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A perfect storm results in a dramatic rally in gold and silver – Kitco NEWS

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It was more than a trifecta of events that sparked today’s sharp gains in both gold and silver. First and foremost is the global pandemic that has resulted in economies worldwide contracting. This led to central banks revising their monetary policies to be more accommodative as they attempt to diminish the contraction so that economies can start to stabilize and eventually begin to rebuild.

Secondly is also a direct result of the pandemic; massive expenditures from fiscal stimulus. The U.S. allocated $3 trillion to fund the “Cares Act” to help individuals and businesses gravely affected by the pandemic.

Which leads us to the third event, the recent presidential election, and how the outcome might affect the size and scope of any upcoming fiscal stimulus bill. Although they are still tabulating the votes and have not officially announced a winner it seems highly likely that the next president of the United States will be Joe Biden. The need for more fiscal stimulus is based upon the continuing economic contraction.

Although President elect Biden will still be challenged by a Republican majority Senate, it seems plausible that his plan for fiscal stimulus could be much larger than if the incumbent President Trump had won a second term in office.

In a Note, Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at ThinkMarkets said Gold “has found decent support after the likely outcome of U.S. presidential election — that is, a Biden victory and a split legislature — has raised speculation that conditions in the world’s largest economy will remain supportive for all sorts of asset prices, including gold. He also wrote that “Investors are betting that a potential Biden win will pave the way for a bigger fiscal stimulus package than would have been the case if Trump was re-elected, while a Republican-controlled Senate will make it unlikely that Trump’s corporate tax cuts will be rolled back.”

The fourth event that could create uncertainty or at least havoc is if President Trump loses the election and contests the results. America has spent the last 200+ years and prospered because our founding fathers created a system than inherently has checks and balances by a government into three branches. But a cornerstone of our longevity as a country is due to the fact that there has always been a peaceful transfer of power from one president to the next. This is the cornerstone of our democracy. If President Trump chooses to contest the election results, nothing good could come out of that scenario except increased uncertainty.

Lastly is dollar weakness which aided in today’s dynamic rally in both gold and silver. As of 4:22 PM EST the most active December 2020 gold futures contract is currently fixed at $1950.60 which is a net increase of $54.40 on the day. Although gold had a respectable gain of 2.85%, it was silver that had the most stellar performance gaining 6.66%. The December silver futures contract is currently fixed at $25.47, after factoring in today’s gain of $1.58.

However, dollar weakness only accounted for approximately one third of today’s gains. This can be illustrated when we look at the KGX (Kitco Gold Index). The index has spot gold currently fixed at $1950.50 which is the result of today’s gain of $47.90. The vast majority of those gains were a direct result of traders bidding the precious yellow metal higher which accounted for $32.10, with dollar weakness accounting for the remaining $15.80.

The term a “perfect storm” is commonly referred when multiple events collectively create a synergistic effect where the sum of the parts are greater than the parts alone. While I believe this term is used to commonly, in the case of recent events it is the best description for what we are witnessing.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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