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After Buffett's LNG exit, industry watchers wonder who's left to invest in Canada – National Post

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A day after legendary investor Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway abandoned an investment in GNL Quebec’s $9-billion Energie Saguenay liquefied natural gas project, frustrated investors and analysts are wondering if there’s anyone left to invest in LNG in Canada — or anything else, for that matter.

“They’ve basically all gone away, haven’t they?” said Cameron Gingrich, director of strategic energy advisory services at Solomon Associates in Calgary, of the major strategic investors in Canada’s nascent LNG industry.

In addition to Berkshire Hathaway, Gingrich said there’s been a long list of foreign strategic investors pull out of planned investments in proposed LNG projects in Canada in recent months and years, including Chevron Corp., Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Exxon Mobil Corp., CNOOC Ltd. and Petronas Bhd., which shelved its Pacific NorthWest LNG project to buy a smaller stake in a project led by Royal Dutch Shell plc.

Shell is currently building the $40-billion LNG Canada project and connected Coastal GasLink pipeline, which has faced protests from a breakaway group of hereditary Wet’suwet’en chiefs in British Columbia that led to cross-country rail blockades last month.

The railway blockades and concerns about building major infrastructure projects in Canada were understood to be the reason Buffett’s Omaha, Neb.-based Berkshire Hathaway pulled out of the Energie Saguenay project, in which it had planned to invest $4 billion.

“The reason is the recent challenge in the Canadian political context,” GNL Quebec spokesperson Stephanie Fortin said Thursday.

Gingrich added that the problem extends beyond LNG.

“You see the carnage on the road with all of these major infrastructure projects that weren’t able to get to a final investment decision,” Gingrich said.

Many analysts in the sector say they’ve seen strategic investors shy away from the Canadian energy industry over challenges building projects.

“This, without hearing directly from Berkshire Hathaway, this would be similar to what we’ve heard from other institutional investors,” Raymond James analyst Jeremy McCrea said of Buffett’s decision to pull out of the project.

Too often, the federal government has blamed project cancellations like TC Energy Corp.’s Energy East pipeline project on commodity prices rather than concerns about regulatory delays and competitiveness, said Raffi Tahmazian, a principal and senior portfolio manager with Canoe Financial.

That is such an immature and irresponsible statement to make to your constituents, because you’re misleading people about the problem

Raffi Tahmazian, Canoe Financial

“That is such an immature and irresponsible statement to make to your constituents, because you’re misleading people about the problem,” Tahmazian said.

He said it’s disingenuous to suggest investors are shying away from the Energie Saguenay project given current LNG prices because long-term strategic investors look at the distant outlook for prices.

Most analysts expect global demand for LNG to overtake existing sources of supply in the second half of this decade, making new LNG projects attractive investments given moves by China and other Asian economies to prioritize natural gas for power generation over coal.

However, Tahmazian said Canada and the Energie Saguenay project risk missing out on selling into those major overseas markets as investors such as Berkshire Hathaway choose to spend their money in other countries.

Even Canadian companies, such as Teck Resources, which shelved its $20.6-billion Frontier oilsands project last month, are becoming reluctant to invest.

“Foreign capital is going to exit, foreign capital is not coming into the country and now even domestic capital is looking outside,” Tahmazian said.

• Email: gmorgan@nationalpost.com | Twitter:

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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