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What to expect from meme stocks in 2021 – Yahoo Finance

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Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets equity derivatives strategist, joins Yahoo Finance to discuss what is happening in the options market, outlook on the SPAC market, and the biggest risks for markets amid the pandemic.

Video Transcript

MYLES UDLAND: Let’s stay on the markets and talk a bit about what we have seen in the options market and what we may see in the options market as we roll into the month of March coming up in just a week. Amy Wu Silverman is the head of derivatives strategy over at RBC Capital Markets. Amy, it’s great to talk with you once again.

I’d love to start with what is happening in options right now because there was such– it was the center of all that GameStop, kind of, drama, and things were so out of whack with pricing and availability. And when you look at the options board today, what are you seeing implied in that pricing?

AMY WU SILVERMAN: Yeah, I mean, I guess compared to GameStop and what we saw there, like, nothing’s as exciting. But, you know, we continue to see a pretty large dichotomy. So within the options market, there still continues to be that momentum-driven fervor. To give you an example, we see a lot of upside buying in the SPACs.

So large traded call spreads, call options, all positioning for very short-term upside in the SPAC market across a number of different underliers. But at the same time on the index level, when you look at NASDAQ and Russell and S&P, you’re also seeing a lot of hedges going through. And I think that’s partly a function of there’s really two distinct cohorts now, the institutional one and the retail one.

And they’re a little bit kind of off doing different things. But it’s very clear that there appears to be more concern on the institutional side than you do see on the retail side.

JULIE HYMAN: And one of the things that actually surprised me on that front from last week’s GameStop hearing was Vlad Tenev, the Robinhood CEO, I think saying only, what was it, 3% of the folks on the platform are trading options, if I have that right. Or was that the– am I mixing it up with the 13%? It was a minority of investors, a small proportion of the investors on there were trading options.

And so when you talk about the interplay between retail and institutions, it still sounds like institutions are accounting for the vast majority of volume that we’re seeing in options. And so if that’s true, what does that tell you in terms of the balance and in terms of how that tail might be wagging the dog, so to speak?

AMY WU SILVERMAN: Yeah, it’s a good point. And I think there’s two things on that testimony. The first is we have seen just substantial call option buying. And the question being, like, how do we know that’s retail versus it being institutional? You really see it in the lot size. So, you know, the size of, call it, 10 option lots and under has exploded. That’s not institutional size.

Buying, now, it’s not necessarily all on the Robinhood platform. It could be across a variety of different brokerages. But that’s definitely there. But that is definitely not to say that, frankly, institutional investors then follow along when they saw that momentum continuing. And ultimately, that really impacted the volatility surfaces a lot of these single stocks like GameStop.

But beyond that, what I have found to be interesting is generally retail tends, at least until now, to only be buying calls. We haven’t seen them do that much hedging. But we see that more from the institutional space, where that’s always been part of a long-short portfolio program to have that insurance in place.

Now, one wrinkle to that that I would say is you’re starting to see on these Wall Street chat boards people pitching UVXY. So essentially being long volatility via these VIX-related ETFs. You know, that’s interesting to me because it would tell you that they’re also thinking about that tail protection as well. It’s not just sort of a credit-based hedge fund or institutional community who’s concerned about that tail risk.

BRIAN SOZZI: Amy, with the return of volatility in the markets about the past week continuing right now today to kick off this week, has that changed any of your strategies? What strategies are you putting in place?

AMY WU SILVERMAN: Yeah, you know, it’s a good question that’s interesting because one kind of stat I would give you is that, obviously, volatility is a lot lower than it was in March and April of last year because we obviously had kind of the steepest decline in recovery on record. I think VIX hit 88 or some record number.

And so it appears that volatility is lower now. But we’re still probably, I would say, 6 to 7 volatility points above the pre-pandemic level. And that hasn’t gone down. So essentially, the VIX call wings are very expensive, term structure is very, very steep, essentially telling you that future option prices are risky. So, you know, a couple different structures work for that.

One is any sort of program that’s selling that hallway. So essentially, the thesis there is, look, obviously the market has run up a lot. I’m willing, at this point, to sell an expensive call wing, still retaining upside, but sort of saying, I’m willing to give up upside beyond another 10% to 15% and using that to fund hedges.

Because the reality is buying hedges is still pricey. And you need some offsetting factor to make that more palatable if you want to own a hedge.

JULIE HYMAN: Amy, finally, I want to ask you about cryptocurrency and what you’re seeing. Obviously, there are a limited number of ways in the options market, in the derivatives market that one can play crypto. But what are you seeing? Or I mean, are we seeing activity in some of the Bitcoin proxies like a Tesla or MicroStrategy or the futures market, et cetera? And what directionally is it telling us, if anything?

AMY WU SILVERMAN: Yeah, so unfortunately, I’m a little limited right now in what I can comment on Bitcoin directly. But what I would tell you is that there are obviously options on Bitcoin itself. It’s not as vast and liquid as the primary listed options market. But it is there for people to use.

But beyond that, you know, it’s just, I think, more of a function in general of the larger play that we have seen on momentum and disruptive technologies. You know, to give you an example, I can discuss, like, the ARKK ETF, which thematically is about disruptive technologies. We’ve seen a lot of options action on that, we’ve seen a lot of options action on SPACs, we’ve seen a lot of options action on Tesla itself.

The one joke I make on Tesla is we have 2,000 stocks that we look at volatility surfaces for, and we keep Tesla in its own little bucket because it’s volatility surface has always been inverted. The call wing has always been higher than the put wing. That’s not really true consistently for any other stock other than Tesla. We’ll have to continue to make those kind of accommodations in the future because it kind of looks like it’s here to stay.

MYLES UDLAND: All right, really interesting conversation there, a look inside what’s happening in the options market, something I’m not sure that too many folks that look at equities think all that much about. Amy Wu Silverman is the head of derivatives strategy over at RBC Capital Markets. Amy, great to get your thoughts. Thanks for joining, as always. I know we’ll talk soon.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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