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What does the flight to the suburbs mean for Toronto real estate – Post City

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One of the ongoing narratives with regard to the Toronto real estate market and the response to the pandemic is the flight to the suburbs. Some, like CIBC economist Benjamin Tal, suggest the pandemic accelerated the timetables of homebuyers who were considering the move, and there will be a normalization later this year. Odeen Eccleston, one of our regular participants in the Post City Real Estate Roundtable, works with many homebuyers and sellers looking to move out of the city. Post City spoke with her about what she’s seeing on the ground in the GTA right now.

Has the flight to the suburbs continued in recent months now that we have a vaccine on the horizon?

Yes, yes, it has. The trend seems to be continuing. The good news for Toronto condos is that, whereas there was a lull for the past, I’d say, you know, 10 months, I do notice things picking up in the past two months, where things are selling and not just like sitting on the market for too long. So I think that speaks to optimism, and I think real estate speculators and investors are jumping back into the market. But a lot of end-users, they’re still deciding that they want more space. They want more land and are deciding to test out other markets.

So you see more people looking over yonder in other areas outside the city?

I think that a lot of these suburbs were undervalued for a long time, just because of the lack of attention that was on them. But I think with people just sort of considering other options. They realize, wait a minute, these are great cities, a lot of these suburbs, these are great places to raise families, great places to reside. And really, they’re OK with taking the commute to Toronto when they need to, but they no longer need to on a daily basis for work, right.

Will that impact affordability in those areas that were once at a lower price point?

In terms of affordability, it is a little concerning, just because a lot of these suburbs used to be a safe haven for first-time homebuyers. That was sort of where people went if they couldn’t afford Toronto. But now, I’m honestly getting a little concerned: people who can only afford a certain amount, they’re getting priced out of the real estate market, priced out of the GTA market altogether. So that is definitely a negative consequence.

What about property taxes?

Usually a lot of the suburbs, typically already do have higher property taxes than Toronto. So that was one of a laundry list of reasons why people were staying put where they were. But I guess now, when they’re weighing the pros and cons, they’re just, like, OK with the lower price point just to get in. But I think what could happen is that in the coming years as they re-evaluate their situations again, after COVID is over and they realize, my goodness, I’m paying this much?

Do you think there will be some questioning their real estate decisions in the near future?

When people have to go back to driving into work on a more regular basis, maybe they’re realizing now, “I’ve got to pay this much for gas. Now I have to pay this much for property taxes,” because, as I said, typically, I know in Durham Region, taxes, property taxes are, you know, fairly substantially higher than the City of Toronto. That could be more of a long-term implication when things do get back to normal and people are reevaluating again. They’re like, “Darn it, I’m paying this much extra in property tax? I’m paying this much extra in gas to commute?” They’ll have to weigh the pros and cons and ask if it is worth it. For some, I imagine that it will be. But maybe for others, that’s what will then drive them back.

Do you think there will be a correction?

I think it’ll be a mix. And you know what, looking ahead, I think that this could actually have healthy implications on the overall real estate market. Because, in terms of affordability, if a certain amount of people are now open to the suburbs that otherwise weren’t, well, then that leaves a little bit more inventory for people downtown. And then with more inventory comes, you know, increased affordability. So last year, we were talking about this as an affordability crisis. And listen, I think it’s still that the numbers are almost at crisis level, right. But there was a cooling, which, to a certain extent, maybe that was a part of the solution to the crisis. There’s increased inventory, and, you know, prices will inevitably come down a bit.

To reserve your tickets for the 14th Annual Post City Real Estate Roundtable, in partnership with The Rotman School of Management, go to trnto.link/rert2021

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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