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Bank of Canada real estate study shows investors increasing share of market | CTV News – CTV News Vancouver

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B.C. saw a record number of new homes registered for construction in 2021, but data from the Bank of Canada suggests a significant share of them are likely to be purchased by investors.

The Bank of Canada study looked at mortgage and credit bureau data to determine the percentage of homes in the country being purchased by first-time homebuyers, repeat buyers and investors. 

It concluded that investors and repeat buyers make up an increasingly large portion of mortgage-backed home purchases in Canada.

“Home purchases are being driven increasingly by existing homeowners,” the study’s authors write in their conclusion.

“Within this group, investors have seen the largest gain in their share of home purchases during the COVID 19 pandemic.”

Because the study looked at mortgage data, it does not capture homes purchased in cash or by corporations, according to the authors.

The study found first-time buyers made up 47 per cent of the market as of June 1, 2021, down from 53 per cent at the start of 2015.

Meanwhile, the percentage of repeat buyers and investors in the market have both increased. In the study, “repeat buyers” are those who are buying a new home and selling their old one, while “investors” are those who are purchasing a new home and holding onto their old one, often with the goal of renting out one of the properties as a source of income.

Repeat buyers were 33 per cent of the market as of June 2021, up from 30 per cent in January 2015, and investors made up 21 per cent of the market, up from 18 per cent.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, as home sales and prices skyrocketed, purchases by investors grew the most. Investors purchased twice as many homes in June 2021 as they did in June 2020, a 100 per cent increase in the number of purchases.

For repeat buyers, the increase over the same period was 66 per cent, while first time buyers’ purchases grew by 47 per cent.

The Bank of Canada study was published the same week the B.C. government touted a record number of new home registrations in 2021.

“Registered new homes data is collected at the beginning of a project, before building permits are issued, making it a leading indicator of housing activity in B.C.,” the province said in a news release.

The latest numbers from BC Housing show 53,189 new homes were registered in B.C. in 2021. That’s a 67.5 per cent increase from 2020 and the highest yearly total since the provincial housing authority began collecting data on new home registrations in 2002.

The total includes 12,899 purpose-built rentals, a 47.7 per cent increase from the previous year.

“This report shows that we can meet the challenge to increase the supply of desperately needed rental homes for individuals, families and seniors in B.C., if cities partner with us to get building permits issued quickly for these registered units,” said David Eby, B.C.’s Attorney General and Minister Responsible for Housing, in the province’s release.

“The numbers show that together we can respond to the more than 25,000 new people who moved to British Columbia in the last three months looking for homes, and the thousands more who we know are still coming,” Eby added. “We can only succeed in this major challenge if we have committed partners in cities, the federal government, non-profits, First Nations and the private sector to get these registered homes built and open.”

The majority of the newly registered homes are not rentals, however, and the Bank of Canada data suggests a substantial number of them will be bought by investors, as B.C.’s real estate market continues to spiral out of reach of many would-be first-time buyers.

In an interview earlier this month, UBC director of urban economics and real estate Thomas Davidoff told CTV News current conditions benefit people who already own property, rather than those trying to get into the market. 

“If we persist in having an environment with very low interest rates and very high rent growth, then yeah I think it’s going to get harder and harder for people to accumulate down payments and really be able to amortize mortgages over their working life,” Davidoff said. 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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