Airlines around the world may collapse and fail if governments do not intervene soon, an industry group is warning.
Alexandre de Juniac, the chief executive of the International Air Transport Association (IATA) told reporters on a conference call Tuesday morning that many airlines do not have strong enough balance sheets to survive the crisis prompted by the coronavirus outbreak. Airlines everywhere are grappling with a severe decline in traffic as passengers stay home and governments impose strict travel restrictions.
“We need governments to act fast with financial relief to avoid a liquidity crisis, where (airlines) run out cash and almost half of the companies die in the coming weeks,” IATA CEO Alexandre de Juniac said from Geneva.
“We are now working hard to survive. We need government help.”
The warning from IATA, an industry group that represents 290 airlines from around the world, comes as WestJet Airlines becomeese the latest Canadian carrier to slash its workforce.
WestJet announced Tuesday that 6,900 workers – almost half of its employees – will leave the company. The Calgary-based airline said that 90 per cent of the employees are leaving voluntarily, through early retirements, buyouts and voluntary leaves.
“This is devastating news for all WestJetters,” the company’s chief executive Ed Sims said in a statement.
“The fact that we avoided a potentially worse outcome is a testament to the spirit and selfless attitude demonstrated by our people, who have enabled WestJet to continue operating with a collective remaining workforce of 7,100.”
WestJet has cut its domestic capacity in half and cancelled all international routes, including to the U.S., for 30 days. Air Canada has also slashed its capacity, suspending a majority of its international and transborder flights by the end of the month. So far, at least 15,600 people have been laid off from WestJet, Air Canada and Transat.
Airlines have cut capacity, grounded planes and laid off employees in order to reduce costs amid the drastic decline in revenue. Over the last several weeks, IATA has urged governments to step in and provide financial support to airlines.
IATA’s chief economist Brian Pearce said Tuesday that the group’s previous worst-case scenario estimate – that airlines would collectively lose $113 billion in revenue as a result of COVID-19 – was a gross underestimate.
“What this suggests now is we’ll see a revenue loss compared to 2019 of over $250 billion, which is something like 44 per cent down from 2019 levels,” Pearce said. “Clearly, this is a tremendous revenue shock.”
Pearce said that, outside of the world’s top 30 airlines, many companies are in a position where they can’t survive a prolonged stall in traffic. According to Pearce, the median airline has about two-months worth of cash or cash-equivalents on hand.
“There are lots of debt-servicing and fixed obligations for airlines to have to pay,” he said. “The challenge is that, before any recovery takes place, airlines may well run out of cash.”
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has held discussions with the chief executives of Air Canada and WestJet, and has signalled that financial relief for the airline industry is coming. So far, the government has not announced any supports for the industry, despite repeated calls from airlines.
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Ontario sees two new deaths as COVID-19 cases rise by 211 – Toronto Star
Ontario has another 211 confirmed cases of COVID-19, a jump of 18 per cent that includes a second worker at the Real Canadian Superstore in Oshawa and a Mississauga firefighter.
There have been two more deaths, bringing the total to 21, according to Ministry of Health statistics released Sunday.
Loblaw said the Oshawa store on Gibb St. has been shuttered temporarily. It’s the same outlet that employed Ontario’s youngest COVID-19 fatality, 48-year-old Keith Saunders, who died Thursday.
“With the community spread of COVID-19, it’s unfortunate but inevitable that some stores will be affected,” said Catherine Thomas, senior director of external communication for the company.
“We’ve closed the store, brought in third-party sanitization experts, and worked closely with local public health to ensure we reopen safely and that colleagues who may have been directly exposed are not in the store.” The store reopened later Sunday morning.
Ontario has now recorded 1,355 cases of the new coronavirus, including the 21 deaths — mostly the vulnerable elderly — and eight cases that have been cleared since the outbreak began in late January.
The numbers are considerably higher than last weekend, when Ontario had just three deaths and 380 cases.
Across Canada, there have been 63 deaths and 5,866 cases, federal chief public health officer Dr. Theresa Tam told a news conference in Ottawa on Sunday.
She served an early warning that Canadians will have to be flexible with upcoming religious celebrations such as Easter and Ramadan, which “will need to be adapted” with physical distancing in place.
Mississauga Fire Chief Tim Beckett said the station where the affected firefighter worked has been closed temporarily and its territory covered by nearby firehouses.
“We’ve got extra decontamination processes,” he added, noting several firefighters who were in close contact are home in self-isolation.
The number of Ontario cases cleared — just eight — is artificially low because it does not reflect the number of people who have recovered but not been tested as priorities shift to the seriously ill, health-care workers, the elderly and First Nations.
A surge in case numbers from returning travellers who have caught COVID-19 and transmitted it to close contacts, as well as infections acquired in the community, has left public health units swamped.
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That’s why the exact cause of infection in about 40 per cent of Ontario cases has not yet been traced, let alone people they may have put at risk for the virus, provincial health officials say.
The federal government says community transmission now accounts for 65 per cent of cases, with travel declining to 35 per cent.
Russia says OPEC+ deal revival possible if other countries join in – RT
A new agreement to stabilize oil markets is possible if more nations support the initiative, according to the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF), Kirill Dmitriev.
In an interview to Reuters, the sovereign wealth fund chief said that coronavirus epidemic has become a “perfect storm” to trigger a new global financial crisis that will result in recession. To offset the economic fallout of the outbreak, countries should unite, including in imposing new output curbs to end the oil market turbulence.
Russia, which is not a member of the the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), was one of the key supporters of the production cut pact with the alliance, Dmitriev stressed, adding that the deal brought more than 10 trillion rubles (nearly $127 billion) to the country’s budget. Earlier this month Moscow and the OPEC kingpin, Riyadh, failed to agree on a new deal, sending oil prices to multi-year lows.
“It was not Russia that made decision to boost output and withdraw from the OPEC+, but we [the RDIF] believe that we can back to the deal,” Dmitriev said, adding that Russia maintains dialogue with Saudi Arabia, as well as with some other nations.
“We see that if the number of OPEC+ members will increase and other countries will join there is a possibility of a joint agreement to balance oil markets,” he added without elaborating which countries could join the deal.
Meanwhile Saudi Arabia said it had no contact over the possibility of a new agreement on oil production caps, as well as enlargement of the deal, at least at the energy ministers level.
Oil prices have been tumbling since the beginning of the month as the failure of Vienna talks was taken as the beginning of a full-scale oil price war — the claim that was later denied by Moscow. Both benchmark brands, WTI and Brent, were trading lower on Friday, ending the week at $21.51 per barrel and $27.95 per barrel respectively.
For more stories on economy & finance visit RT’s business section
Stock Market Crash 2020: What to Buy Right Now – The Motley Fool Canada
The coronavirus (COVID-19) blindsided many investors as it paved the way for the stock market crash 2020, killing the bull shortly after its 11th birthday.
At first, many thought the virus would be contained in China. But when the virus spread across the entire globe, causing a new wave of exponential spread, the stock market crumbled like a paper bag, bringing down safe-haven assets with it. There was a rush for cash, and not even bonds, gold, or REITs (traditionally safe alternative assets) were safe to hide in.
Stock market crash 2020: never exhaust your cash reserves because liquidity could dry up again!
Many of the folks who were 100% equities got into trouble when liquidity dried up across the board. So, it’s always advisable to always have an emergency fund, so you don’t have to decide between paying your rent for the month and hanging onto your holdings before a rebound.
Don’t give yourself an opportunity to sell at a loss. If you do, you could miss out on the 20% three-day rally like the one we had last week. While the sudden surge may prove to be a pronounced dead cat’s bounce, the waters are relatively safe to get back in if you’re like Warren Buffett and have a hoard of cash sitting around.
The US$2 trillion stimulus package could mark the bottom of the stock market crash of 2020, but of course, only time will tell, as the coronavirus continues its rapid spread across the world.
In any case, investors should look to blue-chip dividend stocks if they’re cautiously optimistic and don’t want to lose their shirt if it turns out we’re nowhere close to hitting a market bottom.
Stock market crash 2020: Cheap dividend stocks are a great way to dip your toe into the rough market waters
Consider stocks with a large margin of safety and safe dividends that can pay you a handsome amount while you wait for the stock market to recover. The Big Six like Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) may be among the best of bargains to consider at this juncture.
Royal Bank currently sports a 5% yield, which, while smaller than some of its more battered peers is still rich given the strength and resilience that the bank exhibited amid the Canadian credit downturn.
Royal Bank also was one of the first Canadian banks to come roaring back after the Financial Crisis hit, and as the coronavirus crisis inevitably falls into the rear-view mirror, Royal Bank will be one of the first Canadian stocks to make a return to its all-time highs.
Royal Bank of Canada: A king among banks
As far as ROE is concerned, Royal Bank is considered royalty. The bank’s capital markets and wealth management businesses were firing on all cylinders for the first quarter. And with impressive volume growth in the Canadian banking business, it’s clear that Royal Bank remains a king among Canada’s banking scene even with the seemingly overwhelming macro headwinds.
Despite the bank’s continued outperformance relative to its peers group, it won’t be immune from the devastating impact of the coronavirus. Management cited it had limited exposure to impacted regions, but in the end, the looming global economic recession will stand to major drag results for the year.
In any case, a new bull will eventually come charging out of the gate and Royal Bank will likely lead the upward charge. I’d buy Royal Bank while it’s down over 21%.
While you could grab a steeper bargain with most other stocks out there, I’d argue that buying Royal Bank today is akin to picking up loose quarters that have been dropped in a safe zone and not loonies that are sitting before a steamroller!
Stay hungry. Stay Foolish.
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