race with others but not in a crowded pub, restaurant or living room. 

The political science club at Western University held a Zoom meeting of politics-watchers to discuss and debate as the results were reported.

Club president Aidan Link organized the event and said more than 150 people joined the chat at once. He programmed a half-dozen student moderators, including McDougall, to take turns leading the discussion as the night unfolded. A few Western political science professors also joined the online discussion throughout the night.

It’s not the same as watching the results and victory speeches among a crowd but it will have to do. This is 2020 after all and politics is often about compromise. 

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NDP caving to Poilievre on carbon price, has no idea how to fight climate change: PM

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says the NDP is caving to political pressure from Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre when it comes to their stance on the consumer carbon price.

Trudeau says he believes Jagmeet Singh and the NDP care about the environment, but it’s “increasingly obvious” that they have “no idea” what to do about climate change.

On Thursday, Singh said the NDP is working on a plan that wouldn’t put the burden of fighting climate change on the backs of workers, but wouldn’t say if that plan would include a consumer carbon price.

Singh’s noncommittal position comes as the NDP tries to frame itself as a credible alternative to the Conservatives in the next federal election.

Poilievre responded to that by releasing a video, pointing out that the NDP has voted time and again in favour of the Liberals’ carbon price.

British Columbia Premier David Eby also changed his tune on Thursday, promising that a re-elected NDP government would scrap the long-standing carbon tax and shift the burden to “big polluters,” if the federal government dropped its requirements.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Quebec consumer rights bill to regulate how merchants can ask for tips

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Quebec wants to curb excessive tipping.

Simon Jolin-Barrette, minister responsible for consumer protection, has tabled a bill to force merchants to calculate tips based on the price before tax.

That means on a restaurant bill of $100, suggested tips would be calculated based on $100, not on $114.98 after provincial and federal sales taxes are added.

The bill would also increase the rebate offered to consumers when the price of an item at the cash register is higher than the shelf price, to $15 from $10.

And it would force grocery stores offering a discounted price for several items to clearly list the unit price as well.

Businesses would also have to indicate whether taxes will be added to the price of food products.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Youri Chassin quits CAQ to sit as Independent, second member to leave this month

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Quebec legislature member Youri Chassin has announced he’s leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec government to sit as an Independent.

He announced the decision shortly after writing an open letter criticizing Premier François Legault’s government for abandoning its principles of smaller government.

In the letter published in Le Journal de Montréal and Le Journal de Québec, Chassin accused the party of falling back on what he called the old formula of throwing money at problems instead of looking to do things differently.

Chassin says public services are more fragile than ever, despite rising spending that pushed the province to a record $11-billion deficit projected in the last budget.

He is the second CAQ member to leave the party in a little more than one week, after economy and energy minister Pierre Fitzgibbon announced Sept. 4 he would leave because he lost motivation to do his job.

Chassin says he has no intention of joining another party and will instead sit as an Independent until the end of his term.

He has represented the Saint-Jérôme riding since the CAQ rose to power in 2018, but has not served in cabinet.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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